If you are looking for good President Harris omens, you might want to check back later.

* Every betting market has now firmly tilted Trump

* Polling averages continue to show Harris wilting in the Blue Wall states

* Silver Bulletin, 538 and The Economist prediction models now all point to Trump

* The Oracle of Nevada Jon Ralston brings positively bleak news about the early vote in the Silver State for Democrats

Take all of those for what you will. But remember this, the only reason why President Biden isn’t on this ticket is because down ballot candidates made noise that he was dragging them down.

Well take a look at an ad Bob Casey is running. The Pennsylvania Senator and staunch Biden ally who is in a close race with Republican Dave McCormick is running an ad bragging about bucking the current White House and working with Donald Trump.

Crunch all the numbers you want, nerds.

I will always pay attention when a politician starts running for their own lives in defiance of the party.

On this episode

* Kirk Bado (National Journal’s Hotline) discusses the Kamala Harris fixation on Liz Cheney and if they are even looking for Never Trumpers in the right places.

* Howard Mortman (C-SPAN) dives deep into late campaign trivia and the traditions of the Al Smith dinner.

* Trump will tape Joe Rogan this Friday.

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