ASX 200 fell 24 points to 8807 (0.3%) to be up 1.7% for the week. Not too shabby. As usual it was the perennial war between banks and resources. Banks down with CBA slipping %, results next week and the Big Bank Basket down to $279.64 (-0.8%). Insurers walloped, QBE down 8.8% on poor results. SUN off 3.2% and IAG sliding 2.7%. Other financials falling hard too GQG down 14.6% on FUM levels falling and performance lagging, HUB dropped 2.0% and PNI took a break, down 5.3%. REITs flat, healthcare slid, CSL running into reality, down 1.8% and PME falling 3.6% as TLX continued to drift lower. Industrials too fell, REA down 1.1% and ALL off 1.8% with LNW falling 11.2% on plans to delist from Nasdaq. Tech fell, XRO down 1.4% and 360 dropping 4.2% with the All Tech Index down 0.7%.

Resources were bid, Iron ore a lithium together with gold miners in the green. BHP up 0.9% with FMG rising 1.8%. NST bounced another 4.0% with NEM cruising 2.2% higher, LYC jumped 3.8% and PLS up 9.0%, buyers cover shorts as lithium pricing recovered. LTR returned from a mega upsized raise of $316m with the Chinese taking a slice and the Australian government, the stock unchanged. Coal stocks better, NHC up 2.5% and WHC rising 3.1%. Uranium stocks slightly firmer. PBH up 4.6% as its board recommended Mixi’s offer.

In corporate news, IRE bounced 12.2% on takeover approach from Blackstone at 1050c, QBE massacred, XYZ showed a clean pair of heels on a good result, NCK too better by 6.9% on numbers.

Nothing on the economic front locally. Asian markets mixed, Japan up 1.7% to new highs. China modestly lower and HK falling 1.0%.

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Wall Street recorded a mixed session. Earnings by Eli Lilly disappointed and Trump said he’ll nominate Council of Economic Advisors Chairman Stephen Miran to serve out the remaining term of Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler, while searching for a longer term replacement. S&P 500 down 0.08%, Nasdaq up 0.35%. Dow dropped at the open, and maintained that level throughout the day. Closed near low, down 224 points. Mixed sector performance. Utilities, Materials and REITs all rose despite bond yields ticking up, rotation into defensives. Healthcare worst performer again, Eli Lilly’s disappointing results didn’t help, Trump’s threats to hike tariffs on pharmaceuticals to 250% within 18 months also a continued headwind. Financials and Energy rounded out the bottom three performing sectors.

ASX to fall. SPI futures down 25 points (-0.28%).

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ASX 200 fell slightly off record highs to 8831 off 12 (0.2%).  A mixed session with banks slipping a little, CBA down 0.5% and the Big Bank Basket at $281.90 (). Financials dragged lower, MQG down 0.8% and ASX falling hard, off 8.6%, on cost blow outs on CHESS and other issues, AMP rose 4.8% after a broker call rethink on results. REITs firm, SCG up 0.8% and SGP up 0.9% with industrials mixed, BXB down 3.3% and QAN off 1.1% as retail stocks firmed, JBH up 1.8% and ALL up 1.5%. Travel stocks better, FLT up 3.1% and WEB rising 2.3%. LNW fell 2.0% on plans to end Nasdaq listing. Tech better, WTC up 0.9% and TNE pushing on another 0.8%. Resources were a mixed lolly bag, iron ore weaker, gold miners better on a post Diggers glow. NST up 1.5% and NEM up 1.0% with WGX raising guidance and rising 5.1%. Lithium major PLS up 3.8% with LTR in a halt as it raises around $266m at 73c. Rare earth stocks still in demand. Oil and gas, becalmed, uranium stocks firmed with BOE starting to recover. PDN up 3.4% and coal stocks moving higher. In corporate news, the government has invested $50m in LTR, NEU hitting highs on Daybue sales in the US. 

On the economic front, reciprocal tariffs are now in. Local BoP figures showed a rebound to a $5.4bn surplus on stronger coal and gold exports. 

Asian markets firmed, Japan up 0.6%, HK up 0.6% and China unchanged. 10-year yields steady at 4.24%

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Wall Street recorded a positive session as Apple jumped 5.1% after pledging to invest $100Bn in domestic manufacturing while positive earning beats boosted risk-on sentiment. S&P 500 up 0.73%, Nasdaq up 1.21%. Dow dropped at the open, but recovered within the first hour and remained steady, falling a little just before the close. Closed mid-range, up 81 points. Mixed sector performance. Cyclicals the top performer, Amazon gaining 4.0% and Tesla rising 3.6% boosted the sector. Staples and Tech also saw gains of over 1.0%. Healthcare worst performer. Uncertainty of tariffs continues to weigh heavily on sector, not helped by Trump’s latest threats to hike tariffs on pharmaceuticals to 250% within 18 months. Energy followed oil down, and REITS dipped as yields inched up following a weaker than expected 10Y auction.

