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George Tsilis reacts to KB Home (KBH) 2Q earnings as shares of the homebuilder drop after a better-than-expected top and bottom line earnings beat. However, George points to the home deliveries down 11% as a negative on the stock's price. He adds that higher mortgage rates, tariff costs on supplies and lower volumes could also be impacting KBH's slowing revenue growth.
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On Monday's Charles Schwab Big Picture panel, Collin Martin reacts to commentary from several Fed officials that suggest a bigger dovish voice may be heard in the FOMC's July meeting. He adds that his perspective hasn't changed saying a September cut is more likely, adding that recent data doesn't appear to be enough to justify a cut in July. Collin looks ahead to Friday's PCE Index, saying a good report would be a "step in the right direction" but cautions investors that tariff risks may not have been fully felt across the economy.
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Scott Bauer says "there's plenty of oil to go around" and is shocked by the downward move in crude oil prices during Monday's trading session. He believes investors should be very careful on the short position with crude oil because "things are not over" but he's unsure if a $100-$120 crude oil is possible. Turning to metal commodities, Scott reacts to gold as the historical "safe haven" asset didn't move more than expected. Lastly, he weighs in on the volatility in bitcoin as it fluctuates amid the same geopolitical tensions impacting oil and gold.
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Kevin Green looks at intraday levels within the S&P 500 (SPX) and points to the $6020 level as upside resistance, calling the day overall "decent." He says options activity suggests "cooler heads may prevail" after today's strikes, and adds that FOMC members around a possible July rate cut could also accelerate positive market outlook for investors. In terms of today's volume, he says some of the biggest sectors like technology and consumer discretionary have picked up into the close. KG adds that as long as there's no further escalation or geopolitical concerns, bulls could see further follow through to the upside in the coming days.
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Tesla's (TSLA) got some catching up to do, says Steve Westly. He thinks the Robotaxi event was well received, pointing to the share price reaction. But, now Steve's wondering how long Tesla will take to have paying customers, launch in new cities, and go through regulatory hurdles that companies like Waymo have already been through. He also points to Chinese EV makers as a possible threat to sales growth. Ultimately, he thinks TSLA may have a flat to down auto sales year as investors shift the focus to its tech offerings rather than its cars. He names BYD (BYDDY), Pony AI (PONY) and WeRide as international autonomous driving companies to keep on the radar.
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Barbara Goodstein sees some standout opportunities in a few select groups of the market including defense, energy and crypto. Within the defense space, she points to the VanEck Defense ETF (DFNS) as well as General Dynamics (GD) and Rolls Royce (RYCEY) as ways to play that group. For energy, Barbara highlights U.S. energy independence as a reason why Middle East conflicts don't impact the U.S. as it used to, and she lists XLE and OIH among energy tickers to track. Meanwhile, for the crypto space she likes Strategy (MSTR) based off of its Bitcoin (/BTC) treasury reserve strategy. Barbara says that crypto could be "the next strategic reserve asset" and believes investors should hold some crypto in their portfolio.
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Gene Goldman discusses the recent market volatility, attributing it to geopolitical tensions and the Fed's potential rate cuts. He expects the S&P 500 to rise, despite concerns, citing a reduced terrorism threat in the Middle East, a solid labor market, and moderating inflation. Goldman recommends a "buy the dip" strategy, particularly in technology, financials, and industrials, due to their exposure to AI, cybersecurity, and infrastructure spending. He also likes high-quality fixed income, such as 10-year treasuries, as a way to diversify and mitigate risk.
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Ed Siddell believes investors are looking past short-term market volatility and instead, focusing on the long-term picture, which he thinks could be the start of a new bull run. He attributes this confidence to the potential passage of the reconciliation bill, which would extend current tax cuts, and the expected deregulation that would follow. He also expects the Fed to lower interest rates, potentially twice this year. Siddell remains bullish on tech, financials, and smallcaps, and sees buying opportunities on dips in these sectors.
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KB Home (KBH) reports its numbers after the bell today, but don't expect a home run. With mortgage rates still near 7%, the housing market faces headwinds. Melissa Armo and Michael Singleton share their takes on the homebuilder's prospects, citing concerns over revenue, margins, and profits. They also weigh in on peers like DR Horton (DHI) and Lennar (LEN), as well as the broader impact of tariffs and labor market shifts on the industry.
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Hims & Hers (HIMS) shares are reeling after Novo Nordisk (NVO) severs its weight-loss drug relationship with the telehealth company. NVO claims HIMS was marketing knock-off weight loss drugs using "deceptive promotion" tactics. George Tsilis weighs in on why HIMS is down 30% on the news, and how it impacts the company's personalization care business segment. He points to possible red flags with ingredients coming from China and a lack of quality control over the use of weight-loss medication.
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