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Jeremiah Riethmiller explains how the Israel-Iran conflict has impacted markets. He says the best time to have traded oil would be in early June – but “hindsight’s 20/20.” An “easy catalyst” for a market move higher would be a rate cut, but he doesn’t expect one. Instead, he’s watching 2Q earnings closely for how companies are “wrapping their hands” around tariffs – and the fate of the ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ as the self-imposed July 4 deadline approaches. He likes infrastructure but has a different approach to it than other investors.
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Matt Maley and Assia Georgieva cover Carnival’s (CCL) earnings beat. Matt thinks the stock still looks “quite good” at these levels. Still, he warns investors to keep a close eye on employment levels, which will affect consumer demand. Assia says its last two quarters are “especially impressive” with strong guidance beats and cites its strong demand metrics despite headwinds.
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Kevin Horner’s back for Technical Tuesday. On the S&P 500 (SPX) chart, he’s looking at the $6100 level and potentially all-time highs. He surveys Datadog (DDOG), which has bounced up from an April low and is near a resistance level at $131. He returns to Nebius (NBIS) to talk about the bull flag pattern it has made since the beginning of the month.
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Gorilla Technology (GRRR) shares are recovering from a steep sell-off on Monday, as the company agrees to acquire Thai A.I. firms CNS and CANS. George Tsilis looks under the hood to understand the company's deal and what's driving GRRR growth this year. Shares of GRRR are up more than 900% from its 52-week low.
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HSBC upgraded Broadcom (AVGO) to a buy from a hold rating. Diane King Hall discusses the analyst call that AVGO's custom chips revenue will beat market expectations. Shares of Broadcom touched new all-time highs following the HSBC upgrade. Diane adds that Street chatter has led some to add AVGO to the "Mag 7" group, and says that hyperscaler growth would also be a catalyst for Broadcom.
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Likefolio’s Andy Swan shares their consumer sentiment data on FedEx (FDX) before their earnings report. He thinks FedEx’s struggles are the fault of the business, saying they’re “falling behind in the race for last-mile dominance.” He adds that it “lacks a clear innovation edge,” and shows that its website visits have fallen 4% year-over-year, “worse than Amazon.”
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Peter Tchir and Arthur Laffer Jr. break down the June Consumer Confidence report, which missed expectations. Arthur thinks a lot of the issues in this report are due to coincidental timing with political “kerfuffle.” Peter disagrees, saying small and medium businesses are beginning to struggle and the jobs market isn’t as good as the data projects. “Everyone’s kind of in this cautious phase.”
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From bell-bottoms to bottoming out patterns on the charts, Erin Gibbs joins Diane King Hall with a focus on fashion. She sees 40% potential upside for Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), saying the company's shares sold off on tariff concerns but has the right blend of offerings for the younger consumer. She calls Gap Inc. (GAP) "interesting" as it looks to rebound under new leadership. Erin sees 20% upside ahead of its August earnings report calling current levels a bottom. Erin also discusses Urban Outfitters (URBN) and Levi Strauss (LEVI).
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Brian Macauley sees underlying resilience in the market despite volatility, which he thinks will continue in the second half. He looks at the Mag 7 and shares some of his stock picks, including AST SpaceMobile (ASTS), Brookfield (BN), and opportunities in the private market.
======== Schwab Network ========
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Jason Brown joins Trading 360 with a trio of stocks on his radar. For IBM Corp. (IBM), he says the name is one to watch in the A.I. trade and one that might be overlooked compared to Mag 7 names. For Home Depot (HD), Jason's demonstrating a bullish options trade looking at the long $330 Jan. 16 call. Lastly, he calls Darden Restaurants (DRI) in a "beautiful uptrend" as it continues its post-earnings rally. Kevin Horner examines the technical trends taking place for each stock.
======== Schwab Network ========
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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