Norbert’s Wealth Dome

Meta (META) Stock Crash: Buy, Hold, or Sell? | 26% Oversold RSI & AI Growth Breakdown

Good morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M., and welcome back to Wealth Dome, where I build and protect wealth.

After a strong year of performance, Meta Platforms (META) stock has pulled back sharply post-earnings — down over 20% from recent highs.

So the question is:

“Is this a buying opportunity, a warning signal, or just a healthy correction?”

Let’s break it all down 👇

💡 What Hit META Stock?

Two major things:

* Infrastructure spending surge — heavy Reality Labs CapEx.

* $50.9 billion tax charge, which distorted reported net income.

Despite these one-time factors, Meta’s core business remains a cash-printing machine — but the stock market has shifted its narrative from undervalued tech to AI growth story under scrutiny.

📊 Meta Q3 2025 Earnings Overview

MetricQ3 2025YoY ChangeRevenue$51.24B+26%Net Income$2.7B↓83% (due to tax charge)Adjusted Net Income$18.6B+19% (excluding tax)Free Cash Flow$10.6B+28%EPS (diluted)$7.25+6.2%

Key takeaway:

“The fundamentals are still strong — it’s the accounting that spooked investors.”

🧮 Valuation vs Peers

CompanyPE Ratio5-Year AvgCommentMeta (META)25.521.9Slightly above avgAlphabet (GOOGL)33.921More expensiveMastercard (MA)37.749ExpensiveNetflix (NFLX)5549OvervaluedAlibaba (BABA)2022Cheap alternative

Meta’s forward PE sits just above its historical average — not cheap, but still fair compared to peers, especially given AI-driven ad revenue acceleration.

🤖 Growth Drivers

* AI-Enhanced Ad Targeting – boosting impressions & price per ad.

* Reels Monetization – closing the gap with TikTok.

* Threads Growth – slow but steady user base expansion.

* Reality Labs (VR/AR) – CapEx-heavy but strategic for future platforms.

“Meta is not a social media company — it’s an ad company with AI scalability.”

📈 Ad Performance by Region (YoY Change)

RegionAd ImpressionsAvg. Price per AdU.S. & Canada↓1%Slight declineEurope+9%Up from 6%Asia-Pacific+23%Strongest regionRest of World+20%Strong rebound

The most important metric: Meta’s pricing power remains intact.

“When a company can raise ad prices — that’s real strength.”

⚙️ Technical Analysis: Oversold Setup

* RSI: 26.3 (massively oversold)

* MACD: Bearish crossover, but flattening

* Ichimoku Cloud: Below cloud (short-term bearish)

* Support: $500–$570 zone

* Resistance: $650–$680 zone

“A bounce toward the 200-day moving average is likely — the 500–570 zone could be a generational buy area.”

🧭 Buy, Hold, or Sell?

* Long-Term Investors: Hold and consider adding gradually near support.

* Swing Traders: Watch for RSI recovery and confirmation near 570.

* Short-Term Outlook: Oversold bounce likely, but volatility remains high.

“If you already own META, hold tight. If you’re looking to add, scale in between $500–$570.”

📊 Mentioned Stocks

META, GOOGL, MA, NFLX, BABA, KO, SPX, NDX

🔗 Relevant Links

* Meta Investor Relations

* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel

* Meta Q3 2025 Report

💬 Final Thoughts

Meta remains one of the most profitable AI-powered ad businesses in the world.Short-term pain from tax and CapEx spending is overshadowing a structurally strong cash engine.

“This is not a broken company — it’s a misunderstood one. Great companies go on sale only a few times per decade.”

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe

Growth is King, Profit is the Crown | Weekly Market Recap (Nov 8, 2025)

Good morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M., and welcome to the Weekend Edition of Wealth Dome, where I build and protect wealth.

This first week of November sent a powerful message:

“Growth is king, but profitability is the crown.”

Earnings season continued at full steam with high-profile reports from AMD, Super Micro Computer, Palantir, Uber, Airbnb, Shopify, Spotify, Hims & Hers, Novo Nordisk, Celsius, and Elf Beauty — painting a picture of a market divided between AI-driven growth and profit-driven fundamentals.

📈 Market Overview

* S&P 500: +0.13% (still strong, 17% YTD)

* NASDAQ: −0.25% (but up 21.5% YTD)

* Dow Jones: +0.06% (up 12% YTD)

* Russell 2000: −1.3% (lagging small caps)

10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.09% (up from 3.9%)VIX: 22.7 — volatility creeping back inWTI Crude Oil: ~$59–60, hovering under pressureGold: Testing $4,000 resistance — potential for range-bound tradesBitcoin: ~$102,000, consolidating for a possible Santa Claus rally

“The message is clear: AI spending drives growth, but the market is rewarding companies that deliver both expansion and profitability.”

