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Philip Straehl thinks the next wave of growth is “uncertain” as generative AI takes the wheel. While he is bullish on AI, he argues heavy AI capex spending has hidden costs. He compares it to other historical periods where industries spend heavily on a new technology and then have difficulties monetizing it.
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Likefolio’s Andy Swan previews Walmart (WMT) earnings and consumer sentiment around the company. He highlights their logistics and delivery prowess and expects “very good numbers” for the quarter. However, guidance will be key to the market’s reaction, he thinks.
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Dustin Reid and Andrew Wells weigh the FOMC July minutes. Dustin calls them “a little stale” because of the major shift in sentiment from the jobs data. He says that if “they had the data already” they probably would have cut rates in July and is “pretty constructive” on a cut in September. Andrew lists the criteria he thinks the Fed will be using to make their rate decision but says predicting their move will be difficult.
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Kyle Brown, CEO of Trinity Capital (TRIN), discusses the company’s business and earnings. The international alternative asset management company has a “robust” pipeline and sees opportunities in the upper-middle market. They’ve seen a “significant uptick” in equipment spending as companies look to reshore manufacturing in the U.S. Trinity is also providing financing for computing equipment as the AI boom continues.
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George Young expects the Fed to stay the course: “no change is probably good.” He covers how he helps clients divide investments between equities and fixed income depending on their situation – especially with regard to taxes. His stock picks right now include Atlas Energy (AESI), Republic Services (RSG), and Ligand (LGND). He stays away from companies with high debt and weak management.
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Immediately following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes from July, David Stryzewski talks about the Fed's current position as one between a "rock and a hard place." He says Fed members have to weigh whether to cut rates faster and risk higher inflation, or cut slower and risk hits to the labor and housing markets. David still expects 100bps in interest rate cuts by the end of 2025. On stock insights, he sees Tesla's (TSLA) expected A.I. and robotics technology to be industry "game changers." However, current valuations will challenge stock growth.
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Aaron Zulter, CEO of Popinsanity, a gourmet popcorn shop, explains what’s driving the artisanal snack market. He says consumers are becoming more educated about what they’re consuming, and are looking for “new, different, innovative and trending.” He discusses how tariffs have impacted his business, although he emphasizes Popinsanity tries to source domestically.
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UBS initiated coverage of Oklo Inc. (OKLO) with a neutral rating and $65 price target. The firm sees high potential in its margins but expressed concern over its lack of revenue and the uncertain outlook of the nuclear power space. Diane King Hall talks about the "stock story" surrounding Oklo and its reliance on the A.I. buildout. As she puts it, it's an investment that can take years to play out.
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Nick Raich and Jamie Myers debate Target (TGT) earnings and the new CEO. Jamie thinks Target has lost its identity and so is struggling to compete in a difficult retail market. Nick says the market “needs proof” that the new CEO won’t bring “more of the same” strategy. They talk about what Target should do to find its footing again, including potential store closures and ways to entice customers. They also look at Target’s financials, with Jamie concluding it has a “long way to go.”
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From A.I. to retail, TheoTrade's Don Kaufman is bearish on all of today's Big 3. He believes technicals are working against Broadcom (AVGO), braces volatility around Walmart's (WMT) earnings, and expects Starbucks' (SBUX) recovery story to take longer than investors expect. Don offers example options trades for each stock while Rick Ducat dives into the technical trends he thinks investors should watch ahead.
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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