Resources up. Weakening dollar a boost. Oil fell to 8-week low as Trump’s talks with Putin raised doubts about US sanctions on Russia. Copper, nickel, aluminium and zinc all gained.

ASX to fall. SPI futures down 24 points (-0.27%). AMP and LNW results.

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The ASX 200 stormed higher to finish up 73 points or 0.8%. New record high. Up 2% in the last two sessions as every major sector save for Utilities finished in the green. Resources and Energy led thanks to a broad-based rally across all major commodities. Iron ore, copper, gold, uranium, oil stocks all running hot. Gold best despite bullion falling 0.4%. Stronger USD to blame. Lithium mixed as some profit taking crept in.

Discretionary Stocks followed. Resuming their recent uptrend. Two big up days now on the trot. WES and ALL up 1.6% and 1.9%. JBH down 1.3%. Breaking its six-day win streak. REITs strong as CWL, CIP and BWP all reported. CIP best up 3.4%. Banks in the mid-pack thanks to the CBA up 1%. ANZ missed out only rising 0.1%. MQG (+0.5%) still going sideways. Tech similar despite the weak Nasdaq lead. Health Care up 0.55%. CSL (+0.9%) and PME (+1.1%) both up while RMD (-1.5%) took a break. NAN rose 4.6% on FDA approval news while TLX (+0.3%) failed to bounce despite brokers saying enough is enough.

REA finished up 6.9% on full year results. Best in the Top 100 with NWS (+5.1%) close behind. Reporting earnings up 14%. PNI shot up 9.5% on excellent FUM numbers. Best in the Top 200. Dow futures up 0.4%. Nasdaq up 0.3%. Bond yields up since the open. China slightly higher while Japan is up 1%.

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Wall Street recorded a negative session as the impact of tariffs came back into focus with US Services PMI flatlining, with businesses citing new import taxes, and corporate earnings and forecasts of Caterpillar and Yum Brands underwhelming due to tariffs. S&P 500 down 0.49%. Nasdaq down 0.65%. Dow dropped at the open, troughing in the first hour of trading, and then found strength throughout the rest of the session. Closed mid-range, down 62 points. Defensives tended to do best. Materials, REITs and Staples the top three performers. Utilities the weakest performer after consecutive days of outperformance, followed by more Growth sectors like Tech and Healthcare.

ASX to rise. SPI futures up 14 points (+0.16%). Gold firm - REA NWS Results

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Cracking day with the ASX 200 up 107 points to 8770 (1.2%) as banks, tech and resources fired simultaneously. US markets were the catalyst, but local enthusiasm was the fuel. The banks roared ahead with CBA up 1.4% and the Big Bank Basket up to $280.63 (+1.0%). Financials generally firm, QBE up 2.4% and MPL rising 1.6% with XYZ up 3.0%. REITs too firm, GMG up 1.5% and SCG rising 0.8%, rate cut hopes helping the whole sector. Industrials also finding buyers, retail firmed, JBH up 1.8% and WES up 2.8% with SGH up 1.3% and FLT bouncing 1.5%. Tech stocks better too, WTC up 0.8% and XRO rallying 0.7%. Utilities were also form, ORG up 1.4%. In resource land, gold miners popped some corks, NST up 1.0% and NEM rising 4.1%. Rare earth stocks got a boost from media reports that a floor price would be put in place for product, LYC up 5.2% and ILU charging 8.7% ahead. MIN had a good day too. The iron ore sector was modestly higher, FMG up 0.5%. Oil and gas saw some buyers, BPT up 3.0% and WDS up 1.4% with uranium stocks slightly firmer. 

In corporate news, EOS went crazy on a big EU laser order, up 43.4% CCP defied the gloom and knocked the lights out, up 16.2% and ASB got a government tick pushing 7.9% higher. TPG announced that shareholders will be given cash back following the recent sale of its fibre business. TLX smashed 8.5% on higher operating costs.

On the economic front, ANZ– Roy Morgan consumer numbers were very positive. Asian markets firmed, 10-year yields fell to 4.22%. 

US futures slightly firmer.

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Wall Street jumped, recording its best day since May 27, as investors bought into the opportunities from Friday’s sell-off following weak US jobs numbers and Trump’s firing of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner for producing “rigged” numbers. Shows investor appetite for risk is still there, just looking for reasons or opportunities. S&P 500 up 1.47%. Nasdaq up 1.95%. Dow jumped at the open, and remained steady throughout the day. Closed near high, up 585 points. Broad sector performance. Tech the best performer, up over 2%. Meta, Alphabet, Nvidia all gained over 3% without major news – just strong appetite to enter these names at slight discounts. Utilities and Materials also did well, easing yields helping the former, and stellar conviction in the US economy helping the latter. Healthy to see top performing sectors being a mixture of growth and defensives. At the opposite end, Energy followed oil down and Staples recorded minor losses.

SPI up 88 - Gold steady - CCP Results

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