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Karl Farmer says investors have to "be comfortable with short-term volatility" as the markets approach the 3Q. He's looking to any modifications coming to the Trump Administration's 90-day tariff pause for further clarity to escape the elevated volatility from 2Q. In terms of stock picks, Karl likes PepsiCo (PEP), Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) and UnitedHealth (UNH).
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Darden Restaurants (DRI) beat on its top and bottom-line earnings metrics, and touched a new 52-week high. Its strong same-store sales and in-line guidance stood out in its latest earnings report. Dan Ahrens and Eric Clark join Sam Vadas with a full breakdown of its earnings and the broader restaurant industry. Both point to Olive Garden's success leading to stronger growth, but caution investors on the impact potential tariffs could have on restaurant prices.
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George Schultze reviews the Fed’s decision not to lower rates this week. As the Fed looks to keep rates higher for longer, he focuses on the potential fiscal impact of the “Big Beautiful Bill” winding its way through the Senate. He notes that overleveraged companies will be at risk of bankruptcy in the aftermath of it passing.
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“We could see a sustained period of outperformance for small caps,” argues Mike Rode. Small caps have underperformed for over a decade now. “Investors have not diversified towards the asset class,” he notes, preferring concentration in the Mag 7. However, catalysts including deregulation, M&A, IPOs and other factors hint at a potential turnaround. He thinks regional banks are particularly overlooked, and also likes biotech.
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George Tsilis stops by Next Gen Investing with a look at Gorilla Technology (GRRR). The cybersecurity and smart infrastructure company reported a 109% increase in sales, driven by demand for its facial recognition and smart city technologies. George discusses the company's potential for further growth, with estimates suggesting $100M in revenue this year and $130M next year, and a P/E ratio of around 18x next year's earnings.
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Jim Worden believes the market is due for a correction, but that it won't stop the S&P 500 (SPX) from reaching 7000. He thinks the Fed will cut rates 2-4 times this year to combat a softening labor market, which could positively impact small businesses struggling with higher interest rates. Later, Jim sees opportunities in A.I. and energy names, including Microsoft (MSFT) and Nvidia (NVDA), but also discusses quantum computing with particular interest in D-Wave Quantum (QBTS).
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Adam Pretorius says more supply has suddenly come onto the housing market after years of squeezed inventories. However, the demand is staying flat as prices have gone up 5%-10%. “We’ve suddenly flipped into a buyer’s market,” which hasn’t happened since the pandemic, he thinks. He also discusses online real estate platforms, including Zillow (ZG) and Homes.com.
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Andy Swan from Likefolio covers Affirm (AFRM) as it loses its Walmart (WMT) partnership. Andy says Affirm is “winning by a landslide” compared to other Buy Now, Pay Later companies. He sees strong consumer preference towards AFRM, citing web visits data, and says it continues to take market share. However, Affirm’s strength will depend on the health of the consumer.
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Ken Johnston is excited about the "flash and hype" for Tesla's (TSLA) weekend rollout of its Robotaxi capabilities. He believes Tesla is focused on the long game, and says Elon Musk's company holds the upper hand with its established software-defined vehicles. Yvette Zhang says the autonomous driving market is estimated to grow at 11% year-over-year, but adds that Robotaxi is more regionalized because of legislation restrictions.
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Tim Quast spotlights triple witching and the S&P 500 rebalance. He explains why both are important, and how they affect the market and investors – especially in a market driven by model trading. He opines on how investors should allocate during these expirations based on the data he sees.
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