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Will the Fed meeting and earnings from Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) be enough to pull the S&P 500 (SPX) out of consolidation? Nathan Peterson of Charles Schwab doesn't see a simple answer to that question, especially as crude oil and Treasury yields remain elevated. The PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX) recently bouncing off its 200-day SMA, paired with earnings from SK Hynix (SKHY) and Seagate (STX), offer some reprieve in sentiment. Nathan still believes hyperscaler earnings will serve as the true bellwether.
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Liz Ann Sonders of Charles Schwab joins from the Schwab IMPACT 2026 conference to discuss the earnings season and how it will off "more meat on the bones" in quantifying the AI trade. With CapEx showing no signs of slowing down, Liz Ann emphasizes how important it is for investors to differentiate winners and losers in the AI space. She says to look for low-debt companies that show a clear roadmap for growth. Liz Ann also discusses the Fed's interest rate path ahead as it limits insights on guidance.
See a larger interview with Liz Ann on the latest Market Matters with Marley Kayden: https://spotifycreators-web.app.link/e/gXyvG3Kmy7b
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Visa (V) posted an earnings beat as customers swiped their credit cards on more transactions despite the ongoing inflation overhang. Alex Coffey takes investors through the earnings and the outlook analysts see ahead for the payment giant. Scott Bauer of Prosper Trading Academy believes Visa will see more pressure the longer inflation woes linger and offers a bearish example options trade for the stock.
======== Schwab Network ========
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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SK Hynix (SKHY) continued a post-earnings rally within an hour after the opening bell in the U.S., something Kevin Green sees as a boon to the greater AI memory trade. He offers a closer look into the technical trends among the stocks through the Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM).
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Omar Aguilar, CEO and CIO of Charles Schwab Asset Management, believes the U.S. economy remains resilient even as crude oil volatility serves as a key risk to the macro outlook. He adds that the AI trade is here to stay but warns that the "extreme growth" seen in some companies over the last couple years will not last. When it comes to the Fed, Omar sees two more rate hikes at the end of 2026 into 2027. He urges investors stay diversified and not play into emotions as volatility grips the stock market.
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GE Vernova (GEV) posted phenomenal earnings and raised guidance once again. As Diane King Hall points out, the stock's muted reaction reflects an even stronger outperformance by shares so far this year. Payment volume and transaction growth offered earnings strength for Visa (V) in its report. Enphase Energy (ENPH) shares slid double-digits after it posted a double miss.
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Brian Vendig remains bullish on stocks into year-end, pointing to solid earnings and a potential S&P 500 (SPX) move toward 7,950, while cautioning that Fed policy, midterm elections and geopolitical risks could fuel volatility. He favors established megacap tech companies that can fund AI investment, along with industrials, health care, cybersecurity and commodities. Looking to 2027, Vendig expects roughly 15% earnings growth, a mid-cycle economic slowdown and broader market leadership beyond tech.
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It's Fed day, and Kevin Hincks says investors should "lower their expectations" due to anticipation of Kevin Warsh giving little to no information in the press conference. The committee is expected to hold rate for October and raise in December. What Kevin does have strong expectations for: Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) earnings. He believes the prints will curb fears around the AI trade, helped in part by earnings from SK Hynix (SKHY), Seagate (STX), and Vertiv (VRT) Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning. The lingering risk continues to be crude oil volatility as tensions mount in the Middle East.
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Tom White takes investors through the three-year weekly chart in Alphabet (GOOGL) and highlights the stock's "great run" into earnings. On the one-year chart, a "death cross" poses a notable risk to the Mag 7 giant's bullish momentum. Tom then turns to an example options trade for Alphabet.
======== Schwab Network ========
Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.
Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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Milind Mehere, CEO of Advisor360, joins Diane King Hall live from Schwab IMPACT 2026 to talk about the big questions he sees for the future of AI in the financial space. He explains the importance of ensuring the right data is used by AI agents in the financial space and how the evolving technology is shaping advisor mindsets. It's also changing how clients look at investment firms and their own portfolios.
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