💾 Earnings Breakdown

⚙️ Semiconductors & AI Infrastructure

AMD (AMD)

* Revenue: $9.2B (+36% YoY)

* EPS: $1.20 (beat)

* Data Center Growth: +36%

* PC Segment: +46% rebound

“AI story validated — buy for the long term.”

Super Micro Computer (SMCI)

* Revenue: $2.33B (miss)

* EPS: Missed expectations

* Stock down 27% in 5 days due to delivery delays on AI orders.

“Short-term pain, long-term potential. Buy cautiously under $40.”

Palantir (PLTR)

* Revenue: $1.8B (+63%)

* EPS: $0.20 (beat)

“Commercial growth is booming, but valuation remains stretched. Hold for now.”

🚗 Digital Commerce & Platforms

Uber (UBER)

* Gross Bookings: $49.7B

* Free Cash Flow: $2.2B

* EBITDA: $2.3B (beat)

“Strong across delivery and mobility — a long-term buy under $45.”

Airbnb (ABNB)

* Revenue Beat, EPS Miss

“Found footing near $117. Quality compounder but rich valuation. Wait for deeper pullback.”

Shopify (SHOP)

* Revenue: $2.84B (beat)

“Momentum into the holiday season — near-term buy if technicals hold above Ichimoku cloud.”

Spotify (SPOT)

* Revenue & Subscriber Beat

“Margins improving, but chart still weak — cautious add only if it holds above 200-day MA.”

💊 Health & Consumer Staples

Hims & Hers (HIMS)

* Revenue: $599M (+49% YoY)

“Growth story strong, but profitability unclear. Wait for margin stabilization.”

Novo Nordisk (NVO)

* Revenue Beat, EPS Beat

* Weight-loss drugs fueling long-term potential.

“Buy long-term; great dividend and growth catalyst in 2026.”

Celsius (CELH)

* Revenue: +97% YoY

* Margins expanding

“Oversold but fundamentally strong. Buy opportunity under $60.”

Elf Beauty (ELF)

* Revenue Beat, EPS Beat

“Digital-first strategy winning — Buy. Best-in-class consumer growth stock.”

💬 Investor Takeaways

* AI CapEx boom continues: AMD, SMCI, and PLTR are leading.

* Consumer resilience in ELF and CELH contrasts with weak staples.

* Profitability matters more than ever — the market is rewarding cash flow.

“Use weakness in quality names as an opportunity to accumulate for 2026.”

📅 Next Week’s Earnings to Watch

* Disney (DIS)

* Cisco (CSCO)

* Brookfield (BN)

* Paramount (PARA)

* Bitmain, Hive, and Oklo (speculative plays)

💸 My Weekly Trades & Portfolio Update

DateTickerResult (€)TypeNov 3NLY+€39DividendNov 4CPB+€33.75DividendNov 4RACE+€124Sold positionNov 4MELI+€793Sold positionNov 4FHN+€68Small tradeNov 4AMZN+€270Pre-earnings saleNov 4AXON+€134Closed position

💰 Weekly Profit: €1,268📊 November Goal: €500/week — on track!

📊 Mentioned Stocks

AMD, SMCI, PLTR, UBER, ABNB, SHOP, SPOT, HIMS, NVO, CELH, ELF, AMZN, AXON, MELI, RACE, FHN, NLY, CPB, DIS, CSCO, BN, PARA

🔗 Relevant Links

* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel

* AMD Investor Relations

* Palantir Investor Relations

* Uber Investor Relations

* Elf Beauty Investor Relations

* Celsius Investor Relations

🧠 Final Thoughts

The first week of November set the tone — AI innovation meets disciplined profitability.Investors who can balance growth with patience will outperform over the next cycle.

“Be the investor who waits for great companies to fall into your buy zone — and never stop protecting your wealth.”

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe

ELF Beauty (ELF) Stock Tanks After Earnings | Rising Debt, Margin Pressure & Hidden Opportunities

Good morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M. and this is Wealth Dome, where we build and protect wealth.

Today’s focus is on ELF Beauty (ELF), the mass-market cosmetics brand that just reported its 27th consecutive quarter of growth — an incredible streak. But while sales rose again, the stock dropped sharply after hours.

Let’s break down what happened, why the market reacted this way, and what’s next for this fast-growing beauty brand.

