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Kevin Green says technically the markets are still doing a "phenomenal job" hitting higher highs but the FOMC decision - especially its Summary of Economic Projections - will be key for future performance. KG says the addition of Stephen Miran to the Fed governors could add another dissenting voice to the central bank which will add another layer to Chairman Jerome Powell's messaging to the public. Later, KG addresses reports that China's internet regulator has ordered companies to stop purchases of Nvidia (NVDA) chips.
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Zed Francis says Fed chair Jerome Powell "waved the white flag" at Jackson Hole, believing he listened to calls from his committee that it was time to signal a rate cutting cycle. He says there's "no reason to go against the market" and expects a 25bps rate cut. When it comes to cuts ahead, Zed sees the committee setting up a "game plan" for the dot plot and will present it through a "unified front." He gives the case that it will be difficult to see a rally in bonds following Wednesday's interest rate decision.
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Ahead of Wednesday's interest rate decision, Peter Tuchman talks about the possibilities of a 25bps rate cut and a 50bps. In the event of a 50bps cut, he expects a "kneejerk" market reaction to the downside. On the tariff front, Peter warns that consumers still haven't experienced the true impact of tariffs no matter what the Fed's decision ends up being.
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Markets were fairly muted ahead of Wednesday's FOMC interest rate decision, though all major indices slipped below the flat line. Oracle (ORCL) was one stock that saw notable gains after President Trump and other reports hinted at its connection to a tentative deal involving TikTok. Alphabet (GOOGL) will make a $6.8 billion commitment to build A.I. infrastructure in the UK. Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) sold off after getting a downgrade from TD Cowen. Marley Kayden recaps a cautious day across the markets.
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Walt Disney (DIS) just turned the page on its partnership with Webtoon (WBTN). The digital comic book company rallied to August 2024 highs after Disney added a 2% stake in the company. This comes on the back of a partnership penned by both companies last month. George Tsilis talks about what puts this company in a unique position outside the partnership and its path for profitability.
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CoreWeave (CRWV) has seen eye-watering price action ever since its IPO in March. Rick Ducat notes the OpenAI and Nvidia (NVDA) contracts driving a lot of that movement but adds that not all analysts have a bullish take on the stock. He points out key options activity and levels investors should watch in the weeks ahead.
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Bot Auto CEO, Dr. Xiaodi Hou, joins Market on Close to talk about his company's successful humanless test drive of a truck in Houston. He talks about how the test worked and the tech behind it. On Tesla (TSLA), Hou credits the company for advancing regulatory measures in the U.S. and explains where he sees the autonomous industry down the road.
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Tony D'Onofrio shares his retail sales takeaways, noting a strong holiday season ahead despite economic headwinds. He discusses how retailers are adapting to supply chain challenges, including inventory distortion and tariffs, and the growing importance of e-commerce and direct-to-consumer sales. He also highlights the potential of AI in retail.
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Brian Mulberry and Ryan Stever preview tomorrow’s Fed announcement. Ryan doesn’t see the “alarm bells ringing” for a rate cut and doesn’t see a long-term rate cut cycle as necessary. Brian is focused on the language out of the Fed, saying a cut tomorrow is priced in so what’s important is what they see ahead. Ryan maintains that the Fed’s independence is paramount as Stephen Miran is confirmed to the board.
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The Fed has been "too restrictive for too long," says David Nelson. He says an interest rate cut tomorrow will give the markets some breathing room as the economy faces pressure on the jobs front. David later talks about stocks, including Oracle (ORCL), where he has doubts of its recent guidance. He points to the company "bleeding cash" as a concern moving forward. David's stock picks include Datadog (DDOG), SLB (SLB), and Emcor Group (EME).
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