Schwab Network

Alex Coffey, Kevin Green, and Marley Kayden break down the market's response to Nvidia's (NVDA) earnings, which saw the AI chipmaker's share price fall despite a strong AI demand backdrop. They discuss the potential for a rotation out of AI stocks, such as Nvidia, and into other areas of the market, and examine the economic data calendar for the week ahead, including ISM manufacturing and non-farm payrolls.

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The S&P 500 (SPX) hit new record-highs on Thursday before selling pressures brought it back into negative territory for the week. Nvidia (NVDA) earnings weighed on the overall market performance, as shares of the Mag 7 chipmaker fell more than 2% this week. Elsewhere in the Mag 7, Alphabet (GOOGL) rose to a record high. And, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - Core PCE Index - showed a small uptick heading into the month of September. Marley Kayden recaps this week's trading action on The Wrap.

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IREN (IREN) shares surged to a record high after the company reported blowout earnings and announced a major expansion of its AI cloud business. Daniel Roberts discusses the results and the company's rapid growth. Roberts highlights the company's recent achievement of Nvidia Preferred Partner status for its 10,000 plus GPU AI cloud services business. With a focus on high-performance computing and AI, IREN is targeting $2-2.5 billion in run-rate revenue from its cloud business by the end of the year.

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Shares of Ambarella (AMBA) skied higher after a 2Q earnings beat. George Tsilis peels back the layers behind the fabless semiconductor manufacturer's latest figures to find out why, which includes some Wall Street speculation that it could be a takeout target for larger semiconductor companies. George does say that recent earnings are trending higher with significant improvement on an adjusted earnings standpoint.

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Cooper Howard reacts to the latest PCE data and believe the July print gave Fed officials the "green light" to cut rates in its upcoming September meeting. He notes that there is substantial labor market data ahead for the Fed to factor in as well. Cooper discusses the dual mandate for the central bank and admits that the Fed may be paying closer attention to jobs right now over inflation. Later, Cooper discusses the intermediate bond market and municipal bonds as a potential investing tool to consider.

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Joe Cavatoni from the World Gold Council discusses gold near all-time highs and how the expectation of a Fed rate cut is affecting price. “The Western investor is definitely driving the flows right now,” he says, using ETFs as a proxy. The options and futures markets are showing “risk trading” that could cause more price volatility in the short term, he adds.

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With Friday's selling action weighing on the S&P 500 (SPX), Kevin Green looks at current options flows and technical areas on the charts that are standing out ahead of the holiday weekend. In terms of volatility, KG observes historical trading patterns from a quieter August into a traditionally bumpier September. Later, he highlights a head and shoulders pattern forming on a 3-year weekly chart of the PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX) with some downside curl on its MACD study.

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Scott Melker helps viewers understand stablecoins, their uses, and why it’s “more of a tool” than an investment. Fully backed stablecoins like Tether have the most demand, but there are other “styles” of stablecoins that may come with more risk. Scott discusses the GENIUS act creating a “Cambrian explosion” within crypto and its implications for the stablecoin sector. He also explains some of the intricacies of stablecoins, including how they are often backed by U.S. Treasuries, and how that system works.

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Sam Burns thinks inflation will continue to rise as tariff impacts continue to filter through, and that real spending will slow down. This puts the Fed “in a bind” on interest rates. He thinks the Fed will still cut in September and then say they’ll “wait and watch the data” because other central banks have been cutting interest rates around the world this year. However, he’s not sure if there will be a cut in December. He also points out unevenness within markets, which all-time highs may be disguising.

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David Doyle and Brian Jacobsen give their takeaways from today’s PCE data. David also gives his expectations for next week’s jobs report and says fewer younger workers participating has kept the unemployment rate lower, which could reverse. Brian reflects on 2Q earnings, saying that the “beat and raise” chorus was “music” to the market’s ears. They also discuss Fed independence and their expectations for the September rate cut decision.

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