Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

Four matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 3: the Bills offense against the Chargers defense, Joe Burrow against the Steelers pass rush, the Ravens offense against the Cowboys defense in Brazil, and the Rams offense against the Broncos defense on Sunday night.

45% off the rest of the season. The computer totals start this week, a 70% win rate over the last six seasons. Use code SHOW45 at sharp.football, which comes out around 50 dollars a week for props, sides, totals, teasers, derivatives and the computer totals.

Players discussed: Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, Omarion Hampton, Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, Drake Maye, Aaron Rodgers, Lamar Jackson, Zay Flowers, Ronnie Stanley, Caleb Downs, Malik Hooker, Davante Adams, Puka Nacua, Patrick Surtain II, Terrance Ferguson, Bryce Young, Baker Mayfield.

What you will learn

• Why the Chargers schedule gets far harder starting this week
• What Buffalo changed on offense and why the numbers say it is real
• How Pittsburgh's pass rush attacks a quick passing game
• Why Joe Burrow has barely played the Steelers in three seasons
• What the Cowboys injuries in the secondary mean against Lamar Jackson
• How the Saints slowed Baltimore in the second half, and whether Dallas can copy it
• What the Rams do without Puka Nacua, and why it points at the run game
• Two under the radar matchups for Sunday

Chapters

00:00 Welcome to the Matchup Show
00:29 Four matchups this week
01:06 Matchup 1: Bills offense vs Chargers defense
04:09 Josh Allen is pushing it downfield
05:06 The Chargers defense through two weeks
07:45 Are you subscribed?
08:19 Matchup 2: Joe Burrow vs the Steelers defense
10:13 Burrow's quick game vs Pittsburgh's pass rush
13:52 Burrow has barely played the Steelers
14:49 The computer totals are back
16:09 Matchup 3: Ravens offense vs Cowboys defense
18:39 Who the Cowboys are missing
20:55 Lamar Jackson with a clean pocket
23:54 How the Saints slowed Lamar
26:07 The Worksheet: every game, every week
26:49 Matchup 4: Rams offense vs Broncos defense
28:22 Davante Adams without Puka Nacua
30:54 The Rams run game vs Denver
32:39 Sneaky matchup: Panthers at Browns
36:00 Sneaky matchup: Baker Mayfield vs Brian Flores
38:16 See you next week

The Worksheet, a full preview of every single game every week written by Rich Hribar, is included with the fantasy packages: the worksheet.

All packages: sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages

Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/l7rPe4OwrS4

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NFL Week 2 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus the biggest college football game of the weekend. Warren Sharp is 37-13 (74%) lifetime on podcast best bets, and this is the full Week 2 card: his best bet of the week, three props from Rich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal on LSU at Ole Miss and Joe Gibbs on the Week 2 referees.

It starts with three things from Week 1 that change how you bet Week 2. Houston's revamped offense and what it does to opponent play volume against the Bengals. Tampa's blitz rate against a Cleveland offense that cannot get the ball out. And the Eagles, a league low on first down and a win anyway, now on the road in Tennessee.

Two weeks free: code SHOW35 on the NFL Plus monthly package gets you a full month of Warren's NFL recommendations plus Rich Hribar's breakdown of every game for the price of two weeks. https://sharp.football

Games covered: LSU at Ole Miss, Bengals at Texans, Jaguars at Broncos, Saints at Ravens, Browns at Buccaneers and Giants at Rams on Monday Night Football.

WHAT YOU WILL LEARN

CHAPTERS

PROMO CODES

GUESTS

MORE RESOURCES

Follow us: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis and https://x.com/SharpFootball

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Three matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 2: the Bears offense against Brian Flores and the Vikings defense, the Steelers offense against the Patriots defense, and Dak Prescott against the Commanders pass defense.

Buy two weeks, get two weeks free. A full month of NFL betting recommendations plus Rich Hribar's breakdown of every game for the price of two weeks. Use code SHOW35 on the NFL Plus Monthly package at sharp.football.

Players discussed: Caleb Williams, Jordan Love, Carson Wentz, Justin Jefferson, Aaron Rodgers, Jaylen Warren, Rico Dowdle, Jadarian Price, Drew Lock, Dak Prescott, Jalen Hurts, CeeDee Lamb, Jayden Daniels, Derrick Henry, Jahmyr Gibbs, Cam Ward.

What you will learn

• How Brian Flores has blitzed Caleb Williams in all four meetings
• The shotgun vs under center split that could decide Bears at Vikings
• What the Vikings offense looks like with Carson Wentz
• How much the Steelers offense changed with Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy
• Why the Steelers backfield split could tighten toward Jaylen Warren
• Why Dak Prescott's Week 1 was not all on Dak, and what he does against the blitz
• Two under the radar matchups for Sunday

Chapters

00:00 Welcome to the Matchup Show
00:36 Matchup 1: Bears offense vs Vikings defense
05:08 Shotgun or under center: how the Bears beat Flores
09:25 Three shows every week
10:03 The Vikings offense with Carson Wentz
12:48 Matchup 2: Steelers offense vs Patriots defense
15:09 Aaron Rodgers and the new Steelers offense
17:26 Can Pittsburgh run on New England
19:43 Jaylen Warren vs Rico Dowdle
21:37 Matchup 3: Dak Prescott vs Commanders pass defense
23:32 Dak vs the blitz and Dan Quinn
26:39 The Cowboys defense problem
30:24 The Worksheet: every game, every week
31:05 Sneaky important matchups
31:40 Rich's pick: Ravens run game vs the Saints
34:14 Warren's pick: Eagles defense vs Titans offense
36:52 See you next week

The Worksheet, a full preview of every single game every week written by Rich Hribar, is included with the fantasy packages: the worksheet.