💄 Company Overview

ELF Beauty is a clean, vegan, cruelty-free beauty company selling products under several brands:

* e.l.f. Cosmetics

* Well People

* Keys Soulcare

* Naturium

* Good Chemistry

The company’s focus is affordable luxury — high-quality cosmetics at drugstore prices, sold through Target, Sephora, and e-commerce platforms.

But while sales are booming, costs and debt are rising faster than expected.

📊 Q2 2025 Earnings Highlights

* Net Sales: $343M (+14% YoY, up from $301M)

* Gross Margin: 69% (−165 bps YoY)

* GAAP Net Income: $3M or $0.05/share

* Adjusted EPS: $0.60/share

* Adjusted EBITDA: $66M (~19% margin)

* Cash: $194M

* Long-Term Debt: $831M (up sharply)

* FY2026 Sales Outlook: $1.50–$1.57B (+18–20% YoY)

📉 Stock Reaction

After the earnings call, ELF stock plunged:

* Closed at $118 pre-market

* Dropped to $82 after hours

* Rebounded slightly to $92/share

The selloff came mainly due to rising debt levels and declining margins, despite strong revenue growth.

“High growth with high debt is a dangerous combination in a high-rate environment.”

⚖️ Fundamentals: The Good, The Bad, The Beautiful

✅ Positives:

* Strong revenue growth (+14% YoY)

* 27 consecutive quarters of growth

* Expanding brand presence in U.S., Canada, and U.K.

* Omnichannel strategy (Target, Sephora, DTC)

⚠️ Negatives:

* Margins under pressure (SG&A up to 67% of net sales)

* Heavy long-term debt ($831M)

* Higher risk if economic slowdown hits

* Rising competition from cheaper beauty brands

📈 Technical Analysis: ELF at a Crossroads

* Previous Close: $118

* After-Hours: $92

* Support: $73–$80 (potential buy zone)

* Resistance: $100–$105

* Trend: Broke below 200-day MA — technical damage confirmed

The stock is in the Ichimoku cloud on weekly charts, meaning uncertain momentum.If ELF drops below $80, I’d look for selling puts near $70 — a strategy that allows potential entry at a much lower cost basis.

“If assigned, I’d own ELF at a discount. If not, I’d collect premium income while waiting.”

💬 CEO Commentary – Tarang Amin

“Our results reflect consistency and category-leading growth over 27 quarters, with record-breaking launches at Sephora North America.”

Translation: management remains bullish, but margins and debt must be managed carefully to sustain this growth story.

📊 Geographic Expansion

Region2021 Market Share2025 Market ShareU.S.13%45%Canada8%26%U.K.6%19%

ELF continues to take share from legacy players like L’Oréal (OR.PA) and Estée Lauder (EL).

🧭 Trader Takeaways

* 📈 Growth is strong, but debt is rising faster than earnings.

* 💰 Watch margins — they tell the real story.

* 🧱 Consider options strategies (selling puts) for lower entry risk.

* 🕵️‍♂️ Key catalyst: product launches and debt reduction in 2026.

“Growth alone isn’t everything — margin control and debt management are what make growth sustainable.”

📌 Mentioned Stocks

ELF, EL, OR.PA, TGT, WMT, AMZN

🔗 Relevant Links

* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel

* ELF Press Release Q2 2025

🧠 Final Thoughts

ELF Beauty is still one of the best-performing retail growth stories — but the rising debt and falling margins are warning signs.

This could be a great long-term brand if management reins in leverage. For now, watch for price stabilization before jumping in.

“Beautiful brands can become ugly stocks — until they fix their balance sheet.”

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe

Duolingo (DUOL) Earnings Crash Explained | 41% Growth, 50M Daily Users & Stock Selloff Breakdown

Good morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M., and welcome back to Wealth Dome, where we build and protect wealth.

Today’s spotlight is on Duolingo (DUOL) — the world’s most popular language-learning app, now expanding into math, chess, and AI-powered education.

The company smashed its Q3 2025 earnings report — revenue up 41%, daily active users up 36%, and profits soaring nearly 300 million.So why did the stock collapse right after? Let’s break it down 👇

📊 Duolingo Q3 2025 Earnings Highlights

* Revenue: $271M (+41% YoY)

* Bookings: $281.9M (+33% YoY)

* Net Income: $292M (+massive YoY jump)

* Adjusted EBITDA: $80M (+29%)

* Daily Active Users: 50M (+36%)

* Monthly Active Users: 135M (+20%)

* Paid Subscribers: 11.5M (+34%)

* Subscriber Penetration: 9%

Incredible growth. Yet the stock dropped more than 25% in a single day.

💬 Management Commentary

“We passed a major milestone — more than 50 million people now use Duolingo every day.”“We are prioritizing user growth over monetization. AI will fundamentally change how we teach.”

