Harry Dent, author of Zero Hour and editor of Economy and Markets.com, explains why he anticipates the “crash of a lifetime.” His message is that now is not a time for “just re-allocating.” In this podcast interview (26:05), Dent discusses the technological, demographic and geopolitical reasons for a crash he expects to register at no less than 70%. The next three years, he says, is a time to just “get out of the way.”
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Harvard professor Teresa Amabile, writing in the academic journal Work, Aging and Retirement, argues that retirement research is overwhelmingly quantitative, to the detriment of the field. She calls for more qualitative research into areas such as post-retirement identity. This podcast (5:02) proposes that financial advisors have a front-row view of these issues, could break ground in the area, or become valuable resources for academic researchers.
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Money is fleeing to safety, economic growth is fizzling out and political tensions are always just a spark away from igniting, yet U.S. stock indexes are reaching new highs. For those with the guts to stay invested at a time like this, the logical strategy is to buy the margin of safety offered by value stocks, an approach Seeking Alpha contributor Mario Glogovic outlines in a recent article. This podcast (5:40) extols the virtues of remaining cautiously pessimistic by staying invested yet armed with lots of liquidity, in the same way that not being too greedy benefits investors in giddier times. In other words, it rejects being all-in or all-out at different phases of the market cycle.
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A listener recently sent me a note asking what advice I would offer a new advisor just staring out. This podcast (6:17) proposes that rookies need to address both the substance and business of financial advice. From the business perspective, advisors must let people in their target audience know that they help people like them meet the retirement challenge.
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Seeking Alpha contributor Ploutos proposes an intriguing approach to timing one’s purchases of gold based on calculating “gold yield,” which cleverly adapts earnings-yield analysis to the yellow metal. This podcast (3:58) argues in favor of using gold yield as a rough guide, but cautions advisors to look out for further validation of this formulation over the coming decades.
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The Center for Retirement Research investigates what would improve a situation in which 50% of workers are set to have less income in retirement than during their working lives. Its study’s headline finding emphasizes the benefit of remaining in the workforce two additional years. But this podcast (4:32) highlights another finding, likely of greater interest to advisory clients, namely the Center’s finding that younger investors do see big gains from modest savings increases.
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A recent study commissioned by Charles Schwab and conducted by Cerulli Associates aims to help financial advisors incorporate behavioral finance into their practices. This podcast (5:50) argues that while behavioral finance provides interesting research opportunities for academics, the field remains something of a nothing-burger for most clients.
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Chris Moody, a political journalist laid off by CNN, used the opportunity occasioned by his financial dislocation, to search for a redefined American Dream. I offer my takeaways as to the relevance of Moody’s experience to clients planning their retirements. Specifically, this podcast (5:20) argues that just as we need to allocate our clients’ investment assets properly, clients’ goal-setting requires thought about the ideal allocation of their time and the right balance as to how much wealth will really benefit them.
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Heading for the exits in a market panic is a powerful human instinct. Is there a successful model for moving forward onto the battlefield in the midst of a slaughter? Yes – that’s exactly what soldiers are trained to do. Napoleon was especially adept at keeping his army moving forward. This podcast (5:02) argues that advisors waging war against harsh markets and galvanizing dispirited clients could benefit from some Napoleonic strategizing. The first step is drawing up battle plans ahead of time.
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The premise of “The Millionaire Next Door” was that ordinary people could become wealthy, by spending less than they earn. Medical research suggests that financial stress is highly associated with heart attack. The common denominator of these findings is that removal of stress is beneficial. Interestingly, research shows advised investors enjoy more than twice the rate of peace of mind than the unadvised. This podcast (4:42) argues that by helping clients save and invest and by imparting a sense of knowing where we’re going, advisors play a big part in their clients’ well-being. 
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