The Contrarian Investor Podcast

Prepare for End of US Dollar Cycle, as Emerging Markets Rise: Rohit Goel, Breakout Capital


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Rohit Goel of Breakout Capital joins the podcast to discuss his view that the boom in the US dollar (and in US dollar-denominated assets) will soon give way, to be replaced by a long-awaited bullish cycle in emerging markets. Content Highlights
  • Markets have grown accustomed to US dollar dominance and with it a surge in US assets, specifically stocks. That is due for a cyclical reversal (1:00);
  • There are three factors supporting US growth. One of them is almost certainly due to run its course (4:43);
  • The global economy revolves around the US consumer as driver of growth. But that too can change -- and other markets are better equipped to pick up the slack on their own (9:26);
  • Despite all this, the US dollar should maintain its status as reserve currency. However, its dominance is waning (14:55);
  • Background on the guest (23:28);
  • Big tech stocks have worked very well for over a decade. But things are shifting to eat into their cashflows and there are reasons to believe too much optimism could be priced in... (26:07);
  • The trend is for growth to originate elsewhere than US tech... (30:28);
  • Discussion of frontier markets (35:33).
The guest requests listeners connect through LinkedIn.
...more
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The Contrarian Investor PodcastBy Nathaniel E. Baker

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