One Lucky Dog

Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan are back with a loaded Tuesday show. They go deep on whether FOMC minutes, Fed chair testimony, and CPI prints are actually tradeable — and their disagreement is sharper than you'd expect. Scott breaks down his four trades of the week: the Oracle put spread, a naked put in Rocket Lab, an AMD short call spread, and a Euro strangle. They get into position sizing on $50 vs. $500 stocks, why the Dow Jones has been financial theater since the '90s, and exactly what to do when you're uncomfortable with a position — close it, reduce it, roll it, or adjust it. Callers from Nova Scotia and Miami bring real questions on Lossdog's Canada plans and trading Meta and Microsoft ahead of earnings.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #optionstrading #stockmarket #salarynegotiation #investing

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro and market open recap

3:18 IBM down 25% — what it means for earnings season

8:33 Can you trade Fed releases, FOMC minutes, and CPI?

13:38 Selling puts vs. buying stock outright

17:25 Are option markets mispricing risk right now?

20:31 Lossdog platform update — investment analysis side

21:50 Position sizing on $50 vs. $500 stocks

23:51 AMD trillion-dollar market cap prediction

38:51 Scott's trades of the week — Rocket Lab, Oracle, AMD, Euro

46:59 South Korea's KOSPI selloff — warning sign for US traders?

59:31 Is the Dow Jones still a useful indicator?

1:08:42 Close, reduce, roll, or adjust an uncomfortable position

1:09:13 Caller from Nova Scotia — Lossdog and Canada

1:12:45 Caller from Miami — Meta and Microsoft earnings trades

1:15:17 The full framework: when to close, reduce, roll, or adjust

South Korea's KOSPI triggered its seventh market-wide circuit breaker of 2026 in a single week, falling over 8% in a single session — and it's exactly the kind of global signal that US traders often ignore until it's too late. Meanwhile, IBM shed 25% in a day after disappointing guidance, raising a real question for this earnings cycle: are markets still rewarding good news and punishing bad, or is the dynamic starting to flip? With the Fed's CPI data moving markets in real time and options volatility pumped to historic highs in names like Meta and the chip ETF SMH, knowing how to read implied volatility rank and act on it — rather than chasing headlines — is what separates reactive traders from prepared ones. Tom and Scott's debate over whether government numbers are even tradeable gets at something most retail traders never fully wrestle with: the market's reaction to a number is almost never what you'd predict from the number itself.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 8 : 30-10am CT

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan open the week with a question that sounds simple but cuts deep: if nearly 40 cents of every dollar in the S&P 500 flows into just 10 companies, is buying the index still diversification — or just a concentrated bet wearing a disguise? Tom breaks down his trades of the week, including a natural gas put, strangles in SMH and Meta, and a broken wing butterfly in Microsoft. Then it's a real conversation about how stock trading actually fits into an active trader's portfolio — when to use it, why it ties up capital, and how covered calls and Treasury ETFs factor in. Callers get into iron butterfly strategy around bank earnings and what it actually took to find developers when building thinkorswim from scratch in 1999. The show also covers the record $1 trillion in corporate buybacks through mid-2026 and whether that buying pressure is propping up the market more than anyone admits.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #optionstrading #stockmarket #investing #salarynegotiation

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro — Tom Sosnoff & Scott Sheridan

4:26 Is the S&P 500 too concentrated?

5:51 Index investing as a concentrated bet

26:14 Prediction markets — Odyssey opening weekend bet

28:07 Money Show Las Vegas announcement

29:03 World Cup finals picks

44:55 Trades of the week — NG, SMH, Meta, MSFT

48:15 Has options growth changed market structure?

