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Jay Timmons covers the state of U.S. manufacturing and the impact of tariffs on the sector. He calls the federal budget bill “huge” in signaling commitment to the sector. He compares the 2017 tax bill to the 2025 one, and says it gives the U.S. “one of the most competitive tax structures” worldwide. He discusses how he works to “improve” regulations in the industry and discusses uncertainties in the business world ahead.
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“There isn’t a lot of room for error” in Nvidia (NVDA) earnings, says Andrew Brenner. However, he’s paying more attention to the Fed decision in September. He thinks employment is “10 times” more important than inflation, and thinks the Fed will agree, but he also doesn’t quite trust the labor data the government is publishing. Andrew also thinks that the Trump administration will push the Fed to cut rates faster than they would like – highlighting a potential compromise of their independence.
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After Okta Inc. (OKTA) posted an earnings win and subsequent rally, now cybersecurity investors await CrowdStrike's (CRWD) report after the close on Wednesday. Marley Kayden notes the company's significant rally over the last year, even as the stock trades close to 20% off its all-time high. She talks about the headwinds still ahead for CrowdStrike as software sees a slump on Wall Street. Prosper Trading Academy's Scott Bauer offers an example options trade for the cybersecurity company.
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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Christine Short and Zach Warring cover retailer earnings. Christine thinks the “cautious consumer” is one of retail’s biggest headwinds as 2Q shows beats despite tariffs. She notes that value is leading, expecting lower-priced namesake brands like Abercrombie (ANF) or Urban Outfitters (URBN) to see strength there. Zach has a Strong Buy rating on ANF, but has a Sell rating on Kohl’s (KSS) over valuation. He also likes TJX (TJX), which is “obviously gaining market share,” and Ross Stores (ROST).
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Market breadth continues to expand, and Larry Tentarelli urges investors to look beyond Big Tech to discover new leaders in the latest sector rotation. He points to Corning (GLW) breaking out due to its $2.5 billion Apple (AAPL) contract to develop glass for iPhone and related products. Larry notes Newmont (NEM) as a miner benefitting from gold's run at all-time highs in recent months. He labels RTX Corp. (RTX) as "one of my favorite stocks" in a sticky defense industry.
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Ryan Dykmans thinks the market is too aggressively pricing in a rate cut, calling the odds more “60/40” than the over 80% currently projected. He thinks the Fed really needs to watch labor market data into their September meeting. Ryan is also concerned about inflation, and argues that while the U.S. consumer is “fine” right now, incoming tariff impacts could hit hard in the next few quarters. His worst-case scenario is GDP dropping and sending the U.S. into recession.
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As noted by R. "Ray" Wang, Nvidia (NVDA) beat and raised for eight consecutive quarters, and he believes the company can do it again. He sees A.I. demand only accelerating, backed by six of the Mag 7 companies funneling $80 to $100 billion in capex for the coming year. Ray doesn't expect China to act as a headwind, pointing to Nvidia's massive A.I. ecosystem giving it a long growth runway.
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Wedbush's Matthew Bryson says this is the "first quarter in three or four quarters" where everything appears to have gone right for Nvidia (NVDA). Two headwinds he can see for the company: China and guidance not meeting investors' expectations. Matthew says positives outweigh potential downsides to Nvidia, especially as Big Tech companies increase capex spending.
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Investors will get their latest read on the cybersecurity space through CrowdStrike's (CRWD) earnings after Wednesday's close. Marley Kayden notes headwinds facing the stock: from stretched valuations to expected decelerating growth. However, she points to analyst commentary that cites "compelling" execution and strong long-term bull cases.
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Likefolio’s Andy Swan previews Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) earnings, due Thursday. Their sentiment data is relatively flat: “steady, but not spectacular.” However, he thinks they had a strong back-to-school season. He brings some charts to break down their views on DKS and expects the Foot Locker (FL) acquisition to “dominate” the earnings call.
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