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Derek Scissors says he “doesn’t see” how the U.S. and China can reach a full trade deal. He argues that the trade deficit won’t drop and is “very confident” the Chinese economy won’t “reform” the way President Trump is angling for. He thinks we’ll be in the same situation next year. He’s in favor of “strategic decoupling,” but is wary about what’s next.

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Jessica Inskip says markets need to break the 13-week SMA before she can confidently say "this market has legs." She also talks about IBM Corp.'s (IBM) enterprise A.I. strength, Blackrock's (BLK) multi-faceted play in changing market dynamics, and TSMC's (TSM) role in A.I. evolution. Rick Ducat turns to the charts and technicals supporting Jessica's insight.

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According to Peter Tuchman, markets managed to climb the wall of worry on news of the U.S. and China tariff pause. "Not getting a deal is so bad that we have to get a deal," says Peter, adding that optimism on a deal gave investors a signal the worst may be over. On UnitedHealth's (UNH) CEO stepping down and its lack of guidance, Peter says it presents a growth pressure scenario that can resurface. Keeping uncertainty low is what Peter believes will drive markets higher.

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Boeing (BA) shares hit a new 52-week high after reports say its jets are in high-demand overseas. Microsoft (MSFT) reportedly will layoff 3% of its workforce. Kevin Hincks demonstrates example options trades in both stocks on the move.

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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D

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Reporting from the Cboe Global Markets, Kevin Hincks outlines the latest CPI print that fell mostly in-line with expectations. Shelter and energy remain higher, though Kevin points out natural gas as the culprit behind energy's unusual move. He adds that markets are shifting toward expectations of a September interest rate cut, and a rate hike may not be out of the question.

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Gaurav Saran, CEO of ReverseLogix, discusses the logistics of retail returns in the e-commerce world. He says returns have spiked since online shopping took off, with the value of returns across the globe last year hitting over $1T, with $685B from the U.S. alone. He also claims over 15% of returns are impacted by fraud, and it’s costing companies over a hundred billion every year. He also talks about using AI to help sort through these logistics.

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Caterpillar (CAT) got an upgrade to outperform from neutral by Baird after the firm upgraded the stock from a bearish position earlier this year. Caroline Woods says it's a signal of bulls funneling back into stocks hit by tariff uncertainty as she highlights figures fueling Baird's position. Tim Biggam talks about why he's expecting a pullback near-term for Caterpillar and offers an example options trade.

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Paul Powers says we're just seeing the start of A.I. integration into cybersecurity. He argues it's more than earnings that will show who is the industry leader, but instead the company that adopts A.I. the best will take the crown. Paul turns to Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) as companies to watch. Tom White offers example options trades for both stocks.

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"People are still buying their shoes," says Diane King Hall. She notes On Holding (ONON) revenue far above Wall Street estimates driving a big rally in its stock this morning. JD.com (JD) also posted an earnings beat despite facing various headwinds. Diane later turns to Coinbase's (COIN) notable rally as it's poised to become the newest company in the S&P 500 (SPX).

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"This is the environment and VIX you want to see" in the markets, says Kevin Green. He points to stocks and sectors beyond the Mag 7 adding strength to the indexes. He highlights Union Pacific (UNP) and the industrials sector to show a potential breakout in the industry.

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