Schwab Network

Aadil Zaman believes there's two major risks to the economy and investors: tariffs and budget deficits. He argues tariffs are the bigger risk of the two, noting that investors are likely underestimating volatility the lack of trade deal poses. Aadil mentions Costco (COST) as a stock he believes will weather the tariff storm.

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Melissa Otto turns to Intel's (INTC) earnings ahead of the after hours report, which she believes will be all about the company's foundry business. Her "critical question" to Intel: can it overcome negative foundry growth? When asked if Intel can ever catch up to Nvidia (NVDA), Melissa says it has an incredibly long road ahead.

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President Trump is reportedly bringing out a hard hat in his visit to the Federal Reserve following his rampant criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and interest rates. Sam Vadas says the concern is no longer whether Powell will be out of a job, but instead how a shift in interest rates can affect the economy. After the U.S. set tariffs on Japan to 15%, Sam notes that it could serve as a precursor to E.U. tariffs. She later notes Alphabet's (GOOGL) earnings and how it serves as a "tide that lifts other boats."

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IBM Corp. (IBM) posted a beat in earnings but investors weren't swayed by its software revenue. Charles Schwab's own Kevin Horner shows that the stock moved below his support level, meaning that more downside price action is likely for IBM. However, Kevin sees a very solid support level further down that can lead to a bullish bounce back.

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Ed Siddell is bullish long-term, calling the U.S./China deal the “greatest possible deal.” He discusses other announced deals, including with Japan, saying the chips are “beginning to fall as everyone hoped they would.” As for a rally, he thinks “this is just the beginning.” His stock picks now include Alphabet (GOOGL), Celestica (CLS), Microsoft (MSFT), the finance sector, and small caps.

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Alphabet (GOOGL) shares slip lower after an initial pop. George Tsilis and Scott Durfey join Marley Kayden to digest the latest quarterly figures from Google's parent company. Both George and Scott denote the company's capital expenditure number as one to watch as A.I. expansion could weigh on overall company profits. However, they point to its YouTube business as a positive checking in with $9.8B revenue reported in the 2Q. Then, they turn their attention to IBM after an earnings beat and Tesla (TSLA) after missing on its Adj. EPS figure. Scott adds that Tesla's still looking for direction on it being an EV company or an A.I. company. George highlights prior significant cuts in Tesla's guidance as potentially softening the blow and believes tomorrow's trading reaction will be key.

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Stocks across the board gained on the session ahead of highly anticipated Mag 7 earnings. Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) both saw volatility once their reports dropped, while IBM Corp. (IBM) traded down despite posting a beat. Marley Kayden breaks down the biggest earnings.

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Ben Sullivan reacts to Alphabet (GOOGL) earnings. He notes that capex is expected to rise for Google but thinks that will translate to strength down the road. “They’re resilient, they have a plan” for things like AI and Search, he adds, “They have a wide moat that will allow them to stay competitive.” On Tesla (TSLA), he describes the “roller coaster ride” of the stock and how the company is trying to reassure investors. He expects a “tangible road map” from Elon Musk on the earnings call.

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@CharlesSchwab's Nathan Peterson calls the market's march higher "pretty impressive," even as tech lagged on Wednesday's session. He credits earnings and trade deals for fueling the grind higher, though Nathan warns there could be a rotation out of tech on the horizon. Lack of catalysts outside of trade deals can also put pressure on another run higher.

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Dan Deming examines the commodities market. He cites several reasons for gold coming under pressure and is watching the “psychological” $3,400 level. He sees silver supply “stretched” and thinks copper markets are hitting all-time highs because of tariffs and the “huge lead time” for production. On crude, he points to the upcoming OPEC+ meeting, which he cites as one of the reasons oil isn’t able to gain right now.

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