ISM Manufacturing PMI hit a 9-month low this morning. The problem with the manufacturing numbers is that the contraction is so “broad-based,” argues Thomas Derry. “A positive way to look at it is, maybe it’s a trough.” Customer inventories are low, usually a positive sign for future growth, he notes, and any rate cuts by the Fed would boost activity. Thomas also discusses tariffs, saying we should see higher prices flow through to the consumer “any day” now.

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Joe Brusuelas joins Nicole Petallides at the NYSE with a dampened economic picture for U.S. growth following July's jobs report. He says the downward revisions in June and May sent a "big chill" across the labor market. He doesn't believe a recession will occur, but says stagflationary conditions could arise. Discussing manufacturing jobs, he asks: "Where are we going to get these workers?" Joe calls the lack of demand for these roles a part of "affluenza" in the U.S. For the Fed, he says "they didn't make a mistake" by not cutting this week because they didn't have the latest labor market data.

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Marley Kayden previews A.I. software company Palantir (PLTR) ahead of next week's earnings report. Shares of PLTR have soared to new all-time highs recently and are up more than 100% so far in 2025. Marley maps out the reasoning behind this bullish sentiment, including its ties to the U.S. Department of Defense. Later, Mike Shorr demonstrates an example trading strategy for Palantir utilizing an iron condor with a neutral stance.

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In the wake of Chevron (CVX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) earnings, Carley Garner provides her perspective on the energy market. She says technological improvements are helping oil exploration companies extract more product despite rig counts falling. She wouldn't be surprised to see gas fall between $40-$50 by the end of the year. Anecdotally, she points to lower foot traffic in her hometown of Las Vegas as a potential red flag for travel demand — and the fuel needed to travel. Later, Tom White provides example trade strategies for XOM and CVX.

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Reddit (RDDT) is a "relative bright spot" across the equity markets Friday, says Sam Vadas. The social media company rallied on a better than expected 2Q earnings report and strong guidance. Meanwhile, Coinbase (COIN) shares have collapsed after revealing a decline in revenue and trading volume in its latest figures. Different picture for Strategy (MSTR) as the crypto-company shared a big profit on its massive Bitcoin (/BTC) holdings. Finally, Sam recaps the IPO rally from Figma (FIG).

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Alex Coffey joins Nicole Petallides to look at Friday's opening bell move to the downside. He points out that August historically has shown weakness, but adds that the July jobs report is likely weighing on the minds of the Fed. Alex provides technical indicators to track on the S&P 500 (SPX) chart, underlining the quick pullback from all-time highs on a lower volume trading day.

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Barry Knapp gives his takeaways from the jobs report. He sees the labor market at a “tipping point” and discusses recent Fed member comments about cutting rates this year. Unemployment could “shoot up really quickly,” he argues, and sees a potential “growth scare” in August caused by tariffs and other pressures. Barry expects a 50 basis-point cut in September, and in fact thinks we could be 100 basis points lower by the end of the year. “We have a very weak economy right now,” he says, and believes that no rate cut was the wrong move this week.

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Kevin Hincks dissects the latest labor market data which came in weaker-than-expected. He points out significant revisions to June and May numbers could be weighing on investor sentiment, but could raise the probability of a Fed rate cut in September. Kevin discusses Jerome Powell and the FOMC's next steps as Pres. Trump ramps up tariff pressure on dozens of countries to kick off the August month.

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Apple (AAPL) posted record June quarter revenue as iPhone sales topped Wall Street estimates. Jenny Horne goes under the hood on the Mag 7 earnings report, highlighting a record-high services segment revenue number. Later, she turns attention to Amazon (AMZN) and the e-commerce company's mixed report. While it beat top and bottom line figures, Amazon guidance amid tariff uncertainty fell below expectations.

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UnitedHealth (UNH) shares have plummeted to the downside in a strong downtrend thus far in 2025. Tom White looks at the healthcare company and discusses its weight on the Dow Jones Industrial Avg. ($DJI), potentially hampering the index from hitting all-time highs alongside the S&P 500 (SPX). Tom calls the steep pullback a "falling knife" and illustrates a duration-based example options trade. He composes a call vertical with a bullish tilt using October expiry strikes to give the trade time.

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