Schwab Network

Gabe Diederich breaks down the current interest rate environment and how investors should be positioning portfolios across equities and fixed income. He shares his view on the Fed’s stance on inflation and what it means for markets. Diederich also highlights opportunities in municipal bonds, pointing to attractive tax-adjusted yields and record issuance.

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Markets are digesting all the hyperscaler spending on the AI buildout, says Arun Sundaram, pointing to Amazon's (AMZN) $200 billion CapEx goal as something for investors to watch. However, the Mag 7 giant's fastest-growing tech businesses are also the most profitable. Arun highlights strengths he sees for the company's growth, including Amazon Leo and ways it serves as a competitor to SpaceX's (SPCX) Starlink. Tom White offers an example options trade for Amazon's stock.

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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D

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Marley Kayden breaks down Exxon Mobil (XOM), pointing out that shares are trading below prices before the U.S.-Iran War began. That didn't stop BofA from upgrading the stock and initiating a $154 price target. Marley says there is no real explanation as to why Exxon Mobil isn't moving in tandem with other big energy names. Tim Biggam walks us through an example options trade.

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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D

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Global movers take the attention of today's Big Picture panel. Charles Schwab's Michael Townsend turns his focus to the Strait of Hormuz and ways Washington is managing a tentative reopening if the U.S. and Iran sign a memorandum of understanding. Michelle Gibley offers perspective on the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike to 1%, the highest in three decades. Both add color to how all of this plays into the Fed's big picture ahead of its interest rate decision.

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Thierry Wizman of Macquarie Group breaks down the forces keeping yields elevated and how a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could ease oil supply concerns. He argues that A.I.-driven demand across electricity, construction, and labor will keep inflation persistent regardless of energy prices. He also outlines why the Fed is likely to maintain a neutral policy stance amid ongoing inflation pressures.

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Dynasty Financial Partners' Pat Nerney explains how his firm is managing expectations during the A.I. boom, including trimming semiconductor exposure while maintaining upside participation. He outlines his timeline for potential OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs and the role of midterms in shaping market dynamics. Nerney also discusses market volatility, noting the VIX’s surprising calm ahead of a key Fed meeting.

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Diane King Hall discusses this morning’s moving stocks at the opening bell, starting with Dave & Buster’s (PLAY) plunge after a double miss on earnings. Diane also highlights Citigroup raising cruise line price targets on stocks like Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) and Carnival (CCL), along with Jefferies hiking targets for airlines like American (AAL) and Southwest (LUV).

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Ty J. Young, CEO of Ty J. Young Wealth Management, expects the Fed to hold rates steady as inflation remains persistent and recent treasury auction results signal underlying market dynamics. He also discusses the Fed’s internal debates and why greater transparency could benefit investors. Young adds perspective on current market volatility and how his firm is positioning client portfolios.

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A memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran is moving toward a Friday signing. Kevin Hincks believes it will offer reprieve to markets concerned of heightened inflation, expecting crude oil prices to slide more once the Strait of Hormuz reopens. It comes as Kevin Warsh heads his first interest rate meeting as Fed Chair.

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The "unmagnificent 493" are back to being as such, says Thomas Hayes, believing investors are turning their focus back to the Mag 7 and AI leaders. He suggests investors trim their holdings in those outperformers and makes the case that we're in the "fifth inning" of the AI trade. He then outlines his stock picks in Baxter (BAX) and Hormel Foods (HRL).

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