One Lucky Dog

Join the Lossdog waitlist at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

The big question today: would this market even exist without AI spending propping it up? Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan, and Tony Battista go back and forth on whether we're priced to perfection or riding a wall of worry — and why the answer matters more than most people realize. A caller asks how Tom and Scott would build a short fund today compared to the one they ran back in 2000, right before the dot-com crash. Scott walks through his trades of the week, including a live Micron earnings play ahead of tomorrow's report. The show wraps with a Lossdog platform update — live trade feeds are coming next week and the new software release drops tomorrow.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #stockmarket #optionstrading #aistocks #investing

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro and market open recap

1:14 Is this a crash? VIX over 20 debate

5:53 Bagel shop business model breakdown

17:06 Caller: how to build a short fund today

20:03 Question of the day — is market too AI-dependent?

21:16 Tom's case: AI spending still has room to run

22:29 Scott's case: AI froth is unsustainable

26:24 Scott's trades of the week

26:43 Micron earnings trade walkthrough

27:50 Yen and Netflix options plays

35:05 Dot-com era vs AI era — same mistakes or different?

40:55 Oil as a contrarian buy

41:18 GPU obsolescence and AI infrastructure risk

50:35 China economy first-hand report

53:49 Is the market ignoring risk?

56:53 Goldman Sachs recession odds and what changed

59:47 Final market numbers and closing recap

1:00:38 Lossdog new release — everyone in the pool tomorrow

1:01:39 Live trade feed coming next week

The AI trade has lifted nearly everything — not just chip stocks, but the broader market. That's the real tension here. When spending on infrastructure is this concentrated, a single earnings miss or a shift in guidance from one major player can reprice the whole complex fast. The dot-com parallel is worth taking seriously: investors knew the internet was real, but that didn't stop valuations from collapsing 80% before they recovered. Today's debate isn't whether AI matters — it's whether the market has priced in perfection at a moment when the ROI on hundreds of billions in AI capex is still unproven. Goldman Sachs cutting its recession probability from 25% to 15% in three weeks didn't happen in a vacuum, and the fact that mega-caps like Apple, Amazon, and Meta were up on a day the NASDAQ dropped 800 points tells you exactly where the crowded trade is living right now.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.

...

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Join the Lossdog waitlist at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan, and Tony Battista kick off the week with a live poll that split the crowd: Bitcoin or Microsoft at current levels, and why the 72% who picked Microsoft might be thinking about it wrong. From there, they get into why anyone should actually care about digital assets beyond just hoping the price goes back up, what AI is really going to do to investment advisor fees and the profession as a whole, and the wild story of "Captain Condor"—the options trader who built a $50M following selling iron condors until the Wall Street Journal wrote about him and he doubled down straight into a wipeout. There's also a caller from a food manufacturing startup asking how to build a social media presence from scratch, a deep look at whether summer market doldrums are real or a myth, and live trade breakdowns on IBIT, SMH, IBM, and a Microsoft strangle.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #optionstrading #bitcoin #investing #stockmarket

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro and show banter

5:50 US Open golf recap

13:52 Bitcoin vs. Microsoft poll

18:00 Why should anyone care about digital assets?

22:06 Live trade ideas: IBIT, SMH, IBM, Microsoft

27:38 The Captain Condor story: $50M options wipeout

32:19 How AI will change investment advisors and fees

41:46 Caller: social media strategy for a food startup

46:37 Lossdog platform update: new interface live

48:59 Do summer market doldrums actually exist?

54:46 Historical data: June, July, and August returns

57:17 Live market rundown and Micron short confession

Building your own investment view has never been easier—and never been more confusing. AI tools now give retail investors access to research and portfolio logic that used to require a six-figure advisor relationship, yet the case for human advisors isn't dead. The real argument, as laid out here, is that what you're paying for has shifted from information to emotional steadiness: someone to call when markets drop 3% on a Tuesday. Meanwhile, the digital asset debate keeps evolving. Bitcoin has halved from its highs, the crowd still believes in a comeback, and yet the fundamental question—what is it actually for, beyond scarcity—remains genuinely unsettled. In options markets, the Captain Condor cautionary tale is a timeless reminder that a string of wins plus media attention plus doubling down is a specific kind of trap, and it keeps claiming people in every market cycle.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.

👉 Join the waitlist at https://lossdog.com/

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Join the Lossdog waitlist at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

It's a hat trick — Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan, and Tony Battista are all back together, and they came loaded. SpaceX just acquired AI coding company Cursor for $60 billion in an all-stock deal, so Tom walks through four specific SpaceX options trades: a broken wing butterfly, an August strangle he loves at 111% volatility, a bearish condor, and a cheap bullish call spread. Then it's Fed day, and the crew gets into whether the new Fed chair Worsh can hold the line on rates with the White House pushing hard to cut. Callers bring it too — Mark from Madison breaks down how the expected move changed his futures trading after 25 years, and the whole crew shares their best trading mantras from the floor.

#lossdog #tomsosnoff #oneluckydoglive #optionstrading #spacex #federalreserve #futurestrading

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro: the hat trick is back

3:35 Market open — S&P, oil, NASDAQ check

4:32 Options expiration warning: Thursday not Friday

7:07 SpaceX acquires Cursor for $60B — trades of the week

10:43 Fed talk: Worsh, inflation at 4.2%, and the rate dilemma

15:00 Caller from Milan: when is the show going on the road?

21:41 SpaceX broken wing butterfly trade breakdown

23:22 SpaceX August strangle — Tom's favorite trade

24:41 SpaceX bearish condor trade

26:00 SpaceX bullish call spread

29:00 Market recap: gold, oil, crypto, bonds, big tech

35:05 Fed vs. Treasury: is the executive blurring the lines?

39:08 Caller Mark: using the expected move in futures

41:51 Best trading mantras — "just trade the winners"

42:50 Caller Gary: why isn't there a VIX for the upside?

45:07 Caller Daniel: when to expand or hand off your business

47:49 How to trade FOMC day: 7 strategies explained

53:31 Scott Bessent poll results from the dog pound

The Fed's June 2026 meeting lands in a genuinely awkward moment: inflation is still running above 2% at 4.2%, equity markets are near all-time highs, and the new Fed chair Kevin Worsh is navigating pressure from the White House to cut rates while trying to establish his own credibility. At the same time, SpaceX's $60 billion all-stock acquisition of Cursor signals just how fast private AI deals are scaling — and how much volatility is baked into a stock trading at 111% implied volatility. For options traders, Fed days have a playbook, and this episode gets specific about it: fade the spike, wait a day, use the CME Fed Watch tool, trade smaller size, and know the difference between ZB and ZN. These aren't theories — they're the mechanics that actually survive contact with a live announcement.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan and Tony Battista bring decades of trading, entrepreneurial and fintech experience to optimizing our professional and portfolio worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a number. Lo...

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Join the Lossdog waitlist at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan, and Tony Battista get into one of the oldest market sayings—"buy the rumor, sell the news"—and reveal what the research actually shows: it's 100% random, every single time. From there, the conversation shifts to the big investing debate of the moment, moonshot style versus moat style, and whether retail traders piling into SpaceX and Micron have permanently changed how markets move. Callers bring sharp questions on copper options trading, selling insurance vs. selling options, whether the new Fed chair will move markets, and what it actually feels like to manage other people's money. The show closes with a caller who got quietly bought out of his SpaceX pre-IPO fund position without consent—and Tom and Scott explain exactly why that happened and who was really responsible.

#lossdog #spacex #optionstrading #stockmarket #investing #retailtrading

TIMESTAMPS

5:17 SpaceX options trade breakdown

10:27 Market outlook: SpaceX and Micron carrying the market

13:27 Is "buy the rumor, sell the news" actually real?

16:20 Research verdict: it's 100% random

29:49 Moonshot investing vs. moat-style investing

35:11 Moat vs. moonshot: full breakdown and debate

44:53 Can small traders be contrarian? The real answer

49:23 Caller: copper options trading and contract size

50:44 Caller: selling options vs. selling insurance

55:38 Fed chair Walsh speaks tomorrow—what to expect

58:33 Caller: should you manage other people's money?

1:00:49 Caller: SpaceX pre-IPO fund—got bought out without consent

1:04:31 Final market recap and SpaceX valuation question

The "buy the rumor, sell the news" trade is one of the most repeated ideas in markets—and one of the least supported by data. Research from the thinkorswim era found the outcome is essentially a coin flip regardless of the event type, which cuts against the instinct that big announcements create predictable moves. Meanwhile, SpaceX's debut as a publicly traded company is reshaping how retail investors think about risk: a generation shaped by meme stocks and social media is gravitating toward moonshot positions over traditional value plays, and the numbers suggest they're moving markets in ways institutional investors didn't see coming. The question of whether that behavior is a structural shift or a cycle that eventually breaks is exactly what Tom, Scott, and Tony are working through in real time—and it's a question every investor probably should be asking right now.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your...

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Join the Lossdog waitlist at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Tony Battista is back, and this episode wastes no time getting into it. Tom Sosnoff, Tony, and Sol break down the SpaceX IPO from every angle — who got allocations (and how little Scott Sheridan actually received), why the lock-up rules are unlike any IPO before it, and what retail traders need to understand before options even list. They walk through live trades in the Q's, Tesla, Netflix, and Uber, share specific rules for trading a high-volatility new offering like SpaceX, and explain why call skew will make put spreads expensive and call spreads look too cheap. Callers ask about SpaceX index inclusion, which trade survives a market collapse, and whether to leave Fidelity for tastytrade.

#lossdog #spacex #optionstruding #ipo #stockmarket #optionstrading

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro: Tony Battista is back, Sol returns

2:23 Market opened big — selling futures from the car

4:50 SpaceX IPO allocation story: Tom vs Scott

6:38 SpaceX opened at $150 — what actually happened

13:15 SpaceX lock-up rule: can't sell until stock is +30%

15:51 Elon's IPO marketing vs OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs ahead

17:23 Live trades: Q's, Netflix, Tesla, Uber

21:17 Caller: SpaceX added to QQQ — how does forced buying work?

35:43 Caller: What trade do you take to battle right now?

39:13 Caller: Should I leave Fidelity for tastytrade?

42:49 How to trade a highly anticipated IPO like SpaceX

46:06 Use spreads, not naked options — here's why

50:11 SpaceX call skew warning: calls expensive, put spreads costly

55:42 Market recap: all-time highs, no downtick since Sunday night

59:14 Tony's new email + show closing

The SpaceX IPO is the biggest market event of 2026 so far, pulling in retail and institutional traders alike at a moment when U.S. equities are near all-time highs and volatility has been steadily compressing. For options traders, a new mega-cap IPO creates a unique and dangerous early window: implied volatility is often mispriced, there's no historical data to anchor expectations, and call skew can make familiar strategies backfire in ways that aren't obvious until it's too late. Understanding how index inclusion mechanics work — including the forced buying pressure from ETFs like QQQ — and how lock-up structures differ from traditional IPOs is essential context that most retail traders don't have before they place their first trade.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.

👉 Join the waitlist at https://lossdog.com/

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Join the Lossdog waitlist at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

With the SpaceX IPO dropping the next morning, Tom Sosnoff and Tony Battista get into whether retail investors have any real business touching it — and their answer is pretty clear. Tony walks through five live trades including a broken wing butterfly on SPX, put ratio spreads on Apple and Microsoft, a contrarian Palantir call spread, and a diagonal on a name he likes to own. Then the conversation shifts to the AI taxation debate: who actually foots the bill when trillion-dollar companies pay no taxes, consume massive energy, and the public picks up the tab? Tom and Tony also break down the five things they actually watch to make trading decisions — and inflation reports, Iran headlines, and SpaceX news aren't any of them. Callers include Jeff from Ohio sharing a long options strategy on XSP and Loki from New Jersey pressing on SpaceX valuation.

#lossdog #spacex #optionstrading #stockmarket #airegulation #investing

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro and set banter

4:44 Overnight trades recap and gold puts

10:35 SpaceX IPO: Tom's honest take

13:34 SpaceX valuation vs. tastytrade's exit

16:57 Today's market snapshot and rotation

27:37 Tony's trades of the week — overview

28:02 Trade 1: SPX broken wing butterfly

29:41 Trade 2: Apple put ratio spread

30:49 Trade 3: Palantir directional call spread

31:37 Trade 4: Microsoft put ratio spread

32:29 Trade 5: Diagonal spread breakdown

43:00 Caller Nick — market outlook discussion

45:08 AI regulation debate begins

57:30 What traders actually watch (not the news)

1:02:59 Caller Jeff from Ohio — XSP options strategy

1:05:17 Caller Loki — SpaceX valuation question

1:08:32 SpaceX IPO: buy the dip or stay away?

1:10:28 Final market update and close

The SpaceX IPO lands at a moment when markets are already pulling off a rotation no one saw coming — chip stocks ripping while Meta, Google, and Microsoft all bleed. AI data centers now consume enough energy that utility bills for regular consumers are quietly going up, while the companies behind those data centers haven't turned a taxable profit yet. The debate over whether to tax token usage, automated labor, or AI energy consumption isn't fringe anymore — it's coming from inside the AI companies themselves. And with interest rates stuck and gold whipsawing, the old playbook of watching macro headlines just doesn't hold up the way it used to.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.

👉 Join the waitlist at https://lossd...

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Join the Lossdog waitlist at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan are joined by longtime friend Tony Battista while Sol is out, and it turns into one of the show's more packed episodes. They get into how to hold your decision-making speed when market noise is at its highest, break down five concrete ways to not get wiped out on three-standard-deviation days, and share this week's Lossdog AI trades: Oracle earnings, IBIT, Japanese yen puts, and a GLD put spread. A caller wrestles with whether to put $100K all-in on Bitcoin, another wants to know exactly how long an employment gap is too long after getting laid off from commodity trading, and Tom and Scott get candid about leaving tastytrade — on their own terms. Then there's the Steve Jobs argument that changes how you think about every company you'll ever work for or invest in: the bottom line always follows the top line.

#lossdog #jobsearch #employmentgap #optionstrading #bitcoin #stockmarket

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

5:51 Yesterday's whipsaw market recap

10:47 20-year zero coupon bonds at 5.3%

19:09 SpaceX IPO priced at $135 — $1.77T valuation

21:16 How to trade through all the noise

33:20 Floor trader delta mechanics explained

35:07 Oracle earnings trade setup

44:06 Why Tom and Scott left tastytrade

55:24 Founder CEOs vs hired CEOs

59:10 Caller Justin: employment gap question

1:02:42 Surviving whipsaws: the 6 rules

1:06:54 Gold and silver outlook

1:09:25 Is AI the next commodity bubble

The job market heading into mid-2026 hasn't recovered cleanly — layoffs across finance and tech have left a lot of professionals with employment gaps longer than they expected, and the question of when a gap starts hurting your candidacy is something hiring managers rarely answer directly. Markets are also having more three-standard-deviation days than most traders planned for, making position management less about strategy and more about survival. The debate over whether companies genuinely optimize for top-line growth or quietly slash their way to short-term margin gains is playing out in real time across corporate America, and Steve Jobs' view that the bottom line always chases the top line has never been more relevant to people deciding where to work or what to invest in. Bitcoin sitting roughly 50% off its all-time highs while gold retreats from $5,500 to under $4,200 in the same year frames the exact dilemma investors face right now: buying opportunity, or assets simply going dead?

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.

...

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Join the Lossdog waitlist at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Sol's on vacation, so Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan bring in a long-time friend and "intern" Tony Battista to hold down the desk. The SpaceX IPO lands Thursday night and these three get into the real risks: stretched valuation, the Elon Musk concentration problem, cash burn that could force heavy dilution, and unproven business segments like xAI that nobody can actually price. They also get into how active traders find new positions when the market feels thin, break down a live caller's Tesla iron condor that went naked, debate oil's path to the low 80s by end of summer, and share where the Lossdog platform stands with 26,000 people on the waitlist.

#lossdog #spacexipo #optionstrading #stockmarket #activetradng #financialfreedom

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro — Tony Batista is back

3:51 Tony's history with Tom & Scott at tastytrade

5:01 Market check — wild overnight swings

6:06 Knicks, Stanley Cup, and sports banter

14:43 Question of the day: Do the best trades feel uncomfortable?

17:02 The paradox of certainty — hardest decisions win

21:46 Caller Dylan: Tesla iron condor gone wrong

25:18 Scott's live trade ideas — Nike, Google, Microsoft

29:24 SpaceX IPO: hidden and obvious risks

37:11 Is Elon Musk the worst billionaire? The debate

39:52 Caller Joe: Should taxpayers get paid back by Elon?

47:47 Caller Ron: Shorting oil — where's crude headed?

50:33 Tokenization vs decimalization — what's the real future?

53:31 How to find trades when nothing's obvious

58:45 Zero-day options for small retail accounts

1:01:23 Live market recap — NASDAQ, gold, Bitcoin, Nvidia

1:02:39 Lossdog platform — 20K users onboarding next week

The SpaceX IPO is arriving at a moment when retail investors are more plugged into big tech listings than ever, and the mechanics of this one are genuinely unusual — lock-up rules tied to price performance rather than time, xAI folded in at an unknowable valuation, and index funds potentially forced to buy regardless of price. Meanwhile, the broader debate about whether the best trades feel the most uncomfortable captures something real about how volatility-selling strategies actually work in low-VIX environments. With 26,000 people on the Lossdog waitlist and the platform preparing to open to nearly 20,000 users in the next two weeks, the show is also a real-time window into what it looks like to build financial technology from the ground up.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.

👉...

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.

Join the Lossdog waitlist at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

The band is back together — Sol's on vacation, so Tony Battista steps in and the chaos immediately escalates. Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan run Tony's career profile through the Lossdog software live on air and reveal his market value number in real time, which Tony politely disagrees with. They also get into Friday's massive market sell-off — the VIX spiked nearly 40%, the NASDAQ dropped 1,600 handles — and debate whether the "buy the dip" era is finally over, what that means for premium sellers right now, and why being a self-directed trader makes you a sharper, more valuable professional in any field you're in. Callers weigh in with real stories, including an insurance broker from Joshua Tree who runs his whole business using options logic.

#lossdog #optionstrading #stockmarket #vix #careerdevelopment #financialliteracy

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro — Tony Battista sits in for Sol

8:21 Friday's sell-off — is buy the dip over?

17:51 Market update: S&P, NASDAQ, VIX, Bitcoin

26:45 Tom's trades of the week: Coinbase, SMH, MRVL, bonds

34:56 How trading makes you better at any career

41:43 Lossdog software reveals Tony's market value live

45:37 Market rotation: metals vs. crypto vs. tech

53:46 VIX deep dive — opportunity or caution now?