CEO Luis von Ahn emphasized long-term vision over short-term profits — mirroring Amazon’s playbook in its early days.

That’s great for growth. But Wall Street wants profits now.

🧮 Financial Reality Check

While revenue is soaring, Duolingo is reinvesting heavily in user acquisition and AI development:

* Higher SG&A Costs: Eating into margins

* Shift Toward Free Users: Slower near-term monetization

* AI Expansion: Heavy R&D expense

This is what caused the selloff — not bad fundamentals, but a shift in focus.

“When growth companies pivot toward investment mode, short-term traders panic — long-term investors celebrate.”

🧠 The Bigger Picture: AI in Education

Duolingo isn’t just a language app anymore.The company’s AI-driven platform now teaches math, music, and chess — using adaptive learning and gamification.

Their mission:

“To develop the best education in the world and make it universally available.”

That’s an ambitious (and expensive) goal — but potentially revolutionary.

🧩 Stock Performance

* 1 Day: −25%

* 5 Days: −27%

* 1 Month: −40%

* 6 Months: −61%

* YTD: −40%

* All-Time (since IPO 2021): −37%

From $520 highs to $192/share, DUOL is now trading below its IPO range — with RSI near 19 (oversold).

Technical Setup:

* RSI: Oversold (<20)

* MACD: Bearish crossover

* Support: $175–$185

* Resistance: $210–$220

* Pattern: Gap fill possible toward $220

“Oversold doesn’t mean reversal — but it means opportunity for patient traders.”

⚙️ Option Strategy Example

If you believe in the long-term story:

* Sell December 150 Put: Collect ~$305 premium

* Or create Synthetic Stock: Buy Jan 2027 85 Call / Sell Dec 24 130 Call→ Approx. cost: $8,500 vs. $19,000 for 100 shares

Goal: Leverage upside with controlled downside risk.

📌 Mentioned Stocks

DUOL, AMZN, AAPL, GOOGL, SPX

🔗 Relevant Links

* Duolingo Investor Relations

* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel

* Duolingo Q3 2025 Shareholder Letter

🧠 Final Thoughts

Duolingo’s growth story is far from over — it’s just entering its next phase.Yes, short-term volatility hurts. But for long-term investors, this could be a rare opportunity to buy a premium education tech brand at a discount.

“AI, education, and community-driven learning — Duolingo is building the future of learning, one lesson at a time.”

🎥 YouTube Setup

High CTR Title:

🔥 Duolingo (DUOL) Earnings SHOCK! | 41% Growth, 50M Users & Massive Stock Crash

Description (SEO Optimized):

Duolingo (DUOL) just reported incredible Q3 2025 results:

* 41% revenue growth

* 50M daily users

* Profits up 300%

So why did the stock crash over 25%? In this video, I break down the financials, CEO comments, and technical analysis to reveal what’s next for DUOL.

📊 Mentioned: DUOL, AMZN, AAPL, GOOGL, SPX

💡 For educational purposes only — not financial advice.🔔 Subscribe to Wealth Dome for weekly earnings breakdowns & portfolio insights.

#stocks #investing #duolingo #earnings #ai #wealthdome

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe

Microsoft, Google, Apple & Amazon Earnings Ignite AI Boom | Weekly Recap

Good morning traders and investors — this is Norbert B.M. from Wealth Dome, where we build and protect wealth.

This week marked another milestone for the markets: U.S. equities neared record highs as mega-cap earnings and AI optimism powered investor sentiment. The S&P 500 (SPX), NASDAQ (IXIC), and Dow Jones (DJI) stayed strong, while fund inflows cooled slightly as investors awaited key macro data.

Let’s break it all down 👇

📈 Market Overview

* S&P 500: 6,840 – near record highs

* NASDAQ: 25,858 – slightly red, but futures green

* Dow Jones: Green close

* Oil (CL=F): Closed higher

* Gold (XAUUSD): Under pressure from strong USD

* Silver (XAGUSD): Range-bound, short-term opportunities

* Copper (HG=F): Testing the 20-day MA; potential short setup

* EUR/USD: Weakening

* USD/JPY: Dollar strengthening against the Yen

* Bitcoin (BTC-USD): Sideways; possible correction ahead

💻 Tech Titans: The Magnificent Seven Earnings

🟦 Microsoft (MSFT)

* Revenue: $78B (+18% YoY)

* EPS: $3.72

* Azure Growth: +40%

* Outlook: AI & cloud expansion with CapEx guidance up to $48B

“Management calls it a ‘planet-scale AI factory’ — Microsoft is still the leader.”

