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All getting a bit Ho Hum as we roll into Christmas. The Market has no momentum and we wait to see if the FOMC Meeting tonight can set a trend or kill it. Comments today on CSL's big acquisition and on WOW's profit warning yesterday. Both remain "Forever" stocks. Looking to reverse our cash call but there's no rush. A few technical observations finish off the section and will hopefully keep you amused whilst not much happens.
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Back from a pointless attempt to star in the Victorian Senior Amateur Golf Championship and the Omicron risk has all but evaporated. The precipitous risk has passed - we are getting back into a couple of sold stocks, adding an idea and declaring the intention to reverse the cashing up decision at an appropriate moment.
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No need to be buying into the current trend. Happy to be cashed up in the RBP and cashed up a bit in the FUFU and DAF portfolios. We've cleared out the IDEAS PORTFOLIO except for a holding in DMP. Sitting back waiting for the market to decide if Omicron is a problem or a hiccup. Today we look at the winners and losers if Omicron's going to stay around a bit longer.
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All's well in the iron ore trades as the iron ore price pops again helped by Macquarie research. All the signs from the US to NZ suggest interest rates are going up. Another bit of property sector research says house prices are about to peak. The Aussie dollar is falling. Holidays are getting cheaper in Europe. May have made a mistake in gold.
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Quite a bit going on today - We have sold a Forever stock, bought two trades and added a couple of stocks to the WATCHLIST. Lots of strategy themes and a bit of portfolio news. We also compare Australia's ASX 200 to the S&P 500 and make some interesting observations.
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Powell back in with a mandate to contain inflation. Rates rise, the US dollar rises and Gold and Technology stocks fall. Hopes for Chinese policy easing boosts iron ore stocks. We may have timed the bottom on that after all. Gold on the nose as inflation war begins. The CBA are telling us mortgage rates are going up and the housing market will peak. Chinese Tech on the nose again. Robinhood's shareholders going from rich to poor. BHP and Woodside sign the deal and the prices pop. Australian Tech having a bad day.
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Lots of news - AGM season in full flight as well as a few results around. The CBA fell 8% on its update yesterday. We look at what to do now. The Macquarie share purchase plan is coming up - we talk about that as well. Then there's the MIN AGM, the SHL AGM, the EVN acquisition (its up 8%), the SEK AGM, and a bunch of others. We also look at XRO post results and update the IDEAS PORTFOLIO.
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Routine day. CBA disappoints - like WBC. NIM down and losing home loan market share, presumably to Macquarie. No change to strategy. US$ pops giving resources a dull day. Good for international stocks but not commodity prices. Biden-Xi chat lands well. We've added a new stock to the IDEAS PORTFOLIO. Have also published a WATCHLIST which might interest some of you.
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Not much going on today. We look at money printing. Wonder when "The Big One" is coming. Two new ideas today and the first incarnation of the IDEAS PORTFOLIO. Telstra's Investor Day doesn't disturb. Resources and Gold turn up on the Technical buy signals list. DAF (Dividends and Franking) Portfolio on its way this week.
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Today I launch the new FUFU portfolio. Find out which stocks meet our "Forever" criteria and which don't. We also have a good look at the US CPI number and wonder if it will be the catalyst for a correction. There is a new IDEA OF THE DAY and we look at the Australian jobs number which is weaker than expected and has dropped the market this morning.
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