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The significant rotation in the AI trade, particularly in neoclouds like CoreWeave (CRVW), is something Dan Deming believes opens the door to new trading opportunities. He sees Merck (MRK) leading a stabilizing healthcare sector, Gilead Sciences (GILD) as a stock "poised to continue upward price action," and Exxon Mobil (XOM) as a high-liquid name in a booming energy trade. Dan offers example options trades for his Big 3 while Charles Schwab's Ben Watson takes investors through his technical analysis of the stock charts.
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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There are doubts in the AI buildout as CoreWeave's (CRWV) debt financing is questioned, though Rolf Bulk of Futurum says the neocloud's backlog supports the spending even if future deals face some constraint. He adds that CoreWeave and other neoclouds "will not collapse by any means" due to the GPUs they have offering sources of tangible income. While Rolf sees an overall slowdown in AI growth into 2027, he expects Nvidia (NVDA) and AI memory names like Micron (MU) and SK Hynix (SKHY) to continue delivering strong earnings.
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Anthony Saccaro says the economy is still growing, so he doesn’t see stagflation yet, but hot CPI and PPI readings could mean more inflation pain for consumers. He argues the Fed may need to raise rates by as much as half a percentage point to get ahead of inflation, even as the labor market cools. Saccaro likes industrials tied to AI infrastructure and defense spending, along with healthcare and banks, but warns that debt, high valuations and permitting hurdles could create risks for the AI buildout.
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Despite a beat on earnings and guidance, investors did not reward TSMC (TSM) as CapEx questions linger over the AI chip manufacturer. It doesn't help that AI financing concerns around companies like CoreWeave (CRWV) added to broader tech weakness. Derek Yan of KraneShares discusses the AI supply and demand imbalance, and how the latter will continue to bolster TSMC earnings. Tom White offers an example options trade for TSMC's stock.
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CoreWeave (CRWV) high-yield bonds have fallen in distress territory as the stock sells off on concerns of the company's plans to expand AI opportunities through debt financing. Alex Coffey takes investors through the key headlines creating a cautious tone around the neocloud company's prospects. Joe Tigay walks through an example options trade for CoreWeave.
======== Schwab Network ========
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The pullback in the semiconductor space is approaching a 15% decline over the span of just a few trading sessions, says Joe Mazzola of Charles Schwab. He weighs the biggest question behind the selloff: will earnings from AI-centric companies justify the expensive buildout? Pockets of strength, particularly in software in companies like Microsoft (MSFT), gives Joe confidence investors aren't fully turning bearish on the trade.
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Kristina Hooper says inflation is outpacing wage growth, putting more pressure on consumers and complicating the Fed’s fight against rising prices as the economy shows signs of weakening. She expects the Fed to skip an October rate hike but raise rates in December, while warning that a slowdown in AI CapEx could weigh on economic growth. With uncertainty elevated, Hooper recommends diversification across equities and fixed income and says investors should closely watch corporate forward guidance and credit markets.
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TSMC (TSM) posted a 69% increase in year-over-year net profit as strong AI demand continues to back strong earnings quarter after quarter. However, as Kevin Green points out, CapEx spending remains a key concern for the company and the broader AI trade. He discusses how the earnings, paired with AI debt financing concerns in companies like CoreWeave (CRWV), add to doubts in the AI trade's outlook. KG adds that inflation woes remain a key overhang as well, pointing to a hot September PPI backing the trend CPI showed a day prior.
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Doug Butler explains why Rockland Trust remains overweight on Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) while keeping limited semiconductor exposure, including Texas Instruments (TXN) and Nvidia (NVDA), as higher rates threaten AI and data-center financing. He says hotter inflation could increase the chances of two Fed rate hikes this year, but notes that four-year bull markets have historically tended to keep running. Butler also sees a valuation opportunity in mid-caps, which he prefers over both large- and small-cap stocks.
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There's more value ahead for Walmart (WMT) shares, according to Deutsche Bank. Diane King Hall explains why the firm upgraded the stock, which rallied after getting that bullish note. Microsoft (MSFT) received numerous price target hikes as analysts see a strong profit path ahead for Azure cloud and Office 365. Diane turns to the financial space by discussing PNC Financial (PNC) earnings.
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