⚙️ Key Watch: Pullback to 450–400 zone = ideal buy zone.

🔴 Alphabet (GOOGL)

* Revenue: $102B (+16% YoY)

* EPS: $2.87

* Cloud Revenue: $15.2B (+34%)

* CapEx: Raised to $91–93B for AI infrastructure

“Disciplined cost control + AI integration = strong management confidence.”

⚙️ Key Watch: YouTube Shorts monetization and AI ad integration.

🟠 Amazon (AMZN)

* Revenue: $150B

* EPS: $1.95

* AWS Growth: +20% YoY

* Net Income: $9.5B (boosted by Anthropic investment)

“AWS growth must continue to outpace Google Cloud and Azure — that’s key.”

⚙️ CapEx: $125B planned for 2025 — heavy AI data center investment.

🟣 Meta (META)

* Revenue: $51B

* EPS: $1.05 (due to $15B non-cash tax charge)

* CapEx: $117–118B

* AI Spend: Massive but uncertain ROI

“Meta’s problem? No device. No ecosystem. Llama is lame.”

⚙️ Watch: Ad demand, Reality Labs results, and AI Glass rollout.

🍏 Apple (AAPL)

* Revenue: $102B (+8% YoY)

* EPS: $1.85

* Services: Record high

* iPhone: Record revenue, weak China sales

“Love the products, not the stock right now. Waiting for innovation to kick in.”

⚙️ Watch: Service growth, iPhone Pro mix, AI features in 2025 models.

☕ Starbucks (SBUX)

* Revenue: $9.6B (+5% YoY)

* EPS: $0.52 (missed)

“Turnaround underway — but remember Munger: most turnarounds don’t turn.”

🌯 Chipotle (CMG)

* Revenue: $3B (+7.5% YoY)

* EPS: $0.29

* Margins: 24.5%

“Oversold but risky — I’d wait for a confirmed bottom.”

🌎 MercadoLibre (MELI)

* Revenue: $7.4B (+39% YoY)

* EPS: $8.32 (miss)

“Latin America’s Amazon — solid long-term compounder.”

💊 Eli Lilly (LLY)

* Revenue: $17.6B (+54% YoY)

* EPS: $7.02

* Mounjaro Sales: $6.5B

“Weight-loss pipeline fueling monster growth — waiting for a pullback to add.”

🛢️ ExxonMobil (XOM) & Chevron (CVX)

* Exxon: EPS $1.88, Revenue $7.5B

* Chevron: EPS $3.60, Record production

“Strong cash flow, buybacks, and 3–4% dividends — energy giants remain disciplined.”

💳 Visa (V) | MasterCard (MA) | PayPal (PYPL) | SoFi (SOFI)

* Visa/MasterCard: Consumer spending solid; cross-border growth steady

* PayPal: AI partnerships with OpenAI & Google

* SoFi: Profitability milestone; re-entering crypto remittances

“Fintechs are adapting fast — SoFi’s growth is worth watching.”

🩺 UnitedHealth (UNH)

* Revenue: $113B (+12% YoY)

* EPS: $2.92

* Medicare Advantage Growth: +625K members

“Margins under pressure but long-term story intact.”

💼 My Weekly Trades Summary

DateTickerResult (€)NotesOct 28ADBE+15.92Small profitOct 28WBD+31.2Trading takeover rumorsOct 29UNH+330.9Sold positionOct 29WU+218Strong reboundOct 29META+49.4Pre-earnings sellOct 30AXON+103Partial profitOct 30MSFT+19Scalped post-earningsOct 30AVGO+192Trimmed positionOct 30MELI+149Took gainsOct 30AAPL+248Reduced 1 shareOct 30AMZN+70.7Partial sale

📊 October Final Result: +€721 net

⚙️ Options Recap

* AMD (AMD): +$48

* NVDA (NVDA): +$26

* SBUX (SBUX): +$35

* U.S. Oil (CL=F): +$13

* OSCR: +$11

* AMZN (AMZN): +$250

* Losing Trades: SHOP (−$273), IWM (−$40), 3M (−$108), NG (−$200)

“Cut losers early, let winners run — my options philosophy in one sentence.”

📊 Mentioned Stocks

SPX, IXIC, DJI, EURUSD, USDJPY, BTCUSD, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, META, AAPL, SBUX, CMG, MELI, LLY, XOM, CVX, V, MA, PYPL, SOFI, UNH, ADBE, WBD, WU, AXON, IBKR, AVGO, MMM, OSCR, AMD, NVDA, CL=F

🔗 Relevant Links

* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel

* Microsoft IR

* Alphabet IR

* Amazon IR

* Apple IR

* Meta IR

* Eli Lilly IR

* Visa IR

* ExxonMobil IR

* Chevron IR

💬 Final Thoughts

The AI megatrend continues to define this market. Tech is leading, but diversification remains key as small caps and commodities lag.

