Schwab Network

Schwab Asset Management's D.J. Tierney says extreme concentration in the S&P 500 (SPX) and other major indexes makes diversification increasingly important. He discusses reducing reliance on mega-cap tech through international exposure, fixed income, direct indexing and fundamental indexing, while using tax-loss harvesting and rebalancing to manage concentrated positions. Tierney says international markets are seeing renewed interest as investors look beyond U.S. large-cap growth for long-term diversification.

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Crypto is doing better following a steep downtrend into a bear market, though as Charles Schwab's Jim Ferraioli notes, that latest wave of bullish sentiment is fading. He believes Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies need a "new narrative" to shake off macro woes hitting price action. Jim then turns to Ethereum's moves and how both it and Bitcoin will evolve with the blockchain as volatility subsides.

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Charles Schwab's Cooper Howard expects two more Fed rate hikes as inflation remains elevated and the labor market stays resilient. He sees attractive opportunities in fixed income, particularly Treasuries, investment-grade corporates, mortgage-backed securities and munis, while favoring a four-to-five-year duration. Howard also says the 60/40 portfolio remains a solid starting point as higher yields bring income opportunities back to bonds.

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Kevin Riley breaks down the post-earnings divide between Alphabet (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT), arguing Alphabet’s massive CapEx plans and free-cash-flow pressure could leave shares sidelined for a couple of quarters despite strong search and Google cloud growth. He favors Microsoft for its positive free cash flow and earnings strength, while also discussing Apple (AAPL) and Meta Platforms (META) as investors increasingly scrutinize AI spending and returns. He still sees longer-term upside in Alphabet, citing cloud, YouTube, Waymo and its AI investments.

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LikeFolio's Megan Brantley uses her firm's data to show why she's concerned on the Mag 7 stock's outlook. Consumer demand data shows deceleration demand in AWS year-over-year even as shares consolidate. However, Megan shows more data signaling an uptick in purchase intent posts through social media. She still urges caution for investors heading into the company's earnings after Thursday's close.

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Stephanie Walter with HyperFRAME Research says the most interesting takeaway from Microsoft (MSFT) earnings is how it can extend AI revenue opportunities beyond Azure cloud. She adds that existing partnerships offer a wide moat to maximize opportunities through evolving tech. Futurum president Dan O'Brien explains how Azure growth cements the bull case in AI CapEx even as the Mag 7 giant's spending normalizes. Expectations for positive free cash flow in 2027 is something he believes backs Microsoft's "conservative" CapEx.

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Inga Rachwald of Schwab Asset Management explains why retirement income requires more than choosing investments, with taxes, required minimum distributions, cash flow and long-term goals all shaping the strategy. She discusses balancing short-term income needs with growth as retirees live longer and inflation pressures purchasing power. Rachwald also explains how custom model portfolios let advisors tailor asset allocations while focusing on holistic financial planning.

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As a tech selloff sparked by Alphabet (GOOGL) earnings grips the stock market, Dan Deming continues to see the rotation as the biggest unsung headline for equities. As for today's Big 3, he expects Apple (AAPL) to maintain tech dominance in earnings, sees Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) as a leader in the healthcare sector, and names 3M (MMM) as a strong defensive stock. Dan offers example options trades for his picks while Kevin Green turns to his technical analysis of the charts.

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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D

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Matthew Tuttle believes investors should buy the dip in Alphabet (GOOGL) even after the company posted a double miss in earnings. When it comes to the greater tech trade, Matt shares caution in Anthropic's IPO and why he sees volatile trading action similar to SpaceX (SPCX) and its public trading debut. Oracle (ORCL) saying it will turn cash flow positive in the next couple of years is "huge" to Matt, saying it backs bullish takes on the AI CapEx story.

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James Demmert believes fears that AI CapEx won't generate meaningful returns for investors should be squashed following Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) earnings. The next test will come with Amazon (AMZN) and its AWS growth after Thursday's close. However, James believes good balance sheets will be crucial in Wall Street picking AI winners and losers, pointing to CoreWeave (CRWV) as the most important bellwether for his thesis. Tom White turns to an example options trade for Amazon.

======== Schwab Network ========

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