50:55 Caller — iron butterfly on bank earnings

1:04:26 Caller — building thinkorswim, finding developers

1:10:31 Record corporate buybacks — $1 trillion in 2026

1:17:14 Stock trading in an active portfolio

1:27:17 How and why they trade stocks — covered calls, directional plays, Treasury ETFs

1:29:03 Final market recap & outro

The S&P 500 has become so top-heavy that the 10 largest companies now command roughly 40% of the entire index — a level of concentration that's historically unusual and, as Tom notes, has been building quietly for over 20 years. Retail options volume has exploded alongside that trend, with semiconductor options alone seeing nearly $2 billion in daily premium traded on some platforms, six times the historical average. Meanwhile, U.S. companies authorized over $1 trillion in share repurchases through the first half of 2026, making corporate buybacks one of the most powerful and underappreciated forces behind equity prices today. For active traders, the question isn't just whether to trade options or stocks — it's understanding how each tool serves a different purpose in a portfolio, from capturing directional exposure to deploying idle capital efficiently.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 8 : 30-10am CT

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has...

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Small caps just posted their best first half since 1991 — and almost nobody noticed. Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan break down why the 20% small cap rally flew under the radar while everyone chased AI and mega-cap names, what it actually signals about the health of the broader market, and whether it changes the options opportunity set for individual traders. Tony Battista is on vacation in Positano but still showed up — he submitted his trades of the week from Italy, including a soybeans strangle with a 93 IVR, a SpaceX put sale, and a Dell strangle with serious call skew. The show closes with a step-by-step scalping futures tutorial covering micro contracts, tick sizes, expected moves, profit targets, the 2x loss rule, and the one mistake that kills most scalpers before they ever get good at it.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #smallcaps #optionstrading #futurestradng #investing

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro and show preview

1:18 Small caps: best first half since 1991

6:41 Live market rundown

14:11 Crude oil trade setup

16:28 Trading scam warning

16:53 Defined vs undefined risk in small accounts

20:26 What bothers you about financial media

36:24 Question of the day: is this rally meant to be sold

37:04 Hedging a $65K long portfolio

39:01 Tony's trades from Italy: soybeans strangle

42:07 Tony's trades: SpaceX put sale

57:01 Dell strangle breakdown

58:56 Small cap outperformance and options opportunity

1:07:00 Caller Lisa: ZB bond trade mechanics

1:12:06 Zero DTE framework from the dog pound

1:17:53 Scalping futures tutorial: micro contracts and tick sizes

1:20:17 Scalping profit targets: 20–40% of expected move

1:22:17 Don't double down — the 2x loss rule

1:23:25 Scalping rule: never hedge or spread off a losing scalp

Small caps quietly outperformed nearly everything in the first half of 2026, with IWM climbing roughly 20% while most investors stayed locked on AI names and mega-cap tech. That kind of breadth expansion — smaller, domestically focused companies catching a genuine bid while semiconductors pulled back — has historically been a signal that the rally is broader and more durable than the headlines suggest. At the same time, futures trading is having a moment with retail investors, and the gap between people who understand micro contract sizing and those who don't is enormous. Knowing the tick value, the one-day expected move, and a realistic profit target before you place a scalp isn't optional — it's the whole game. These topics don't always get treated with the seriousness they deserve, which is exactly what this show exists to fix.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 8 : 30-10am CT

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/weareloss...

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan go deep on one of the most dangerous assumptions in modern investing — that buying every dip is always the right move. They break down why it's worked for 16 years, whether it's structural or just FOMO in disguise, and what it actually felt like to buy the dip into a 30% crash in 2020. Scott also walks through his trades of the week live — Google, Intel, and SpaceX setups explained — and Tom lays out a full beginner's guide to futures options: which products to start with, how to size them right, and why SPAN margin changes the math. Plus callers weigh in on whether to leave their day job for trading, how to handle a Michael Saylor forced-liquidation scenario, and what Lossdog's AI salary estimator actually does when you give it more data.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #optionstrading #investing #stockmarket #cryptocurrency

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro and morning market rundown

5:36 MU and NASDAQ short positions discussed

7:09 Host intro: Tom and Scott, Tony on vacation

18:23 How Lossdog calculates your salary number

20:57 Premium selling vs. buying — which side to stay on

24:37 Lossdog AI portfolio builder explained

26:10 Unemployment rate prediction: Nostradogus engine live

32:05 Scott's trades of the week: Google, Intel, SpaceX

43:14 Caller: when to leave your day job for trading

46:23 Caller: what if Michael Saylor gets forced to liquidate

49:15 Is "Buy the Dip" a real strategy or 16 years of FOMO?