“Stay patient, stay strategic — and always protect your wealth.”

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe

📊 Market Recap

* S&P 500 (SPX): Closed the week positive, extending its climb from April lows to fresh all-time highs.

* Nasdaq (IXIC): +0.44%, tech strength intact.

* Dow Jones (DJI): Also ended in the green.

* 10Y Treasury Yield (TNX): Slight uptick near 4.2%.

* Crude Oil (Brent): Choppy; I remain short.

* Gold & Silver: Both moved higher — silver even parabolic.

* Copper: Watching for a bounce if the 20-day holds.

* Bitcoin (BTC): Sitting at a pivot; risk of pullback if the 200-day breaks.

🏦 Inflation & Fed Watch

The PCE index for August rose 2.7% YoY, with core PCE at 2.9% YoY — still above the Fed’s target.

* This keeps Treasury yields elevated and tempers hopes for aggressive rate cuts.

* Watch yields closely: they remain a key drag on risk appetite.

🔗 Federal Reserve Data

💻 Nvidia, OpenAI & Intel Buzz

* Nvidia (NVDA) shocked markets with a $100B investment in OpenAI to expand computing infrastructure.

* Intel (INTC) ripped higher again after last week’s $5B stake from Nvidia.

* Reports surfaced of possible partnerships with Apple (AAPL) and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM).

* Speculation around M&A and government backing fueled strong flows into Intel shares.

🔗 Nvidia (NVDA) | Intel (INTC) | Apple (AAPL) | TSMC (TSM)

📱 Oracle & TikTok

Oracle (ORCL) remains in the spotlight as it explores acquiring TikTok’s US operations.

* If successful, Oracle could become a hybrid cloud + social media powerhouse.

* Regulatory risks remain high, especially beyond the Trump administration.

🔗 Oracle (ORCL)

🎮 Big Movers & Earnings

* Electronic Arts (EA): +15% after WSJ reported a $50B LBO bid backed by Saudi PIF & Silver Lake.

* Costco (COST): Dropped after earnings miss, but looks like a strong long-term buy opportunity.

* ASML (ASML): Still elevated; waiting for a pullback before re-entering.

🔗 Electronic Arts (EA) | Costco (COST) | ASML (ASML)

💼 Trades of the Week

* Intel (INTC): Sold full position on Sep 26 → €920 gross / $791 net profit. Out for now, watching RSI (80+) for a pullback before re-entry.

* Apple (AAPL): Partial sale on Sep 26 → €350 gross / $301 net profit. Still bullish long-term given Apple’s ecosystem.

Weekly profit: $1,092September total so far: $2,874YTD profit: $70,421

📌 Key Takeaways

* AI is still king: Nvidia, Intel, and OpenAI dominate headlines.

* Intel momentum > Nvidia momentum: telling you where speculative money is flowing.

* Earnings mixed: Costco down, EA soared, ASML extended.

* Macro backdrop: Inflation sticky, yields rising.

* Strategy: Take profits, reduce risk, protect wealth.

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe

📊 Market Recap

* S&P 500 (SPX): Closed at 6,664 (+0.49%), a new all-time high.

* Nasdaq (IXIC): +0.7% on the week, led by tech.

* Russell 2000 (RUT): Small caps joined the rally with record highs.

* 10Y Treasury Yield (TNX): Rose to ~4.14%.

* Crude Oil (Brent): Fell despite Fed easing.

🏦 Federal Reserve Cuts Rates

The Federal Reserve lowered rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.00–4.25%.

* Chair Powell stressed this was a risk management move due to labor market softness.

* One dissenter, Gov. Stephen Miran, argued for a larger 50 bp cut.

🔗 Read the Fed statement

💻 Nvidia–Intel Shock Deal

In a surprise move, Nvidia (NVDA) invested $5 billion into Intel (INTC).

* Intel shares rallied over 30% in a single day, the biggest jump since 1987.

* The US government is also a stakeholder, deepening Intel’s strategic importance.

🔗 Nvidia (NVDA) | Intel (INTC)

📱 Oracle & TikTok Talks

The US government and China reopened talks over TikTok, with Oracle (ORCL) emerging as a potential buyer.

* If Oracle secures a large stake, it could transform into a major social media player.

* The stock is consolidating near highs, forming what looks like a bullish flag.

