Schwab Network

Tony Zipparro expects an average of 4% to 9% earnings growth across markets for the quarter. It's a confident projection, but Tony notes that market reactions can vary due to stocks seeing impressive upside action over recent weeks. He offers deeper analysis behind price action projections as markets trade around all-time highs.

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Tuesday morning's CPI report is one Charles Schwab's Collin Martin expects to be "pretty important" to the market, but one that won't signal a trend to the FOMC's rate cut cycle. Even if the number comes in cooler than projected, Collin warns it could be for the wrong reasons. On tariffs, Mike Townsend says investors have learned not to overreact to tariffs, but warns uncertainty will linger for the long-term. He later goes over expectations of "Crypto Week" on Capitol Hill.

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Scott Bauer surveys the commodities markets. He is still “moderately bullish” on Bitcoin as it hits news highs but is a “little concerned” about a “buy the rumor, sell the news” event this week. On the U.S. dollar, he attributes its recovery to euro weakness and says there’s still pressure to move lower. He previews the June CPI report, released tomorrow morning, saying the market could sell off if the number comes in hot.

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With many banks set to report earnings this week, Rick Ducat gives investors a closer look into the financial sector and show corners of the industry they should watch. As he explains, the sector has outperformed the SPX. Rick turns to chart technicals in the Financial Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) and PayPal (PYPL).

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Pierre Buhler previews big bank earnings. He expects financials to continue to improve but notes an increase in bad debt. He thinks regional banks are the most exposed to risk and says to keep a close eye on their reports this earnings season. He likes JPMorgan (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS), citing their “focus.” He also notes Wells Fargo (WFC) becoming “very, very powerful” again after its asset cap was lifted. Pierre sees risks on the tariff side and thinks consumers will have less free cash in the coming months.

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“Over the long-term, it does trade higher,” Jake Clopton says of Bitcoin as it hits an all-time high above $120K. He sees “interesting corners” of the crypto market beyond Bitcoin as well. He thinks the Fed could cut rates in September, with only one cut this year. Jake says people need to cut through the noise and focus on their dual mandate to see what’s coming next. Turning to housing, he thinks conditions are looking “significantly better” and things are “moving towards a buyer’s market.”

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Jeff Zananiri and Charlie O’Shea recap Amazon’s (AMZN) Prime Day event. They look at the latest analytics on consumer spending. Charlie notes that Amazon is under pressure to top itself every year. He argues that sales don’t matter, but acquiring and retaining new Prime members is the key. Jeff thinks that expanding Prime Day to multiple days signals nervousness from Amazon (AMZN) and is looking at options trades ahead of its earnings.

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Martin Leinweber spotlights Bitcoin’s breakout, spurred higher by bullish sentiment around the House’s ‘Crypto Week.’ He thinks the digital gold argument “makes sense,” and points out a “rare positive divergence” from equities. He says this shows Bitcoin is changing from a tech proxy into its own product. He discusses stablecoins, which he thinks will lead to “billions” entering the crypto space and lays out the requirements for institutional adoption.

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Prosper Trading Academy's Scott Bauer joins today's Big 3 and looks into three vastly different industries. For Royal Caribbean (RCL), he believes the stock is heavily overbought and needs time to "cool off." Scott sees AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) breaking out to new all-time highs before its earnings, and Lululemon (LULU) at a "make or break" moment as it taps long-time support. Rick Ducat divers into technical trends to watch for all three stocks.

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Dean T. Smith “isn’t sure” where the 50% copper tariff came from and thinks that announcement isn’t getting the attention it deserves. “The market is getting too complacent about the potential impact of these tariffs,” he argues. “If we don’t get the TACO effect…you could see some pretty dramatic moves in fixed income…and even the stock market.” He emphasizes that trade negotiations are “tough” and take a long time.

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