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Steve Koenig says investors will have to "pick your software stocks carefully." He believes Snowflake (SNOW) is well-positioned after its earnings but sees its current runway for growth running out. A.I. is the main threat Steve sees to the stock. However, he makes the argument that companies like Atlassian (TEAM) and GitLab (GTLB) will benefit from A.I. tailwinds.
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Jeffrey Kleintop breaks down recent international market action, including the Eurozone PMI, which missed expectations. Part of the miss is blamed on tariffs. He also notes a great 1Q earnings season for the Eurozone and an increase in consumer demand. He points to bond market signals to monitor: “if yields continue to climb, it could be an impediment to rising stock prices.” He highlights some areas of the market to watch, including his “New Mag 7” and the financials sector.
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Lawrence Yun expects a “rush” of buyers in the housing market as soon as interest rates come down, but mortgage rates recently hit 7%. Alex Barron notes that though home sales are below average, they’re not that far below average: he would rate this market a “B+”. They contrast Existing Home Sales with their expectations for the New Home Sales report, with the latter seeing pre-Covid levels of demand.
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Nvidia (NVDA) will draw all eyes in the market when it reports earnings next Wednesday. The chipmaker faces added pressure due to H20 chip export restrictions to China, which CEO Jensen Huang criticized for creating more harm than good. Diane King Hall talks about the headwinds Nvidia faces and how it shifts investor expectations. As she explains, analysts still vastly favor the stock.
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Likefolio’s Landon Swan previews Deckers Outdoor (DECK) earnings and shares his consumer sentiment data. He thinks consumers are moving away from “established brands” like Nike (NKE), and sees significant strength and loyalty in its Hoka and UGG brands. He particularly likes how both brands are expanding into different categories, such as hiking for Hoka. However, his concerns are around competition, especially from On Holdings (ONON).
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Zach Warring previews Deckers Outdoor (DECK), which he “really likes,” ahead of earnings. He thinks it’s one of the leading retailers in the shoe space and says it doesn’t have much exposure to China. He has a target of $168 on shares. Alex Coffey shows an example options trade on DECK.
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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Gregory Daco and Peter Tchir break down the employment market after the latest Jobless Claims report. “There is caution” from employers, Gregory argues: companies combing through carefully for candidates and trying to avoid raising inflation pressures by upping wages. Peter thinks weakness will show “in the next couple months.” While he’s “a little bit nervous,” he doesn’t foresee a recession yet.
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Jason Brown says he's cautious for the market's short-term trading action but bullish on long-term prospects. On his Big 3, he talks about Alphabet's (GOOGL) new A.I. prospects as a signal of strength, Mid-American Apartment Communities (MAA) as a tariff insulator, and his bearish take on MGM Resorts (MGM). Rick Ducat turns to the technicals support Jason's research.
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Dale Smothers “called” the 5,800 level in the SPX as people are “reassessing their risk.” He reacts to the “big, beautiful bill” the House just passed that dramatically increases the debt limit and ups the national deficit. He’s looking for upside in Nvidia (NVDA) and Apple (AAPL), saying “this is the time to buy” as the shares dip, but also likes CoreWeave (CRWV) as an A.I. developer.
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The Daily Trader features two example options trades in two tech names on the move. First, Kevin Hincks discusses Alphabet (GOOGL) after recent investor day headlines have the stock on the run higher. He provides an example options strategy using a call diagonal. Then, Kevin illustrates an example put calendar trade for Workday (WDAY) ahead of the company's 1Q earnings report.
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