1:04:45 Is trading math or just a dressed-up gut feeling?

1:14:42 Futures options 101: where to start, how to size

1:23:13 Futures options rules recap

1:25:22 World Cup picks and closing market rundown

With markets whipping back and forth after historic post-tariff rallies, the question of whether "buy the dip" is a strategy or a survival bias is hitting different right now. Margin debt at all-time highs, Bank of America warning about extreme speculation, and a NASDAQ that erased a massive gain overnight — it's the kind of environment that punishes blind faith and rewards anyone who actually understands what they own. Meanwhile the futures options market is one of the most capital-efficient arenas available to retail traders and still one of the least understood, which is exactly the kind of gap Tom and Scott have been closing since thinkorswim.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 8 : 30-10am CT

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.

👉 Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com/

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

SpaceX officially enters the NASDAQ today — and Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan break down exactly what that means for traders. They walk through the historical playbook for index inclusions, the $4.3 billion in forced passive buying hitting tonight's close, and why this might be a textbook buy-the-rumor, sell-the-news setup. Tom also shares his four trades of the week — a SpaceX put ratio spread, a crude oil short put, an Intel strangle, and a bond call vertical — and explains why he built them with zero correlation across all four. Plus: Greeks, buying power reduction, efficient markets, the World Cup red card controversy, and a live caller who put on a SpaceX Jade Lizard right out of the IPO.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #spacex #optionstrading #investing #worldcup

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro and market open

1:50 Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan — Tony Battista on vacation

4:10 Show agenda preview

6:04 Options taxes and wash sale rules

17:06 Dog Pound Q&A — limit orders at the open

19:44 Portfolio building mistakes

22:53 Uber strangle — how to handle call skew

24:32 SpaceX in the NASDAQ — should inclusion be immediate?

24:55 Lossdog platform update

26:11 Nostradogus — FOMC rate cut prediction

28:54 Tom's Trades of the Week — SpaceX put ratio spread

34:03 Trade 2 — crude oil short put

35:01 Trade 3 — Intel strangle

36:21 Trade 4 — bonds call vertical

38:08 SpaceX NASDAQ debut — structural mechanics

42:37 Buy the rumor, sell the news? SpaceX price action

47:54 Exchange debate — CBOE, CME, NYSE, NASDAQ

51:52 Historical index inclusion playbook

57:58 World Cup red card debate

1:01:50 Caller Annetta — SpaceX Jade Lizard trade

1:05:46 Caller Katon — the offsides rule debate

1:09:24 How much do Greeks actually matter in everyday trading?

1:13:52 Beta weighted delta and buying power reduction explained

1:20:09 Caller Steve — are markets perfectly priced?

1:26:22 Final market recap and closing

SpaceX's NASDAQ inclusion tonight is the first time a company has been fast-tracked directly into a major U.S. index at IPO-level valuation, bypassing the traditional one-year seasoning rule — and it's already forcing a rethink of how passive funds operate. The $4.3 billion in estimated forced buying from index funds that must own SpaceX at tonight's closing print is a real mechanical event, not hype. At the same time, the 2026 FIFA World Cup is rewriting American sports viewership in real time: for context, NFL football claimed 94 of the top 100 most-watched U.S. broadcast events in the last 12 months — and this is the first World Cup with a genuine shot at breaking into that list. Markets and culture are both in a moment of structural change, which is exactly the kind of environment that rewards traders who understand mechanics over narrative.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and st...

Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Tom Sosnoff and Tony Battista open with the week's sharpest question: did the OpenAI IPO delay just confirm that private AI valuations have run ahead of what public markets will actually pay? Tom reveals he made a pre-IPO investment in OpenAI six months ago — what the deal looked like, what it cost, and why he went in despite real reservations about the company. Tony Battista walks through his five trades of the week covering SpaceX call diagonals, AVGO put ratio spreads, a short put in VRT, a Dell double ratio spread, and Applied Opto Electronics, and announces the One Lucky Dog stablecoin is launching before end of July. Scott Sheridan joins to get into why a company would delay one of the most anticipated IPOs in market history and what the road show process actually tells you about whether a valuation will hold. Callers weigh in on SpaceX's future as a space infrastructure play and whether any competitor could realistically break through.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #openaiipo #optionstrading #stockmarket #spacex

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

5:34 Markets at the open: S&P and NASDAQ

10:07 Question of the Day: OpenAI IPO delay

11:26 Inside an OpenAI pre-IPO deal at $800

22:44 Lossdog trade feed: what's coming next

25:01 One Lucky Dog stablecoin launch

34:13 Tony's Trades of the Week

49:32 Are private AI valuations too high?

52:53 Pre-IPO deals: the lockup risk nobody talks about

1:05:07 How IPO road shows actually work

1:09:23 Caller: SpaceX and space infrastructure dominance

1:22:51 When to cut a losing trade

1:23:51 Market wrap: gold, silver, NASDAQ vs S&P

1:28:28 Fourth of July send-off

The OpenAI IPO delay sits at the center of a much bigger tension: private funding rounds set prices through negotiation and limited disclosure, but public markets impose continuous price discovery that can crack any valuation that doesn't hold up. As AI investment surged through 2024 and 2025, private-market prints climbed on conviction and controlled access — the public market test for OpenAI will be the first real stress test for trillion-dollar AI valuations at scale. For traders, the current environment — choppy markets near all-time highs, violent one-day swings in individual names, and sector sentiment shifting faster than fundamentals — is exactly when defined-risk structures like call diagonals and put ratio spreads earn their place in the toolkit. And with stablecoins entering a new regulatory window in 2026, platforms willing to do the compliance work are turning what was once fringe crypto into everyday financial infrastructure.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 8 : 30-10am CT

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a num...

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Tom Sosnoff and Tony Battista open the show amid a chip selloff — Micron down big, AMD down hard — while Meta surges and software rotates in. The main focus is tokenization: they break down the $31 billion in on-chain real-world assets (less than five seconds of opening-bell trading volume), run a live Nostradogus prediction engine demo that scores tokenization's five-year future at 86% likely, and bring in Scott Sheridan to explain what tokenized products actually offer that traditional markets don't — and why fungibility is the piece nobody's talking about. Viewer questions cover iron condor management, whether to resize into Fed meetings, and how Lossdog calculates your salary number using hundreds of millions of data points — including why white-collar professionals may be underpaid by $6-12 million over a lifetime. Callers weigh in on semis versus software rotation, a creative real estate commission idea, and Solana's recent strength.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #tokenization #stockmarket #optionstrading #crypto

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

1:11 Chip selloff: AMD, Micron down, software rotates up

4:55 Opening trades: Nike, crude oil, 10-year notes

10:31 Is tokenization hype or the real thing?

16:34 Position sizing into Fed meetings

21:42 Iron condor management: leave it alone

22:59 How Lossdog calculates your number

26:57 Why Lossdog was built: the $2M+ lifetime gap

31:14 Nostradogus prediction engine demo live on air

37:54 Lossdog trades of the week

43:37 Scott Sheridan joins

52:55 Real tokenization stats: $31B in context

1:04:06 What tokenization actually offers

1:15:17 Caller: real estate commission idea

1:26:49 Fungibility: critical for token markets to work

Tokenization of real-world assets has been building for years, but the actual market is still tiny — $31 billion sounds significant until you realize it's less than five seconds of NYSE opening volume. Regulatory friction has eased since the crypto winters of 2022-2023, and firms are moving toward public markets as pure-play tokenization vehicles, but institutional and retail adoption has been sluggish. Meanwhile, the pay transparency gap between executives and everyone else remains massive: S&P 500 CEOs average $18 million annually partly because public comp data lets them negotiate from strength — a data advantage most workers simply don't have. Closing that gap through AI-driven market value tools is the central argument behind platforms like Lossdog, and the data suggests the opportunity is enormous.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 8 : 30-10am CT

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your numb...

