Is China a rising financial superpower with a currency, the yuan, on course to become a dominant world reserve currency at the expense of the US dollar? This episode will examine the evidence on many sides, looking at the latest research by DICK BOVE of Odeon Capital Group, and at a mountain of other evidence and statistics. MAT VAN ALSTYNE, Odeon co-founder, will offer a fresh perspective on how this complex geo-political and economic game could change the course of history. Your host is journalist, JOHN AIDAN BYRNE
"There is no question as to what the Chinese want to accomplish," writes BOVE. "It has publicly stated its intentions and it has been supported in its efforts by the Russians and other countries in its political orbit. This raises the question as to what American financial companies can do for China."
China is seen as the most influential economic power in Southeast Asia, according to a new poll, although there’s caution over Beijing’s territorial positions over the South China Sea. A survey of 1,677 Southeast Asians by the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute showed 76.7% regard China as the most influential economic power in the region, followed by the U.S. at a distant 9.8%. Washington trailing in second place comes after the Biden administration finally unveiled its strategy to engage with Asia last week. Half of those with a positive view of China however say that perception could be negatively impacted if Beijing continues to expand its influence in their country. Source: Bloomberg
Catalogue of modern developments in China's economic evolution & development, compiled by DICK BOVE:
· The country joined the World Trade Organization
· It obtained the IMF approval for the yuan to be considered a global reserve currency.
· It established the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank as an IMF/World Bank alternative.
· China has developed its own cryptocurrency and forced other similar currencies out of the country.
· It has loaned an estimated $5.6 trillion to 165 countries
o An estimated 42 of these countries owe more than 10% of their GDP to China
o The total amount owed relative to global output is not known but has been guesstimated to be 6% of total world output.
o The United States owes China over $1.1 trillion.
· China has structured trade deals with multiple countries where the only currency used is the yuan
· The country’s banks are the largest in the world.
o They are funded with yuan
o They have developed investment banking skills learned from the Americans.
China has exerted increased political control over companies that are supposedly owned by public investors.