Schwab Network

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) impressed investors with its earnings beat that included strong next-gen security ARR revenue year-over-year. Marley Kayden, Alex Coffey, and Kevin Green offer a closer look at the report for investors as numbers hit the wire. They discuss what metrics are behind the after-hours rally.

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Charles Schwab's Collin Martin sets the foundation for what he's expecting to see from Jerome Powell and the Fed at Jackson Hole. He talks about the potential for the FOMC to update its expectations on the dual mandate and setting a framework for the rest of the year. Liz Ann Sonders turns to the inflation front and what investors should pay attention to as markets continue to digest last week's CPI and PPI data. On last week's market performance, Liz Ann points out rotations leading to a "mixed bag" on what was ultimately a winning week.

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Kevin Green says Monday's session was one of the "top 5" most compressed trading days for the SPX. The index kept to a tight range that once again tested 6,440 as support but still had no chance to test 6,500 resistance. Part of that reasoning comes from light volume on the session. Kevin adds that volatility remains "relatively low" but notes that it typically ticks up this week on a historic basis. Looking ahead to the week, he sees Jackson Hole serving as the biggest market mover.

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Chedly Louis covers grocery inflation, starting with coffee and beef – we heavily import the former, and have a dearth of the latter. Egg prices have jumped because of avian flu, she says. In addition to domestic pressures, she talks about how tariffs will impact grocery prices and consumers. Chedly thinks large grocers are “better positioned to absorb tariffs,” with several levers available to them such as order density or robust vendor agreements, while smaller groceries may struggle.

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The market is in a holding pattern before the September Fed meeting, Craig Robson believes. He discusses how client asset allocations have changed in the last few years, shifting more into equities from money market funds. He explains how the ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’ is changing taxes for investors and business owners. Craig urges investors with money in AI to use the products themselves, emphasizing that they should understand what they’re buying.

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Ed Siddell expects at least 50 basis points in rate cuts by the end of the year. He foresees a market pullback in October but thinks the SPX could be close to $6,600 by the end of the year and anticipates a bull market for the next few years. “We still like AI, we still like tech,” he adds, favoring Alphabet (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT), along with financials and small caps.

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Tsvetta Kaleynska says $WMT is "top of mind" for retailer earnings on Thursday, calling it a "leader" in A.I. integration. Charlie O'Shea agrees, expecting Walmart to provide a big picture on consumer health. He also highlights $TJX and $ROST as "immune to almost anything" and sees $TGT with "a lot of legs" for recovery.

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Peter Baden sees “real pressure building up in the system” for tariffs, as evidenced by recent economic data like the PPI. “People are expecting higher prices,” he says, and thinks it will be psychologically easier for companies to raise prices and keep boosting inflation. He discusses what a Fed rate cut could do in this picture. Peter is a proponent of investing in fixed income.

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Barry Knapp thinks Powell will not commit to a rate cut at Jackson Hole but thinks the Fed will definitely cut rates in September – possibly by half a percent. He expects rebounding capital investment to start hitting markets in 4Q, but on the other hand the “tax” of tariffs is hitting consumers. He lays out his argument for rate cuts this year and how he thinks the Fed can get rates to neutral. He also picks out areas of the market he thinks will respond well, including small caps.

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Applied Digital's (APLD) rocketed higher over the last year, backed by optimism in its A.I. and crypto developments which includes a CoreWeave (CRWV) partnership. However, George Tsilis talks about the headwinds still evident in the company when you look at its balance sheet. He adds that finding future growth opportunities can prove difficult for Applied Digital.

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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D

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