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan open the week with Tom's full Trades of the Week — a crude oil Jade Lizard, a SpaceX put spread, and a broken-wing butterfly in AMD — then get into some of the sharpest market discussion of the season. They break down why "playing it safe" with vertical spreads may actually be costing traders money in this volatility environment, why prediction markets and zero-day options have permanently changed how retail trades, and whether the resume is officially dead. Tony Battista joins mid-show with a more bullish read on the market, sparking a real debate on position sizing, defined vs. undefined risk, and how to set a return target that actually makes sense for an active trader. Callers and the dog pound keep it honest with questions on rolling short puts in Tesla, iron condor management, and CME margin mechanics.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #optionstrading #stockmarket #careertips #investing

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro and market open

1:54 S&P and NASDAQ morning move

7:13 Question of the day: how to adapt risk in today's markets

17:27 Lossdog career tab: uploading transcripts and resumes

18:29 Are resumes dead?

22:41 Active trader benchmark: 3-4x risk-free rate explained

24:27 Tom's Trades of the Week begins

30:47 Trade 1: Crude oil Jade Lizard

32:13 Trade 2: Baidu (BIDU) put selling

34:54 Trade 3: AMD broken-wing butterfly

36:47 SpaceX put spread and NASDAQ 100 inclusion

40:12 Micron's "Oracle moment" and chip stock rotation

43:41 Tony Battista joins, market midday check-in

46:15 Are new products changing trading behavior?

46:29 Prediction markets and leveraged ETFs

47:53 Zero-day options: the case for and against

1:03:18 Zero-day trading and the democratization of retail

1:07:12 Are defined risk trades becoming too expensive?

1:10:41 Diagonal spreads as the alternative

1:13:18 Trader psychology: when losers outsize winners

1:19:47 SpaceX joining NASDAQ 100 on July 7th

1:24:57 Iron condor management: rolling the untested side

1:26:19 CME margin requirements explained

1:28:38 Career advice: money-motivated kid with no long-term plan

1:31:44 Final market wrap-up

With every rally treated as a potential sale, Tom Sosnoff's bearish lean collides with Tony Battista's more optimistic read — and that tension runs through the whole show. The broader market context here is real: volatility has structurally changed what options strategies actually work. The old playbook of 45-day verticals and iron condors is under pressure not because those strategies are wrong, but because daily 1% moves in the S&P, zero-day expirations, and prediction market access have compressed trader time horizons in ways that make wider, more flexible structures — diagonals, jade lizards, broken-wing butterflies — increasingly relevant. Meanwhile, the question of what a resume even means in 2026, when AI can assess professional value from a LinkedIn profile and portfolio, isn't abstract anymore. Lossdog is building directly into that shift.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more...

Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan open the show reacting to Micron's massive earnings gap-up while Tom's short position takes a hit — then they get into something more useful: whether a stock-heavy portfolio has quietly become the default setting for an entire generation of investors, and what happens when the only market they know is one that just goes up. Tony Battista joins mid-show with his week's best trades in Nvidia, ServiceNow, and SPY, plus the case against blindly owning too many positions with no real thesis. Callers bring live questions on delta selection, strangle mechanics on Chinese stocks like Alibaba, and how to hedge with futures instead of more stock. Late in the show: why MSTR looks like a single point of failure, and a sharp argument for AI real-time fact-checking every speech, earnings call, and congressional testimony.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #optionstrading #investing #stockmarket #passiveinvesting

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro and show format explained

1:10 Micron earnings gap-up reaction

4:18 Market open — NASDAQ reversal stats

13:55 Question of the day: too stock-heavy?

