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Micron (MU) shares are up over 500% year-over-year heading into Wednesday's earnings after investors saw upside in AI memory supply shortages. Paul Meeks believes the earnings will be great but points to guidance as the key question mark due to cyclicality concerns surrounding it and other peers like SanDisk (SNDK). That said, Micron's P/E ratio compared to the S&P 500 (SPX) is something Paul sees as a bullish opportunity so long as the profit roadmap remains clear. Tom White turns to an example options trade for Micron.
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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Simon Lack sees upside risk to oil prices with crude potentially pushing above $100 as the White House holds back action until after the midterm elections. He says China remains a swing buyer that calibrates purchases based on price, and views US energy exporters as the big winners since America is a reliable supplier with rising volumes in any scenario. He also warns a diesel export ban would backfire and push gasoline prices higher domestically.
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Market breadth is the key factor Nathan Peterson is watching in the S&P 500 (SPX). He explains why "there's some healing that needs to be done" in sectors beyond tech. Also mind the volatility he sees hitting markets at Wednesday's close due to the combination of Micron (MU) earnings and quarter-end rebalancing. Nate looks ahead to October and tentative headwinds he sees weighing on Russell 2000 (RUT) technicals.
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Kevin Green tells investors to keep an asterisk next to the core PCE print that lifted equities at the beginning of Wednesday's trading session. He makes the case that the year-over-year metric will be the most important one for investors to mind. The latest GDP read shows an uptick driven primarily by AI spending. Speaking of AI, KG discusses the "White House Accord on Super Intelligence" after various AI leaders met with President Trump at the White House. Among the leaders in attendance: Jensen Huang of Nvidia (NVDA), Lisa Su of AMD Inc. (AMD), and Mark Zucerkberg of Meta Platforms (META).
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Adam Coons says the Fed is unlikely to raise rates again despite consensus, as the consumer nears a breaking point with mortgages above 7%. He warns that tech names with stretched valuations and refinance risk, like Oracle (ORCL), could get punished this earnings cycle. He also likes Japanese financials and Southeast Asian semiconductors for diversification and prefers higher-dividend energy names for defense.
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Citi downgraded Moderna (MRNA) following the stock's astronomical rally in recent weeks. Boeing (BA) pens a $20 billion deal with the U.S. Navy for its next generation fighter jets. Jabil (JBL) shares didn't move much on its earnings beat and strong guidance. Diane King Hall turns to the biggest stories moving markets following Wednesday's opening bell.
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Mike Talaga breaks down hyperscaler debt issuance surging toward $400 billion next year and why the AI buildout differs from the telecom boom. He's bearish on generic investment grade tech debt due to supply pressure but likes utilities and former Bitcoin miners transitioning to AI data centers for yield. He also sees a rotation from money markets into credit as rates move and investment grade spreads offer around 6%.
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Core PCE flashed a green light for equities when the print came in lighter than expected. Kevin Hincks runs through the report to explain how it significantly reduces interest rate hike probabilities for October. He then runs through the GDP and ADP employment data to add more color on both sides of the U.S. economic picture. Kevin turns to reports from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs which state that oil flows in the Middle East reached 98% of pre-war levels.
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Micron (MU) reports earnings after Wednesday's closing bell as the unofficial close to earnings season. Rick Ducat analyzes the technical trends he sees in the AI memory chipmaker's stock chart and shows key levels to watch following the company's report. He then turns to an example options trade for Micron.
======== Schwab Network ========
Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.
Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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Caleb Silver says investors his company surveyed still feel confident overall in the stock market, though the percentage saw a significant drop. Higher crude oil prices, interest rates, and Treasury yields all pile onto concerns that an AI bubble continues to grow. Caleb talks about why investors surveyed by Investopedia are moving out of key software names like Palantir (PLTR), Microsoft (MSFT), and ServiceNow (NOW) amid the AI reevaluation.
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