Friends,
At 2pm, the Head of the Federal Reserve, Chairman Powell, will announce the Committee's decision on a rate hike increase.
Fingers crossed that his words will trigger a positive Market rally.
We shall see...
Robert

Friends,
Today, I want to share a class on Bonds, Bank Failures, Bank Bailouts and how events over the last week could trigger a Market rally!
Robert

Friends,
I love y'all - Why? Because seeing the Market lose 1 1/2% doesn't upset you.
If anything, from your texts and emails today, you are wondering why there aren't more days like today!
Today's audio is a reminder of the facts we use to govern any Tactical adjustments to our investment Strategy, where we are currently and the impact the next Treasury Aution will have on the Cash we've been stockpiling in your account.

Beginning next week, it's time to strap one of our investments to the interrogation chair, focus the "Spotlight" on it, examine basis for making the investment and challenge our process to determine if it should stay in our portfolio.
We will begin with Consolidated Communications.

Robert

Friends,
Just updating you on the recession signals we're seeing plus a new ingredient that's been added to the mix during earning season - the Year Over Year decline in corporate revenues and the warnings given by analysts and corporate management that there will be a severe revenue challenge by the 4th Quarter.
More recession indicators continue to activate.
Fine with us As far as we're concerned, it can't happen soon enough.
You're Protected & We're Ready For War,
Robert

Friends,
On Wednesday, our "Knight in Shining Armor" Brendan Pederson (reporter from "Punchbowl News") showed up to the post-FOMC meeting and asked one indirect simple question to Chairman Powell which triggered algorithms to react exactly as I had hoped as expressed in the 1 FEB audio.

Not only did the Market's reaction significantly impact our investments and cause a re-organization of our positions, but it also brought in a surprise.

Because the triggers for Friday's Market decline were bizarre, over the weekend, I tore both the Employment Report and Service PMI Report apart to find something fishy going on and believe you'll find the "facts" presented in both reports very interesting.

Chairman Powell will speak today. If he says anything which can be interpreted as a potential "pause" in rate increases, we could see the Market climb 1% to 2%+ this week.
You can tell it wants to. It just needs an excuse!

Fingers Crossed,
Robert

Friends,
Today is built on Hope!
We expect Chairman Powell and his Team to raise interest rates by .25 basis points (1/4 of 1%)
What we are HOPING for is language in his speech after the announcement which has themes like, "our next move will be data-dependent" or "we're going to wait and see", etc.
This will excite the algorithms into a Buying Frenzy. If this occurs, and the Market rises to 4,150+, we will complete the liquidation of our holdings in the S&P 500 and Regions Financial, take the Cash and wait for the opportunities we see approaching.

Stay Tuned,
Robert

Friends, Last week, we reviewed the recession indicators we dial up & monitor if we get warning pings from one or two.
However, what does it matter if we can’t translate the data into actionable items?
Right??

Today, we’ll look at THE Opportunity which may present itself on Thursday (12th) and my plans for capitalizing on it, should it come to fruition.
From there, we’ll look 6 to 9 months into the future.

Hope is not an Investment Strategy… Until It Is 😊

Enjoy your day and I’ll connect on Thursday.
Robert

Friends
Today we’ll cover the relationship between Inflation and Employment and why the Federal Reserve is committed to increasing unemployment!
Hint: Today’s announcement that Unemployment has dropped from 3.7% to 3.5% will make February’s FOMC meeting an interesting one.
I’ll close out by covering more of the data we monitor. Robert

Bank Lending – the last item I cover: It’s NOT high interest rates on borrowed money that has deepest negative impact on an economy, it’s the reduction of borrowed money due to increases in bank lending standards

Friends,
Wall Street money managers are fixated on monthly inflationary indicators like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) with the expectation that Chairman Powell and the Federal Open Market Committee will stop raising the Federal Fund rate and possibly begin lowering it if inflation indicators start dropping. They are already retreating from their highs - giving people the impression that a recession will be shallow or possibly avoided.
This is false sense of security and is dangerous "group-think".
I'll explain what Powell and his Team are dedicated to accomplishing and the inevitable recession they will trigger.

Robert

Friends,
Thought that I'd use the lull in the week between Christmas and New Year to share a class on US Treasuries and their use as indicators of recessions as well as recent research we've done which shows they may also indicate when the Federal Reserve will stop raising rates, pause or possibly initiate rate reductions.
This could be a very exciting development for us all...

Enjoy the Day,
Robert