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Crude oil's dip toward $90, paired with a slight downtick in Treasury yields, are the formula behind some bullish momentum into Tuesday's trading day, says Kevin Hincks. That said, mind a slew of inflation and jobs data hitting the back half of the week, along with Micron (MU) earnings Wednesday. He discusses the data investors got this morning with the Case-Shiller and FHFA home price indexes. On the radar this afternoon: leaders from Meta Platforms (META), Anthropic, and OpenAI will meet with President Trump.
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Mike Sanders sees attractive entry points with ten-year Treasury yields at 5% and high quality bank bonds over 6%. He urges investors to lock in yields for five to ten years despite a higher for longer environment driven by energy inflation, fiscal deficits, and AI CapEx. Sanders stresses being a bond picker rather than buying everything, since tight spreads mean solid yields can be found without reaching into lower quality.
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Deutsche Bank upgraded Netflix (NFLX) to buy from hold as it sees improving user engagement for the streaming giant. The stock is currently trading near its 52-week low following a more than 40% decline in shares year-over-year. Rick Ducat takes investors through his technical analysis of the stock chart to show where bulls can reclaim the edge in momentum. He then turns to an example options trade for Netflix.
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Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6D
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Carley Garner says investors are not hearing about a lot of the headlines pointing to crude oil weakness due to all the news around the U.S.-Iran war and Strait of Hormuz. She discusses how developments in Venezuela and OPEC will push back crude oil's recent climb in markets. Carley also talks about the seasonality of oil and how the recent rally is the third over the last twenty years showing what she considers "overblown" price action.
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"This is not 2022," says Eric Diton when discussing the Fed's interest rate hike, saying, "a lot of this is being driven by the Iran war." Should this latest hike be the first of several, Eric doesn't see a situation where it goes to the extend it did years ago. He adds that equities will remain resilient due to the AI trade's continuing strength, though he does share concerns that bad market breadth will lead to lasting volatility.
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Kroger (KR) shares have been stuck under what Ben Watson of Charles Schwab highlights as a new area of resistance. Is the stock a bargain at current prices? Ben discusses various technical indicators in his analysis of Kroger's chart to explain what's needed for a bullish resurgence.
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While the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq-100 (NDX) are near record highs, Kevin Green says the rally which drove indexes to new milestones is heavily concentrated. He points out that the Equal Weight S&P 500 is on a significant downtrend, a sign that makes general weakness or rotation likely. Crude oil and yields pulling back offer some relief for stocks. KG, however, points to diesel prices as the key mover as the U.S. weighs diesel export bans. Also keep an eye on gold, silver, and copper as KG points to bullish catalysts ahead for the metal trade. He turns to AI and reports that the industry's top researchers continue to call for a pullback in development speed.
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Nvidia (NVDA) upping its share buyback plan, paired with the announcement of a new open agent safety platform, gave a boost to shares. The launch of SpaceX's (SPCX) Starship into orbit wasn't enough to excite investors, though the price action wasn't as stark as that in Boeing (BA). MongoDB (MDB) shares plunged after its CEO announced he was leaving for Meta Platforms (META). Marley Kayden discusses the top stories moving markets on Monday.
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Geopolitical volatility continues to trickle into economic expectations as heightened crude oil prices keep Treasury yields at historic levels. In global headlines, China is reportedly considering buying AI chips from Nvidia (NVDA). Marley Kayden and Sam Vadas discuss their top takeaways from the first trading session of a new week.
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JoAnne Bianco sees opportunities in corporate bonds, private credit, shorter duration, and emerging markets as elevated Treasury yields create attractive entry points. She argues income should drive fixed income returns rather than trying to forecast rates, with the ten-year Treasury at 19-year highs punishing longer duration holdings. Bianco also highlights strong bond ETF inflows surpassing $460 billion on track for a record year, and points to a floating rate CLO fund yielding above 7% as a top performer with low volatility.
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