🔗 Oracle (ORCL)

🚀 IPO Highlights

It was a busy IPO week with $2.7B raised across multiple listings:

* StubHub (STUB): Opened at $26, peaked at $28, then collapsed to $18.51.

* WaterBridge Infrastructure (WBI): Jumped 50% on debut.

* Pattern Group (PTRN): +12% first week.

* Microcaps Chow Holdings (CHOW) and PLTS Energy (PLTS) also surged.

⚠️ Pro tip: Don’t chase IPOs. Wait for earnings and signs of sustainable growth.

📌 Trades of the Week

Here’s what we traded between Sep 15–19:

* Bitfarms (BITF): Small gain on Sept 15.

* Realty Income (O): Dividend received (€24.5).

* ASML (ASML): Sold full position, locking in €1,038 profit; watching for a pullback to re-enter.

* McDonald’s (MCD): Dividend received (€19.56).

* Warrior Met Coal (HCC): Closed trade with a small profit (€38).

Weekly net profit: ~$983September total so far: ~$1,781 (with one week left).

🔗 ASML Holding (ASML) | McDonald’s (MCD) | Realty Income (O) | Bitfarms (BITF) | Warrior Met Coal (HCC)

🔑 Key Takeaways

* Fed is easing but long yields are rising → watch growth vs. defensives.

* Semiconductors surged on Nvidia–Intel news.

* IPOs returned with volatility, a sign of risk appetite.

* Trades booked solid gains, led by ASML sale.

💬 What do you think about Nvidia’s stake in Intel? Will it pay off long-term? Share your thoughts in the comments 👇

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This week’s market recap covers:

* Oracle (ORCL) & Adobe (ADBE) earnings results.

* Market outlook ahead of the Fed’s rate cut decision.

* Tesla (TSLA) surging +7.36%.

* My weekly trades, including Alibaba (BABA), Broadcom (AVGO), NVIDIA (NVDA), Paramount (PSKY), and more.

📊 Mentioned Stocks: ORCL, ADBE, TSLA, AVGO, BABA, PSKY, NVDA, MU, OPEN, INOD, MTPLF, PNG, PCFP, TLT

💡 None of this is financial advice. Please do your own research.

✅ Subscribe for more weekly breakdowns and earnings analysis!

#investing #stocks #oracle #adobe #tesla #trading

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Welcome back to Wealth Dome — where we grow and protect our wealth!This week was full of drama on Wall Street: court rulings, AI stock turbulence, record highs, and even the U.S. government stepping into Intel (INTC) with a 10% stake.

🔥 Market Highlights

* Tariff Ruling: U.S. appeals court struck down most of Trump’s tariffs → easing inflation fears.

* S&P 500 Record High: Closed at 6504, despite weakness on Friday.

* GDP Surprise: U.S. Q2 GDP at 3.3% vs. forecast 3.1%.

* Fed Rate Cut Odds: 85% probability of 25 bps cut in September fueling optimism.

* Small Caps Lagging: Divergence as mega-cap tech leads.

💡 Key Earnings Recap

* Alibaba (BABA): Beat EPS, missed revenue, unveiled AI chip → stock jumped +13%.

* Nvidia (NVDA): EPS +54%, revenue +56% → but stock dropped on AI chip competition fears.

* Autodesk (ADSK): Beat across the board; retraced gains.

* CrowdStrike (CRWD): Strong earnings + acquisition → but heavy pullback.

* Dell (DELL): Earnings beat, but stock broke below 100-day MA → possible cooling period.

* Eli Lilly (LLY): +6% on positive pill trial, but downtrend intact.

📰 Intel Shock

* U.S. government acquires 10% stake in Intel (INTC) under CHIPS Act funding.

* Passive stake, no board seat, but raises concerns about international sales.

* Intel remains -60% from all-time highs → turnaround hopes but uphill battle.

📈 My Trades (Aug 25–29)

* SoFi (SOFI): Quick trade, +€17.50. Watching pullback zones for re-entry.

* Ferrari (RACE): Range-bound, small gain +€15.10.

* Rheinmetall (RHM.DE): Defense play, +€55.50, but cautious outlook.

* Alphabet (GOOGL): Sold entire position in two tranches. +€421.91 net. Will re-enter lower.

* Visa (V): +€47.72 after tax.

* Constellation Software (W9C.TO): +€810 small gain.

* CrowdStrike (CRWD): +€72.24. Sold shares post-earnings pullback.

Weekly Profit: +€160 (~$187)August Total: €985 ($1,090) — short of my €2,000 monthly target, but solid discipline shown.

📌 Lessons Learned

* Stick to Strategy: Taking profits early saved me from reversals.

