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“We have a consumer that seems to be pretty level,” Andrew Almeida says, and thinks supply/demand pressures caused by tariffs could be short-lived. He focuses in on mid cap stocks, calling it the forgotten child of the market and comparing the sector’s performance to large and small caps. Andrew also covers the M&A field, especially as sectors like real estate and energy anticipate an AI boom.
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Keith Buchanan is looking for market catalysts as we come off a strong August into a traditionally lower September. He previews this week’s economic data and discusses the Fed’s potential rate cut decision this month. He notes that the market is baking in a cut, and he’s going to focus on the rhetoric from Powell’s statement, as well as any data on the labor market. On the other hand, 2Q earnings were “remarkably strong,” and Keith is impressed by companies’ “resilience.”
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Joseph Wang and Ty J. Young discuss the Fed’s next steps and react to Powell’s Jackson Hole comments. “Chair Powell has already promised he’ll cut rates in September,” Joseph argues, already reflected in market expectations. However, he thinks that the politics around the Fed’s independence is more important to pay attention to. Ty reflects on the Fed’s dual mandate and also expects a cut, which he expects to be “very, very positive” for the housing market.
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Joseph Shaposhnik argues that the Mag 7 are "undervalued" despite many rallying big over the past year. He sees Microsoft (MSFT) as the "winner in all markets" due to its strength in the A.I. and enterprise spaces. That said, Joseph believes the rest of the 493 companies in the SPX will shine as the Mag 7 continue to gain traction.
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Robby Silk recaps Labor Day Weekend travel to help gauge demand within airlines, hospitality & more. He compares budget airlines to more luxury-oriented ones as Spirit Airlines re-entered Chapter 11 bankruptcy on Friday. “The situation with Spirit is pretty dire,” Robby says, but argues budget airlines are essential to the aviation ecosystem by keeping fares lower overall and providing access to a lower income demographic.
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Landon Swan from Likefolio discusses Dollar Tree (DLTR) earnings ahead of their report. He considers it the “weakest of the three” in the trio of DLTR, Dollar General (DG) and Five Below (FIVE). He notes a lag in year-over-year visits compared to competitors, and says it is missing out by not having a strong digital footprint. Landon also looks at the stock’s “strong run” and gives his general expectations for their quarter.
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Jessica Inskip sees a disconnect occurring between U.S. consumers and SPX, highlighting trends she sees as concerning for future growth. On today's Big 3, she turns to companies she believes will become leaders in their industries even if economic volatility reemerges. Jessica expects Take Two Interactive (TTWO) to gain momentum from Grand Theft Auto VI and its targeted ad strategies. On McDonald's (MCD), she credits the value meal bringing lower-income consumers back to stores. She notes First Solar's (FSLR) near-term headwinds that weigh against long-term tailwinds. Rick Ducat dives into the technical trends he sees in the charts for all three stocks.
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Tu Le says there were plenty of bright spots in NIO Inc.'s (NIO) latest earnings, which he argues lays the groundwork for significant growth. He adds that it and Chinese competitors like BYD Co. (BYDDY) continue to push the "innovation envelope" as Tesla (TSLA) struggles to accelerate international sales. Lauren Fix makes the case that it's hard for any EV maker to break out in North America. She says there's not enough interest in EVs to generate profits companies are seeking. Another headwind Lauren labels: tariffs, and how they add to already expensive costs for most consumers.
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Ken Leon spotlights U.S. banks as a strong sector in 2025 and talks about what’s driving their success. However, not all are created equal: he digs into revenue segments to explain why he is bullish on Goldman Sachs (GS) but is more cautious on JPMorgan (JPM). He calls Bank of America (BAC) “average at best” and says Citigroup (C) is in the “second half of the game” in its pivot.
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A market pullback right now is healthy, argues Mike Horwath as stocks sink to start September. He hopes the market will continue to broaden to “signal strength beyond the top seven names.” Mike is looking for opportunities in AI spending, especially in auxiliary companies, and highlights that AI capex is, broadly, being funded by free cash flow rather than debt.
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