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Daktronics (DAKT) hit an all-time high after the electronic scoreboard company posted a home-run earnings win. It also scored major orders through multiple large stadium projects. George Tsilis shows investors how Daktronics read the field and stepped up to the plate for Wednesday's rally.
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Kathy Jones with Charles Schwab calls Wednesday's PPI print a "mixed bag" underneath the headline number, pointing to profit margins as a key weakness. When it comes to the FOMC's September meeting, Kathy notes the "resilient" inflation pressure posing a challenge to the Fed's dual mandate but expects a 25bps interest rate cut. Joe Mazzola turns to equities in the A.I. race and its impact on the job market and what investors are willing to pay for more efficency.
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Dan Deming covers commodities. He thinks crude could fall back into the 50s if it breaks support here despite its gains today. He says “pressures in the market favor” gold, and he doesn’t expect them to “leave anytime soon.” He also looks at bitcoin, arguing that its price cycles are growing longer, explaining the stall here.
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The SPX tapped new all-time highs before retesting a gap to the downside and closing near session lows. Kevin Green notes what makes the move perculiar, including rallies in energy and utilities despite Oracle's (ORCL) strong rally. He adds that call volume still edges out puts ahead of Thursday's CPI report.
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Evan Sohn thinks the Fed would have cut rates in the summer if the BLS data had come in right the first time. He’s concerned companies may delay hiring into 1Q26 as they wait for the Fed to cut, potentially hitting the 4Q labor market. He discusses how heavily the labor force is weighted towards healthcare, saying “one in eight” Americans are employed in the field. Evan also talks about the ways that AI is replacing jobs – and it might not be how you think.
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Tyler Ellegard notes rising delinquencies, but says the market is looking past it because it’s on the “lower consumer end.” He talks about potential “black swan events” and looks at the labor market. He says two things can be true at once: economic conditions can weaken while the stock market can keep gaining. He says this is due to AI companies driving earnings and letting the market grind higher from here. His stock picks include POD, SJM and more.
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Mark Hamrick and Peter Tchir break down the latest trade headlines. Peter talks about the possibility of the Supreme Court ruling against tariffs, which are projected to reach $300 billion in revenue by the end of the year. He thinks we need to “break the rules” on rare earth minerals and bring jobs back to the U.S. Mark argues that the tariff impacts are a “known quantity” and covers their impact on inflation, and thus potentially on Fed rates. He calls them the “primary tool” of the Trump administration and says we need to reset expectations on trade deals.
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"Lots of things could go wrong from here" and send markets into a correction, says David Stryzewski. He notes rising corporate bankruptcies and the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics downward revision on jobs as troubling signs there's more weakness in the economy investors are willing to admit. However, David is bullish when it comes to metals and miners. He says A.I. and other industries will need them to continue long-term momentum.
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DeHaven Becker thinks the Fed will “save the day again” with a 25-basis-point rate cut in September and another before the end of the year. He thinks corporate earnings are benefitting from a consumer that is “still ok, despite the noise.” He says the economy has softened “a little bit” but isn’t concerned about recession. “Remember, we don’t need things to be great…we just need them to be good enough.” He expects the market to be “slow and steady” upwards into the end of the year, and would treat pullbacks as a buying opportunity.
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Ben Cook thinks energy demand will rise by 2% on a “compound annual growth basis,” vs being flat right now. He sees natural gas as a “logical solution” to those enormous needs. He looks at natural gas demand patterns right now and expects supply to tighten over the next few years, pushing prices higher. He likes companies throughout the pipeline, from energy companies making the fuel to delivery companies downstream. Ben is waiting for nuclear to grow more before getting excited.
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