STANLIB Podcasts

SA’s April inflation remains subdued; US tax bill will push debt higher


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SA’s inflation rate for April, at 2.8%, is fairly subdued, partly because prices of goods being imported from China are in deflation. A cut of 25 bps by the SARB later this week would be justified, given both low inflation and low growth forecasts, and would provide welcome stimulus for the economy in the second half.
The US tax bill proposed by President Trump would deliver fiscal stimulus to the economy, but it will also significantly add to government debt. The US bond market has reacted negatively to approval of the bill by the House of Representatives. The stimulus will occur at the same time as tariffs push prices higher, and could result in entrenched higher inflation.
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