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Chen Zhao explains why home purchase cancellations are on the rise, citing buyer difficulty with high mortgage rates. These cancellations happen between the contract agreement and financing offers, when homebuyers may realize they can’t afford the property. She doesn’t expect mortgage rates to fall even if the Fed cuts rates, and says the economy needs to “weaken a lot more” to actually bring them down. Chen thinks sellers will need to sweeten the deal for buyers.
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It was a quieter day on Wall Street ahead of Nvidia's (NVDA) market-moving earnings, though Kevin Green points out a melt-up near the end of the session driving trading action. However, it also occurs on a day that saw "flat" volume when it comes to buying and selling action. Kevin talks about what it means heading into Wednesday's highly anticipated session. He also looks into Okta Inc.'s (OKTA) options activity ahead of its earnings.
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Erik Hirsch breaks down the latest consumer data and remarks on the bifurcation in consumer health between higher and lower income consumers. He is also concerned by the lack of jobs for recent college grads – and he thinks we could be seeing the ripple effects for these “consumers of the future” for decades to come. He sees opportunities within M&A and the infrastructure sector. He likes power suppliers, and potentially nuclear energy.
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Christopher P. Davis offers a wide perspective into Nvidia (NVDA) ahead of its market-moving report Wednesday. He says a strong quarter and outlook can ease uncertainty heading into the typically volatile month of September. However, Christopher adds that concerns on China and a miss on any metric can ignite selling action in the stock. He also wants to see more on how CEO Jensen Huang plans to address the need of powering A.I.'s exponential demand through data centers and electricity sources.
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Patrick Wilson is looking for names that will do well through low economic growth. “We’re always looking for relative value,” he says, including through demographic demand, such as senior housing needs. He looks at how investors can use REITs to diversify their portfolios. He’s also looking at how cloud service providers are spending “astounding” amounts on AI and real estate opportunities through that lens. He also looks under the hood at back-to-school sales and which shopping centers could benefit.
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Bryan Gildenberg argues that tariff impacts seem more psychological than actual, but consumers are “gun-shy” because of the recent cycles of inflation they’ve endured. He likes Walmart (WMT) and TJX (TJX) as shoppers are heading for places they perceive as great deals. “TJX always does well when the world is uncertain,” he adds. Katherine Black covers the resilience of the consumer, but sees shifts in “power buying” and earlier shopping for events and holidays. She highlights Amazon (AMZN) and value retailers as winners.
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“Stay diversified and data driven” as the market walks a tightrope, says Tony Drake. He likes small caps with strong balance sheets, saying they’re at “their steepest discounts since the dot-com era.” He’s also looking at bonds – though on the other hand, Tony says AI could have more room to run. With “futures betting on that September cut,” he’s watching to see if Powell can land the plane.
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Likefolio’s Andy Swan sees Hollister propping up Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) ahead of earnings Wednesday morning. He shares consumer sentiment data and talks about ANF’s journey from cool to uncool to cool again. Andy chalks up some of the new enthusiasm to a deep sense of cultural nostalgia for pre-smartphone times, and thinks that “athleisure is played out,” leaving room for a denim comeback.
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Silvaco's (SVCO) recently-transitioned CEO, Wally Rhines, talks about how his company operates in A.I. chip production. As he explains, A.I. has a "great market, but you have to pick your targets carefully." Wally talks about the targets he sees A.I. moving toward and the ways Silvaco expects to grow with industry trends.
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Fox could pull its network off of Alphabet's (GOOGL) YouTube TV if the two don't reach an agreement by Wednesday evening. In the negotiations, Fox accused the platform of exploiting it and users. Sam Vadas highlights the key parts of the report and tunes investors into the streaming shift it can cause.
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