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CoreWeave (CRWV) posted a revenue beat but an EPS miss in its second quarter earnings after the close on Tuesday. Trading on the stock was volatile after hours as investors digested what the report meant for CoreWeave's A.I. outlook. Marley Kayden, Jeff Pierce, and Kevin Green talk about the headwinds and tailwinds they see in the earnings. George Tsilis joins the conversation later on by talking about Cava's (CAVA) earnings report. Shares of the fast casual company dipped more than 20% after the close.
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Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders considers Tuesday's CPI report relatively benign. That said, she urges investors to pay very close attention to upcoming labor prints as the economy experiences "pockets of weakness." Additionally, Liz Ann notes tariffs are starting to show consequences on the economy, primarily through layoffs and pinching consumer wallets.
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Pawan Joshi dives into the copper market and examines its post-tariff sell-off. He notes that it is the third-most used metal, and the U.S. has to import most of its supply. He expects to see “a lot more fluctuations” in price as the tariff impact settles. Because of pulled forward demand, he doesn’t expect prices to jump quickly but says they will come down the line. “It’s just a question of time, in my mind.”
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Markets were "off to the races" fairly early in Tuesday's trading session, says Kevin Green. He calls the SPX rally a big win for bulls, as long as they show up for a follow-up day Wednesday. Kevin adds that the current trading environment is happening in a low volatility environment. Turning to price action ahead, he's keeping an eye at a forming apex in the SPX futures.
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Steven Dickens previews CoreWeave (CRWV) earnings, boiling the company down to “access to GPUs” despite it branding itself as a native AI company. He questions whether that is actually a defensible moat for years to come. “There’s not enough stickiness, there’s not enough diversification.” He also notes that the speed of the refresh cycle in this industry – between 3-5 years – doesn’t give CoreWeave or competitors much time to be on the cutting edge.
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Zed Francis says the market has baked in a rate cut after the CPI report. He’s watching volatility closely, especially in equities. His base case for the rest of the year is three rate cuts, calling it the “middle of the road, boring number.” He sees “mispriced volatility” within the semiconductor sector, granting him trading opportunities. Zed discusses using options strategies to take advantage of this trend.
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Jeffrey Cleveland and Jake Clopton discuss inflation after the CPI report showed signs of reacceleration. Jeffrey says the good news is that “we’re not really seeing” tariffs boosting goods prices. He expects services prices to cool off soon. Jake thinks that falling rents are not being accurately reflected in the report because of the way the data is collected. They debate whether the Fed should cut rates in September.
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Chuck Lieberman wouldn’t rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut this year. He says this could “make up for lost ground” after the last employment report changed the market’s understanding of the economy sharply. However, he expects the market to continue to make new highs into the end of the year. “This is almost an optimal environment for stocks,” he adds. He likes regional banks and energy pipeline companies.
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Alphabet (GOOGL) shares moved higher after Perplexity offered to buy Google Chrome for $34.5 billion. As Brad Shimmin explains, the bid shows how complex Google's search really is and adds questions to its worth. It also builds on what Brad calls the "complex ecosystem" of tech, noting Alphabet itself and Apple (AAPL) also eyed bids for Perplexity.
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Charles Schwab's Kevin Horner says technical trends on the SPX indicate a market that "does not want to sell off." He highlights key levels in the index investors should watch. As for Transmedics Group (TMDX), Kevin believes bulls pushing the stock above its 20 and 50-day SMA offer additional levels of support for a higher run. He adds that Oklo Inc. (OKLO) continues to show "bull flags" as it pushes new all-time highs.
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