16:24 Why your kids think selling is stupid

19:35 Caller Vince: delta selection — 10 vs 16-22 delta

21:42 Caller Vince: strangle mechanics on a $100K account

41:01 Tony Battista joins — MU losses and longevity

47:42 Caller Loki: Chinese stocks — Alibaba put selling vs LEAPS

51:34 Tony Battista's trades — Nvidia jade lizard

54:25 Tony's trades — ServiceNow jade lizard

57:29 Tony's trades — SPY ratio spread

59:07 Wendy's as a meme stock

1:03:48 Caller Ryan: passive index investing vs strangles

1:07:23 Hedging with micros and mini futures

1:08:10 Lossdog platform update — live trade tracking coming

1:24:55 MSTR as a single point of failure

1:26:10 AI real-time fact-checking — baseball, politics, and earnings calls

The stock market in 2026 is being navigated by two very different generations — one that remembers crashes, and one that has only ever bought dips that bounced. That generational gap is exactly what drives today's debate: has the stock-heavy portfolio become less of a strategy and more of a reflex? With 80 million Americans invested in the markets but only a fraction actively managing risk, the question of whether passive concentration is a feature or a ticking clock has never been more relevant. Meanwhile, the ongoing volatility in mega-cap tech — from Micron gapping up $178 in a single session to Apple and Microsoft selling off in the same morning — makes the case for understanding options strategies like strangles, jade lizards, and ratio spreads as alternatives to just buying and hoping. And on the AI front, the conversation about real-time fact-checking isn't just theoretical anymore: the same technology that already automates umpire calls in Major League Baseball could be working on congressional testimony and earnings calls next.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, t...

Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Gold briefly crashed under $4,000 this morning and the bond market exploded to 114, giving Tom Sosnoff and Tony Battista a live, real-time case study in why the bond market tells the Fed what to do — not the other way around. They walk through actual put trades on gold futures and crude oil, break down strangle mechanics for a retired aerospace engineer caller who wants to run a purely mechanical options strategy, and get into where your real trading edge comes from when everyone has access to the same information. Plus, caller Doug has a business growing 40% year over year and private equity just showed up at his door — the conversation about what actually happens once you take that money is one of the most honest you'll hear anywhere. Wendy's goes full meme stock, Micron earnings are on deck, and the Lossdog AI prediction engine makes its on-air debut.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #optionstrading #investing #memestock #financialfreedom

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro and new show format

1:02 Gold under $4,000 and put selling

6:27 Bond market rally and Fed rate odds

22:39 Lossdog AI prediction engine demo

33:13 Trade walkthrough: gold futures puts

36:09 Trade walkthrough: crude oil puts

51:22 Caller: strangle mechanics and Jade Lizard

56:55 Where does trading edge actually come from?

1:07:10 High-frequency trading explained and defended

1:14:22 Caller Doug: private equity offer on his business

1:19:21 Wendy's meme stock surge

1:26:06 Social media and market irrationality

1:30:59 Final market recap and Micron earnings debate

The options market has been running on historically compressed volatility, which makes mechanical premium-selling strategies like strangles and Jade Lizards a live conversation for retail traders right now — not a theoretical one. At the same time, the bond market is flashing signals that cut through the Fed narrative entirely: when the 30-year bond trades at 114, the rate-hike talk on cable TV is basically noise. The private equity discussion hits a nerve that most business owners only understand after it's too late — the moment a PE firm puts a number on your company, the psychology shifts fast, and the leverage they hold rarely shows up in the initial pitch. Meme stocks like Wendy's are a useful reminder that social media can move a price without moving the fundamentals, which is exactly why position sizing and knowing your edge matter more than the narrative du jour.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 8 : 30-10am CT. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 8 : 30-10am CT

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.

👉 Join Lossdog at https://lossdog.com/

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.