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Brett Steenbarger, PhD, is a trading coach, best-selling author and Professor of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences at SUNY. He explains what separates elite institutional traders from retail traders, dives into the power of positive psychology and examines how current froth in the market is impacting the mental state of traders.
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The Fed decided to hold interest rates for July but not without three FOMC members dissenting who instead favored a rate hike. David Busch sees Wednesday's decision and Kevin Warsh's press conference as an attempt to take the spotlight off the Fed and instead focus on market movements and current economic data. Warsh emphasized a 2% target for inflation during the press conference, something David sees as a challenge due to lasting impacts from the U.S.-Iran War and mixed market views on AI spending.
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Congress goes on recess next Friday and the Clarity Act still has not been voted on by the Senate. Charles Schwab's Nathan Peterson puts passage of the bill before then at a coin flip's chance and offers his expectations on what changes it will bring to Bitcoin and the greater crypto space. Sticking to regulation headlines, Nate explains what a change to the crypto wash sale means for crypto owners. He then turns to technical analysis for Bitcoin and Ethereum as both show signs of "relative strength."
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Thomas Urano, Co-CIO and Managing Partner at Sage Advisory, discusses the Fed’s decision to keep rates unchanged and the implications of reduced forward guidance for investors. He explains how AI capital spending is factoring into the Fed’s inflation outlook and why financial conditions can tighten even without changes to interest rates.
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Art Hogan discusses the Fed’s 9-3 vote to keep interest rates unchanged and how the three dissenting votes signal a hawkish tilt for rates moving forward. He then highlights broad-based earnings growth across the S&P 500 (SPX), small cap outperformance, and the long-term AI productivity gains he sees helping in the fight against inflation.
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John Lonski breaks down the Fed’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged and the debate over where policy goes next. He examines the gap between market expectations for higher rates and forecasts calling for eventual cuts, while arguing that geopolitical risks and potential oil price shocks pose a greater inflation threat than the Fed’s latest move.
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The Fed has voted to hold interest rates for July, a decision widely expected by Wall Street. What was unexpected was that three FOMC members voted to raise interest rates. Tom White believes crude oil's price action will drive how the FOMC will vote on interest rates in September. The committee has noted inflation as the key culprit behind price shocks in several sectors of the economy.
======== Schwab Network ========
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David Doyle of Macquarie examines the uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s policy path and the market’s mixed expectations for a potential rate hike. He discusses how changes to forward guidance, inflation concerns tied to higher gasoline prices, and evolving labor market dynamics could drive volatility and reshape investor expectations for the rest of the year.
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Matt Maher talks about his expectations for Meta Platform’s (META) earnings. He says what works most for Meta is their power in advertising, backed by AI implementation behind its advertising tech. Matt also offers his takeaways on the Mag 7 and its aggressive spending on AI infrastructure.
======== Schwab Network ========
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Landon Swan from LikeFolio discusses expectations for Meta Platforms (META) ahead of the company’s earnings release after Wednesday’s closing bell. He touches on consumer demand data and says the company is “doing a lot right” to maintain its global audience through social media.
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