Star Spangled Gamblers

Problems with Nate Silver's Model


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Rutgers statistician Harry Crane critiques Nate Silver's model.

Timestamps

1:49: Intro ends

3:55: Interview begins

4:08: Crane's bio

8:50: Nate Silver

10:42: Critique of Silver's model

12:42: Silver's criticism of prediction markets

23:57: Silver as tout

25:04: Silver's model

27:48: Simulations in Silver's model

30:51: 50-50 election forecasts

Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter/X @ssgamblers

Bet on elections at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market.

Attend our forecasting and prediction markets meetup in Washington DC on 23 January 2025. RSVP here: https://partiful.com/e/tgYHaoevQ78X7hpnDUHA

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Star Spangled GamblersBy Keendawg & Pratik

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