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“I’ve got indigestion from the market.” George Noble counsels caution, saying the market is bad at pricing uncertainty. He focuses on U.S. dollar weakness and the implications for equities: the U.S. “may win the trade war” but will “lose the capital war.” He thinks the bond market is the “thing to watch” right now, and that investors should buy gold.
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David Nelson reacts to Jamie Dimon’s remarks around the dollar, agreeing that “we could lose” our place as the world’s reserve currency. “As the deficit widens,” Treasury buyers will demand higher yields, he says. “What we’re really riding on [for markets] is the AI trade,” he argues. His stock picks include Huntington Ingalls (HII), TJX Companies (TJX), and the UTES ETF.
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Likefolio’s Andy Swan previews Five Below (FIVE) earnings, which are after the bell. “They have a really nimble business model,” he says, and thinks they’re “executing extraordinarily well” on a turnaround. He points to web visits surging this year and compares it to stock price action. He also brings visits data showing double-digit growth, actually beating Walmart (WMT).
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Dollar Tree (DLTR) sold off despite posting a double beat in earnings. Chris McMahon thinks the current stock price is a "sale" and sees significant upside over the next 6 months. That momentum is expected to come from boosted foot traffic and higher price tags. Nick Raich isn't as bullish, calling its weakened guidance over tariffs "an excuse" for Dollar Tree. He points out the company's past trends of lowered guidance.
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Stocks, ETFs and volatility are all in focus for TheoTrade's Don Kaufman. He leans bearish on Boeing (BA) after the plane maker saw a substantial rebound rally in recent months. Don later explains why he's bullish on the VIX and iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV). Rick Ducat dives into the technical trends he sees in the charts.
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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John Lekas does not expect the Fed to cut this year, driven by wage inflation due to low unemployment. He thinks yields will continue to rise, with the 30-Year hitting 6% by year-end, but calls this a “normal curve.” He explains the impact of the administration’s “low dollar” policy, both positive and negative.
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The S&P 500 is near 6000, but Arnim Holzer says: don't get too comfortable. He believes there's still a lot of uncertainty in the markets, with wild cards like the ongoing impact of tariffs on earnings. Holzer notes that while some investors are optimistic about a strong second half, he's more cautious, citing concerns about margins, consumer behavior, and the still-wide range of earnings estimates. He also thinks the Federal Reserve may not ease as much as expected, which could be a headwind for cyclical stocks.
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Five Below (FIVE) reports earnings after the close, and tariffs remain the biggest question for the discount store's outlook. Marley Kayden takes a closer look at Wall Street's estimates for Five Below and measures the company's capabilities to weather the tariff storm. Prosper Trading Academy's Scott Bauer sees significant upside potential for the stock if Five Below beats on earnings. He also offers an example options trade.
======== Schwab Network ========
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Peter Andersen believes the market's recent volatility is here to stay, driven by trade tariffs and the A.I. revolution. He is skeptical about the A.I. hype, citing its massive energy demands and limited ability to replicate human intelligence. Instead, he suggests investors focus on more tangible opportunities like cybersecurity, such as CrowdStrike (CRWD), and data storage, like Equinix (EQIX).
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Cybersecurity companies are "insurance policies of the present day," says Nathaniel Bradley. He's a fan of CrowdStrike (CRWD) despite the sell-off after earnings, arguing the cybersecurity giant is in the "right place at the right time" due to a critical reliance on cybersecurity. Nathaniel believes CrowdStrike has a "substantial lead" in the space but sees the company having issues "gauging their own growth." George Tsilis offers example options trades for CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks (PANW).
======== Schwab Network ========
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