After Wall Street sold Alphabet (GOOGL) shares over its staggering CapEx projections, Marley Kayden points to Amazon's (AMZN) cloud and CapEx numbers as ones to watch. Also on her radar: the impact of the Mag 7 firm's recent round of layoffs. Joe Tigay owns Amazon through his firm's fund and believes any sell-off will be a buying opportunity. He offers an example options trade highlighting a tentative "buy the dip" post-earnings move.

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"Disruption" is the new word the AI trade needs to get used to, according to Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders. She explains how the weakness in labor ties into the "cultivating" phase of tech. As for the overall rotation trade, Liz Ann says investors may be "looking for the dull, new object" to add defensive muscle to portfolios.

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Buzzy companies like SpaceX and OpenAI are considering IPOs this year. Howe Ng covers the state of the IPO market and what he expects for 2026. He discusses the staggering amount of funding some of these companies are raising ahead of going public, and how those market caps could impact trading in the stock market. SpaceX is seeking early inclusion in indexes, for example. He notes that 2021 “was a bubble in the private market,” and current conditions are starting to look similar.

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Kevin Green offers a full-picture analysis on Thursday's market action, starting with the JOLTS report showing a downtick. He makes the case it opens the door for more interest rate cuts from the Fed. KG adds that the VIX is currently experiencing backwardation which he says "does not last long." He makes the case that the spike markets are seeing will end soon. As for silver, KG notes the metal hovering around its 50-day SMA as a make or break move.

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Sarah Kunst says Nvidia (NVDA) and Alphabet (GOOGL) are being “punished for doing a good job,” but it could be people taking gains after a great run. The tech sector is seeing a bifurcation, with some names being punished as investors go back to fundamentals, she argues. She likes GOOGL’s stock, saying it “invented AI as we know it” and will be a major winner in the sector. One of the underlying questions of AI is when revenue will even “slightly begin to build up” to the levels promised. She thinks Palantir (PLTR) is too expensive, noting that it is a consulting company valued like a tech company.

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Arm Holdings (ARM) issued a light beat in earnings, but as Diane King Hall points out, the Street took issue with its licensing revenue. The stock didn't sell off as much as Estée Lauder (EL) following its earnings, which contrasted Tapestry's (TPR) rally off its report.

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Andrew Wang covers the big picture on markets and crypto. Bitcoin fell below $70K and is down nearly 30% from its all-time highs; Andrew argues Kevin Warsh as the Fed nominee, Michael Burry warning of a “death spiral,” and Scott Bessent saying the U.S. wouldn’t support the cryptocurrency are all pushing it lower. “Speculative excess is being wrung out of the system…number go up isn’t necessarily a strategy.” Andrew likes pharma despite a bumpy earnings season and pushes for portfolio diversity.

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Challenger job cuts jumped from 35,000 to 108,000 between reports, a number worth watching according to Kevin Hincks. He points to an uptick in jobless claims adding fog to the employment path ahead. Bitcoin's dip below $70,000 is another warning flag for investors, as Kevin highlights the bearish and bullish narratives for crypto. Alphabet's (GOOGL) selling action after an initial earnings rally is another signal investors take issues with Big Tech's big CapEx spending.

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Amazon (AMZN) earnings are in the queue and ready for delivery after the closing bell. Rick Ducat pulls out the chart and shows why Amazon's symmetrical triangle formation could carry significance heading into the earnings report. Rick also identifies heavy trading volume nodes between $230-$221. Later, Tom White employs a "don't be a hero" example options strategy in his trade. He describes the reasons why a trader could consider a short-term put vertical for AMZN.

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It's interesting that the S&P 500 Equal Weight (SPXEW) hit a new all-time high yesterday, posits Michael Reinking. He adds that concerns around AI spending and AI's impact on software as a service (SaaS) companies is weighing on market performance. Michael points to the 3Q/4Q circular financing announcements among big tech companies as one of the first signs of concern around increased capex spending. Later, he discusses other ongoing market themes such as metal commodity volatility, crypto's downturn and a "hunkering down" in risk sentiment.

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