Predicting Sports with Michael Fiddle

Mike and Gibby are back from vacation to break down the most recent episodes of MTVs The Challenge. We are officially into the Conquest portion of the season. Gibby and Mike discuss the purge daily challenges, the snake voting eliminations, and the obstacle course 3-puzzle elimination. They review all of the characters who have gone home, the recent drama in the house, and check in with the current favorite to win the season.

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Its February 7th, we have 7 NBA games to cover, and one topic to hit is the key number of 7! Mike quickly covers some of his week off, then handles typical housekeeping, and then proceeds to break down the entire gambling board. Mike gives out 4 Best Bets and also discusses strategies of key numbers, unit exposure, understanding stabilized markets and resistance points, and so much more! Even a little reverse line movement discussion.

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Mike breaks down our 8 game NBA Wednesday slate. Mike explains why he got mixed signals in the Wolves/Wizards total. Mike reviews sharp spots he wants nothing to do with. Mike talks about using one the Spurs/Thunder game as a reason to check in with the futures market. Only two best bets, but a lot of ball to discuss!

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Mike and Gibby are back to break down MTV's The Challenge. We are on Episode 14 of Season 39, Battle for a New Champion. We have a legend returning to the game as a mercenary, a mini final as the daily challenge, alliances twirling and elimination tugging at everyones heart strings! This season is really heating up! Moment of silence for our guy Asaf!

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Mike breaks down a loaded and busy 10 game NBA Wednesday slate. He has Best Bets in 7 different games which include backing favorites, underdogs, over and unders! A little bit of everything in this one as Mike finds value on the board.

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Mike and lead NBA pundit, AV, start by explaining how Mike provides excellent wedding entertainment (3:15), and then begin the show by discussing the moment with Jerry Krause’s wife, Thelma (4:12), Spoelstra getting the bag, his value, and the deals “convenient timing” (8:06). Next, Mike points out Kawhi Leonard’s curious decision with his recent contract extension (19:37), asks AV what his value of the dual Lebron James x Bronny James 1/1 signed card is (23:45), before wrapping up with a quick note on the Wizards Pistons trade (30:48), and with thoughts on a couple of heated coach rants from Mike Brown and Darko Rajaković (33:10).

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Now that the Fantasy Football season has ended, we reflect back on the past season and discuss possible rule changes for future fantasy seasons. Mike brings on an authority in the fantasy football space- his leagues current commissioner and champion, Drew. Mike and Drew review player bonuses, schedule length, defensive turnover on downs, and so much more! Tune in now to hear some specifics of our league, and some wonky ways to change it even further!

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Mike and Gibby are back to break down MTV's The Challenge. We are on Episode 12 and 13 of Season 39, Battle for a New Champion. We blend the two episodes together and talk both specific and broad challenge topics. We discuss the mercenary eliminations and the general concept of the champs coming in. We reflect on some of the drama and shifting alliances. Finally, we review the entire cast and determine whether they are staples for future seasons.

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Mike reviews his four best bets for on the Wednesday January 10th NBA slate. He also checks in on some NBA Futures markets and deep dives some math and strategy behind a futures portfolio approach. Mike uses the 6th Man of the Year odds to explain using an Arbitrage Formula to determine Risk vs Reward, using Risk vs Reward to determine an odds ratio, using an odds ratio to determine implied probability, and using implied probability to determine net expected value. Nerdy stuff made fun!

Make sure to follow the following resources:

 • @FiddlesPicks on X.com

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 • FantasyBasketballInternational.com

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Today Mike and AV start by ranking Ja Morant, Tyrese Haliburton, De’aaron Fox, and Donovan Mitchell (3:30), discuss which coach has the hottest seat (15:50), and then do a quick trade market check in (26:30). They’ll also touch on potential first time all stars (32:00), changes to the in season tournament now being one month removed, and finally will wrap it up with a rapid fire round of end of year predictions.

Make sure to follow the following resources:

 • @FiddlesPicks on X.com

 • FiddlesPicks.Substack.com free gambling newsletter

 • FantasyBasketballInternational.com

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