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Greg Magadini explains what a rate cut would mean for the crypto sector and how it could impact the “digital gold” narrative. He looks at the bond market and the sentiment around Fed independence. He thinks the way the market is calculating probabilities for rate cuts this year “makes a lot of sense,” with chances for one September and one in December.
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Starbucks (SBUX) earnings came down after Tuesday's closing bell, and Rick Ducat serves a structured look into key levels investors will want to watch after the report. Before the earnings, the company was only up one percent on 2025 and saw little excitement heading into earnings. Rick later measures where the coffee giant stands alongside consumer discretionary peers.
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Aeva Technologies (AEVA) penned a $50 million partnership with LG to advance its LiDAR tech for automotive, robotics, and other autonomous tech. CEO Soroush Salehian talks about how the partnership will help Aeva and how it sets the foundation for future growth. Soroush goes in-depth on 4-D LiDAR tech and why sees it as a groundbreaking technology.
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“If you strip out housing, inflation is below trend.” Tim Davis covers economic data this week and shares his expectations for the Fed this year. He thinks we could get two rate cuts or more before the end of 2025. On earnings, he says, “The market is the Mag 7.” He’s watching their reports closely and says “we need better than good enough” from them. Tim is cautious near-term, but more bullish next year.
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Jeff Weniger describes the market’s new highs as “gentle” and says most economic indicators he’s tracking are looking good. He thinks manufacturing data could start to improve: “we have a fighting chance of getting [the ISM] to 50” in the next few months. “It still looks like we’re going higher,” he marvels, “Basically everything is participating.” He looks at valuations today vs the dot-com era.
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Kevin Horner covers the S&P 500, Nike (NKE), and D.R. Horton (DHI) for Technical Tuesday. He thinks a pullback to the 20-day moving average for the SPX would be reasonable soon, warning traders not to be complacent. On NKE, Kevin points to “notable” levels as the stock has made several breakthroughs on its rebound. Lastly, he sees a “new floor” at the 200-day moving average for DHI and thinks there is a short-term trend upwards.
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Stephen Biggar says PayPal (PYPL) is in the middle of a "show me" story. He believes investors see tariff impacts as being great to the fintech company with growth prospects at the lower end of its range. Danielle Shay explains why she sees technical trends in PayPal pointing to long-term downside action. However, Danielle thinks Visa (V) and Mastercard (MA) have bullish setups heading into their earnings.
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Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) jumped on Tuesday's session after the FDA lifted a voluntary pause on the company's gene therapy treatment for patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy. The drug was pulled earlier this year to determine if it was tied to a patient's death. George Tsilis talks about the possibility of this being an "inflection bottom" for the stock, though analysts remain divided on whether that's actually the case.
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Didi Caldwell sees a lot of headwinds for the food manufacturing industry between tariffs, an increasing regulatory environment, weight loss drugs, and the Trump administration’s deportations. “Food manufacturing tends to be very regional,” she explains, and discusses how her company helps them find the best places to set up shop. She doesn’t necessarily think European companies will move to the U.S. just because of tariffs. There’s also a fight for resources, such as energy and water, that are also demanded by data centers.
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Likefolio’s Landon Swan shares data on the giant snack food maker Mondelez (MDLZ). He notes that cocoa futures have gone up significantly in price, hitting MDLZ hard. “I’m starting to wonder if…the outlook on this company is a little too high,” and we’ll see it fall after earnings, Landon adds. Mondelez will either have to take less profits or pass the cost to the consumer, he concludes.
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