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Scott Bauer covers the commodities market. Crude oil is headed lower as OPEC+ announced a production hike amid lower demand; he expects oil to hover around here, but if it climbs up quickly, he would “sell the rip.” Gold is on the rise, which Scott attributes in part to a weaker dollar. Bitcoin is under pressure and he points out a strong liquidation event in long positions, but thinks the lack of a bigger sell-off today is a positive sign.
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Raj Patel argues we had “decent buffers in place” for the economy around tariffs, but now the “clock has started” for deals to be made. He points to frontloaded shipping, uncertainty around earnings, and the potential for stagflation as we approach the end of the 90-day tariff pause. Giving some of his investing ideas, he likes AI but is focusing on software over hardware.
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Ryan Payne and Cory Johnson break down Onsemi (ON) earnings as the semiconductor maker sells off after a beat. Cory says that despite the beat, these were “bad numbers” and a “really challenging quarter” for Onsemi. He discusses how ON has focused heavily on great EV chips, but the demand for those vehicles has fallen off. Ryan, who is overall bullish on the global economy, thinks semiconductors are a decent bet.
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The latest Charles Schwab STAX report showed a sharp 15% plunge, its steepest drop since March 2020. Joe Mazzola urges investors to learn from the period of uncertainty and to "harness" volatility in your portfolios. However, some of the biggest sells included Alibaba (BABA), Strategy (MSTR), and Boeing (BA). Joe notes Mag 7 names like Nvidia (NVDA), Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) still gained significant traction.
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Crude oil is clearly in a bear market, argues Simon Lack. He contrasts OPEC+ announcing a production hike even as supply goes up around the world with many expecting that oil demand will plateau. He thinks energy demand is rising in less developed nations to offset lowered demand elsewhere. His stock picks include Oneok (OKE), Cheniere (LNG), and NextDecade (NEXT).
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Palantir's (PLTR) stock could reach the mid-$100 range in the near future, according to Paul McCarthy. However, he also expects the stock to fall back below $100 and says patience may be needed for prospective investors. Paul points to Palantir's massive valuation levels as a warning signal. He adds, "if the company were smart, they'd sell stock here."
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A Bloomberg report states that Apple (AAPL) could be gearing up for a corporate bond sale, putting shares under pressure. The Big tech giant also faces an uphill battle against tariffs, a quarterly earnings report that underwhelmed investors, and antitrust concerns. Caroline Woods weighs Apple's defensive capabilities as uncertainty against the company grows.
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LikeFolio's Andy Swan says he's starting to get bullish again on Celsius (CELH). His firm's data shows an "explosive" of consumer interest building in its brand. Additional, Andy notes the acquisition of Alani Nu makes it a "powerhouse" in the health-conscious consumer space.
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Christopher Davis reacts to Warren Buffett stepping down from Berkshire Hathaway (BRK/B). He thinks that Warren’s “love” for the Berkshire shareholder shines through in the announcement – a “personal” decision rather than an economic one. He says his successor, Greg Abel, could be the “Tim Cook” of Berkshire.
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Expectations are high heading into Palantir's (PLTR) earnings, and Rob Luna has concerns about its outlook as valuations swell to massive levels. He says the company needs an excellent outlook to sustain its stock growth. Shana Sissel still expects Palantir to "surprise to the upside" based on earnings seen in the company's competition. Government contract revenue in the A.I. space is something Shana believes can lead Palantir forward, as long as it proves sustainable long-term growth.
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