* Don’t Chase AI Hype: Nvidia & CrowdStrike show the risk of overbought momentum.

* Cash is King: September’s packed with ISM, jobs, CPI, PPI, and Fed — dry powder is essential.

📅 Important Events Next Week

* Sept 3 (Tue): ISM Manufacturing PMI

* Sept 5 (Thu): Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI

* Sept 6 (Fri): Non-Farm Payrolls & Unemployment Rate

* Following weeks: CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, Fed FOMC Meetings → high volatility expected.

🔗 Relevant Mentions

* Alibaba Earnings (BABA)

* Nvidia Investor Relations (NVDA)

* Autodesk IR (ADSK)

* CrowdStrike Reports (CRWD)

* Intel CHIPS Act News (INTC)

* Wealth Dome Substack Archive

⏱️ Timestamps

* 00:00 – Weekly intro & market drama

* 00:29 – Tariff ruling shakes markets

* 00:43 – Alibaba earnings & AI chip boom (BABA)

* 01:12 – U.S. market surge (S&P 500 hits 6504)

* 01:53 – GDP + jobs data beat

* 02:43 – Nasdaq weakness, RSI divergence

* 03:12 – Fed rate cut odds 85%

* 03:53 – Nvidia earnings breakdown (NVDA)

* 05:32 – Autodesk earnings pop (ADSK)

* 07:12 – CrowdStrike analysis (CRWD)

* 08:57 – Dell earnings impact (DELL)

* 09:53 – Eli Lilly weight loss drug trial (LLY)

* 12:02 – Intel 10% U.S. stake explained (INTC)

* 14:35 – Market rotation, Caterpillar/Deere weakness

* 15:58 – Next week’s key events (PMI, NFP)

* 16:55 – Announcement: new investing basics series

* 17:56 – Weekly trades recap (SOFI, RACE, RHM.DE, GOOGL, V, W9C.TO, CRWD)

* 26:35 – Alphabet (GOOGL) sell explained & re-entry zones

* 27:01 – Wrap-up & closing thoughts

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📊 Weekly Market Recap & Trades (Aug 18–22, 2025)

Welcome back traders and investors! Here’s a breakdown of my trades, dividends, and lessons from last week — a volatile one with Jerome Powell hinting at possible rate cuts in September.

⏱ Timestamps (mm:ss)

* 00:00 – Intro & Powell’s rate hint

* 00:37 – Novo Nordisk dividend

* 01:34 – Amazon cautious sell

* 02:10 – MercadoLibre trade

* 02:37 – Opendoor revenge trade

* 03:08 – Exiting Palo Alto Networks pre-Jackson Hole

* 03:48 – Airbnb trim

* 04:16 – Eli Lilly profit booked

* 04:36 – Small honorable mentions (PLTR, CSCO, Gold)

* 04:54 – Weekly net €567 ($616)

* 05:05 – Powell Jackson Hole impact

* 05:13 – Closing thoughts

💵 Dividends

* Novo Nordisk (NVO) – Received a dividend payout on Aug 19th: 65.47€ gross → 56.21€ net after tax.

📈 Trades Breakdown

✅ Profitable Moves

* Amazon (AMZN) – Sold part of my position cautiously, +67.6€ (≈58.04$). Still bullish for 2026–27.

* MercadoLibre (MELI) – In-and-out trade, +56.7€ gross → 48.68€ net.

* Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) – Revenge trade, small +52.6€ gain.

* Palo Alto Networks (PANW) – Fully sold position pre-Jackson Hole to avoid downside. Locked ~80€ profit.

* Airbnb (ABNB) – Exited before weekend risk, +29.2€.

* Eli Lilly (LLY) – One of my favorites, but trimmed with a strong +300.29€ gain.

❌ Missed / Smaller Gains

* Opendoor (OPEN) – Missed the bigger rally after selling.

* Airbnb (ABNB) – Will likely reenter if rates are cut (bullish for demand).

🎗 Honorable Mentions (Small <€10 trades)

* Palantir (PLTR)

* Cisco Systems (CSCO)

* Physical Gold (XAU/USD)

Total from these small trades: ~20€.

📊 Weekly Profit Summary

* Net Profit: €567 (~$616)

* Achieved and exceeded weekly income target!

📰 Market Context

* Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole hinted at flexible rate policy → Markets reacted positively.

* Expectation: potential rate cuts = bullish for growth stocks like AMZN, ABNB, MELI.

🧠 Lessons Learned

* Trim winners, but don’t sell too early (Opendoor rally reminder).

* Avoid weekend risk during macro events.

* Diversify trades across tech, healthcare, and consumer.

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe