Wild Card Weekend: Picks, Predictions, and The Final Tally
Darin and Ed closed out the regular season with a dramatic Week 18 and are now diving into their picks for the six matchups of Super Wild Card Weekend! But first let's look at the teams not in the playoffs...
NFL Reverse Power Rankings: Who Will Bounce Back by 2026?
The NFL playoffs are finally here! Wild Card Weekend is set, and while the excitement builds for the teams competing, our hosts Darin Hayes and Ed Kleese took one final look back at the regular season to assess the teams that didn't make the cut.
In a spirited segment on the Pig Pen, Ed unveiled his Reverse Power Rankings—a prediction of the 18 non-playoff teams ranked by their likelihood of making the postseason by 2026.
Here’s a breakdown of the teams most likely to bounce back... and the ones that might be grounded for a while.
Ed’s Methodology: The 2026 Confidence Score
Ed’s rankings are not about the next five years; they are solely focused on the immediate future: How confident are we that this team can be in the playoffs by the 2026 season? (Note: Ed used 2026, which in the context of the transcript meant "next year" or "in two years").
The Bottom Rung: Gaining Altitude
Starting at the bottom, the future looks bleakest for a few franchises:
- #18 New York Jets:Darin noted this Jet has been "grounded for a while." Ed sees a mess on the field, especially given the coaching issues, making them the least likely to turn things around quickly.
- #17 Arizona Cardinals & #16 Tennessee Titans:Both teams face massive organizational turnover (coaching and likely quarterback changes), tough divisions, and a lack of strong roster depth.
The Middle Ground: The Land of Perpetual Mediocrity
This group is filled with teams that could just as easily be 6-11 as 9-8:
- #15 Cleveland Browns:Despite a strong defense, their offensive uncertainty (due to the Deshaun Watson contract situation) keeps them firmly in the middle. Ed summed it up: "They're the Browns."
- #14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers:This window feels like it's closing. Ed noted that after an early MVP conversation, Baker Mayfield settled back into his "average" cycle, and the overall roster talent isn't inspiring.
- #12 Las Vegas Raiders:Surprisingly high on Ed’s list, he cited the addition of the first overall draft pick and the "ultimate winner" presence of the Tom Brady connection. Darin immediately disagreed, arguing they should be much lower, believing one player won't fix the underlying issues.
- #11 Atlanta Falcons:The definition of "No Man's Land." The firing of Raheem Morris was shocking, especially since they were close to winning the division. However, Ed defended the move, citing poor clock management and a tendency to lose close games.
The Up Arrow: Genuine Hope for 2026
These teams have the foundational pieces—whether it’s a coach, a quarterback, or cap space—to compete immediately.
- #10 New Orleans Saints:They finished the year strong, and with a first-year coach and a defense that improved, the foundation is set for a rise.
- #9 Indianapolis Colts:Their season ended disappointingly, and the question marks surrounding Daniel Jones' Achilles injury dampen their outlook, forcing them to find another starting quarterback (likely Anthony Richardson or Riley Leonard) for the start of the next season.
- #8 Baltimore Ravens & #7 Cincinnati Bengals:The AFC North is complicated. Ed believes the Ravens are heading for a shake-up after moving on from Harbaugh, potentially leading to a "player dumping" and rebuild. The Bengals, despite their trenches being "in shambles," have the offensive core in Joe Burrow to bounce back quickly if the front office invests wisely.
The Top 6: Fastest Turnaround Contenders
The top tier includes the teams with the highest potential for a dramatic turnaround, proving that dropping out of the playoffs sometimes just means you were unlucky.
Rank
Team
Rationale
Darin/Ed Insight
#6
New York Giants
Ed predicts a potential "Patriot-like turnaround." Despite a 4-13 finish, they blew several winnable games. With a top-five pick and young talent like Malik Neighbors, they have the prestige and structure to attract a great new coach.
Darin wants Kevin Stefanski for his ability to handle young QBs and strong coordinator picks.
#5
Washington Commanders
Their ranking is based on the strong quarterback/offensive line situation. If Jayden Daniels can stay healthy, and if the new regime (like Dan Quinn) shifts to a slightly more traditional offense to protect him, they could easily jump back into the 9-11 win range.
Darin fears the dreaded "RG3 syndrome" due to Daniels' running style and injury risk.
#4
Dallas Cowboys
"This is just where they always are." The floor is high. Barring massive catastrophe, they are guaranteed to be in the mix for 8 to 10 wins, making them a perennial Wild Card contender.
Darin worries about their salary cap situation, with so much invested in a few players and looming contracts (like CD Lamb/George Pickens).
#3
Detroit Lions
They need better health luck (especially in the secondary and on the offensive line). The talent remains, and quarterback Jared Goff is a solid signal-caller. A few smart moves on defense and the O-line will put them right back in the thick of things.
They need to address their defensive and offensive line "shambles" to protect Goff and free up the running game.
#2
Kansas City Chiefs
A classic case of deferring to greatness. As long as Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are there, they have a chance. Ed assumes the organization will make the necessary personnel changes to help Mahomes, chalking this season up as a transition year.
Darin is skeptical, citing the AFC West's rising competitiveness (Denver, LA) which could make their path back difficult.
#1
Minnesota Vikings
Ed's Strongest Prediction: Ed believes Minnesota was the best team in the NFL this year that didn’t make the playoffs. Their defense was arguably the best in the league by the end of the year, but the quarterback situation was a "nightmare." With Kevin O'Connell as a great coach, Ed confidently stated: "Minnesota Vikings will be in the playoffs in 2026."
Regular Season Pick Tally
Finally, after a roller-coaster season that saw the lead change multiple times, Darin clinched the regular-season pick title by a hair!
Final Regular Season Score:
- Darin Hayes: 85
- Ed Kleese: 84
With the regular season settled, the attention now turns to the Wild Card matchups! Be sure to tune in for our full breakdown and predictions for the NFL Playoffs!
Jets fans, maybe fast forward to 2027... or 2047.
🏆 Wild Card Weekend Predictions
For the playoffs, each host picks the winner of the game (1 point) and offers one bold prediction (1 point). A maximum of 2 points is available per person per game, totaling 12 potential points for the week.
Saturday Games
Matchup
Pick
Host
Bold Prediction
Rams at Panthers (Sat PM)
Rams
Ed
Rams win by 13 or more. (Total Chalk)
Rams
Darin
LA is going +2 in the turnover department.
Packers at Bears (Sat Night)
Packers (Upset)
Ed
Packers hit a field goal with 60 seconds or less or overtime to win.
Bears
Darin
Caleb to Roma Duzay connection results in two touchdowns.
Sunday Games
Matchup
Pick
Host
Bold Prediction
Bills at Jaguars (Sun Early)
Bills
Ed
Josh Allen magic with four or more combined touchdowns.
Bills
Darin
Both Trevor Lawrence and Josh Allen will score at least one rushing and one passing touchdown.
49ers at Eagles (Sun Mid)
49ers (Upset)
Ed
Christian McCaffrey to have 125 or more combined yards.
49ers
Darin
Purdy will finish the game with a 100+ QBR.
Chargers at Patriots (Sun Night)
Chargers (Upset)
Ed
Justin Herbert wins it for the Chargers by outplaying May.
Patriots
Darin
Drake May for four scores in this game.
Monday Night Game
Matchup
Pick
Host
Bold Prediction
Steelers at Texans (Mon Night)
Texans
Ed
Texans defense holds the Steelers to 17 or fewer points.
Steelers (Homer Pick)
Darin
A Boswell kick is going to make the difference in this game.
Darin survived a "heart attack" watching the end of the Ravens game and is looking forward to the eight games on tap this weekend. Ed wishes the Steelers luck, despite picking against them!
Join us at the Pigskin Dispatch website to see even more Positive football news!
Don't forget to check out and subscribe to the Pigskin Dispatch YouTube channel for additional content and the regular Football History Minute Shorts.
Miss our football by the day of the year podcasts, well don't, because they can still be found at the Pigskin Dispatch website.