1:00:00 Trading strategy in high volatility environments

1:05:09 Market snapshot + caller open

1:08:29 Fazia calls in — predicting today's close

1:10:19 Rob & Maria call in — PDT rule, AI robot trading

1:14:03 Brandon from Joshua Tree — trading mindset in business

1:16:17 Lossdog software preview + show close

The June 6, 2026 selloff — where the S&P dropped roughly 200 handles and the NASDAQ shed over 1,600 points — was one of the sharpest single-day moves of the year, and it landed right as traders were starting to believe the market only moved in one direction. With the VIX cash spiking nearly 40% and forward VX flirting with 20, the question isn't just how to trade the aftermath — it's whether the decade-plus buy-the-dip reflex is finally running out of runway. That backdrop makes the career side of this conversation just as timely: in a job market where financial literacy still isn't taught in most schools, professionals who understand risk, probability, and market structure genuinely think and decide differently than those who don't — and employers are starting to notice. The Lossdog platform is building directly into that gap, using AI to give people an actual number for their market value instead of a vague range on a salary aggregator.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossd...

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Join the Lossdog waitlist at https://lossdog.com and please subscribe to this channel.

Tom Sosnoff, Scott Sheridan, and Sol get into the SpaceX IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation — and why Tom thinks it might signal a market top rather than a launching pad. They break down what employers actually want to see from job seekers (hint: it's not your credentials), walk through live Dog AI trade ideas in Coinbase and Robinhood, and get into why 24-hour trading is changing the game for retail investors. Callers weigh in on naked puts vs. defined-risk spreads, calendar spreads on Virgin Galactic, and the pari-mutuel betting analogy that actually maps surprisingly well to options trading.

#lossdog #spacex #space #optionstrading #jobsearch #24hourtrading #stockmarket #patterndaytrading

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro and vacation talk

3:44 Live event recap: speaking at UIC med school

8:00 The CIA headquarters story

10:16 Lossdog platform update and show agenda

15:43 Caller Brad: leaving animation, going independent

16:29 Brad's question: naked puts vs. defined risk spreads

19:15 SpaceX IPO — market top signal?

23:33 Virgin Galactic confusion and SPCE speculation

24:29 Dog AI trade ideas: Coinbase, Robinhood, crude oil

31:39 Top tips for job seekers

41:01 Caller TJ: how calendar spreads actually work

45:22 Caller Mark: horse racing, pari-mutuel, and options pricing

52:55 Why 24-hour trading matters for retail investors

56:04 How and why to trade outside market hours

58:26 Final market snapshot and wrap

The SpaceX IPO is arriving at a time when markets feel like they've already priced in a lot of optimism — and the simultaneous buzz around Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs has some seasoned traders asking whether this wave of mega-listings is a sign of peak euphoria rather than the start of something new. Meanwhile, the shift to 24-hour equity trading, now backed by regulatory green lights for options exchanges like CBOE, is quietly rewiring how active traders manage risk across time zones. On the career side, companies sitting on AI-powered hiring tools are changing what "qualified" even means — and the old playbook of leading with credentials is getting replaced by something harder to fake: curiosity and adaptability.

ABOUT ONE LUCKY DOG LIVE! / LOSSDOG

One Lucky Dog LIVE! is your daily wake-up call for career and financial clarity—streaming live Monday through Thursday, 10-11am ET. Hosts Tom Sosnoff and Scott Sheridan (the founders behind thinkorswim and tastytrade) along with co-host Sol bring decades of experience democratizing finance, now turning their attention to something just as broken: how we understand our professional worth.

Lossdog is the platform they're building to fix it. It's AI-powered software that doesn't just guess what you should earn—it calculates your real market value and shows you exactly how to increase it. No more vague salary ranges. No more wondering if you're being underpaid. Just clarity, backed by data.

The show is the conversation. The platform is the tool. Together, they're designed to help you stop leaving money on the table and start building the career you actually deserve.

📺 Watch live: Mon-Thu 10-11am ET

📞 Call in: 989-LOSSDOG

📧 [email protected]

🐕 Follow @wearelossdog everywhere 👉 http://linktr.ee/wearelossdog

Everyone has a number. Lossdog helps you know your number, and grow your number.

👉 Join the waitlist at https://lossdog.com/

Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.