All packages: sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages

X: @SharpFootball
X: @LordReebs

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NFL Week 1 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus two college football sides for Saturday. Warren Sharp is 36-13 (73%) lifetime on podcast best bets, and this is the full Week 1 card: his best bet of the week, three props from Rich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal's college football picks and Joe Gibbs on the Week 1 referees.

Week 1 sale: code SHOW85 takes 85% off any weekly betting package, every Week 1 recommendation plus early Week 2 action for $15. Code SHOW25 takes 25% off a monthly or season-long package. sharp.football

Players and teams discussed: Jayden Daniels, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Rhamondre Stevenson, Arch Manning and Bryce Underwood. Seahawks at Patriots, Ohio State at Texas, Oklahoma at Michigan, Bengals vs Buccaneers, Bears vs Panthers, Saints at Lions, Packers at Vikings, Cowboys at Giants and Broncos at Chiefs.

WHAT YOU WILL LEARN

• Which teams moved to under center the most this preseason, and why it matters for Daniels, Lamar and Burrow
• Why Week 1 is the week to be careful with your bankroll, and why Week 2 is overreaction week
• How to use alt ladders on player props
• Ryan McCrystal's picks for Ohio State at Texas and Oklahoma at Michigan
• Rich Hribar's three Week 1 props and the numbers behind each one
• The referee trends behind Joe Gibbs' three picks
• Warren's Week 1 best bet and the numbers behind it

CHAPTERS

00:00 Warren's best bets record and today's show
01:06 Seahawks over Patriots: the opener
02:33 Quarterbacks going under center more in 2026
09:08 New coaches, new roles, new prices
13:21 How we bet props (and the Stevenson ladder)
17:30 College football picks with Ryan McCrystal
18:16 Ohio State at Texas pick
21:44 Oklahoma at Michigan pick
25:31 85% off the Week 1 betting package
26:58 Rich Hribar prop 1: Bengals vs Bucs
29:35 Prop 2: Bears vs Panthers
32:23 Prop 3: Saints at Lions
35:38 The ref report with Joe Gibbs
36:29 Packers at Vikings
38:34 Cowboys at Giants, Sunday Night Football
40:55 Broncos at Chiefs, Monday Night Football
43:46 Warren's best bet of the week
51:34 Wrap-up

Watch the video version on YouTube: https://youtu.be/KEB0lOgXzl8

PROMO CODES
SHOW85: 85% off any weekly betting package at sharp.football
SHOW25: 25% off a monthly or season-long package
OddsJam code WARREN: free trial and 40% off your first month, oddsjam.com

GUESTS
Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis, @LordReebs
Ryan McCrystal, Sharp Football Analysis, college football
Joe Gibbs, Sharp Football Analysis, referee analysis
Hosted by Warren Sharp, @SharpFootball

MORE RESOURCES
The Worksheet
The 2026 Football Preview book
All packages

YouTube • X • sharpfootballanalysis.com

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Three matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 1, and this is the film and the numbers on all three: Texans offense against the Bills defense, the Bengals passing game against the Buccaneers front, and Ravens at Colts.

Houston's offense finished 30th in red zone touchdown rate last season and ran the fourth highest rate of three receiver sets down there. Buffalo has a new defensive coordinator and gave up 7.6 yards per carry against two tight end sets. Cincinnati is putting Joe Burrow under center after two years of shotgun at the second highest rate in the NFL, against the defense that blitzes more than anyone. And the Colts offense that ranked number one in the league through 10 weeks meets a Baltimore defense with a new coordinator who plays the lowest rate of man coverage in football.

Plus the Seahawks and Patriots opener, the two injuries that came out of it, and one sneaky important matchup from each of us that nobody is talking about.

85% OFF THE WEEKLY BETTING PACKAGE

We opened the season 3-1, hit both of our top props on Wednesday night, and a $100 bettor won $378 on the first game of the year. Get every Week 1 play plus early Week 2 action for $15. Use code SHOW85 at checkout.

https://sharp.football

THE WORKSHEET

A full preview of every single game, every week, written by Rich Hribar. Included with the fantasy packages.

https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/the-worksheet/

THE 2026 FOOTBALL PREVIEW

600 plus pages. Every team chapter, every positional unit ranked, win total analysis and the futures market.

https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/

ALL PACKAGES

https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/

CHAPTERS

00:00 Welcome to the Matchup Show

00:35 Seahawks 13, Patriots 10: what actually happened

07:28 Three videos a week this season

08:08 Matchup 1: Texans offense vs Bills defense

14:21 The other side: Josh Allen against the Texans pass rush

15:54 C.J. Stroud at home and on the road

17:09 Matchup 2: Bengals passing game vs Bucs defensive front

21:19 Joe Burrow's Week 1 problem

24:39 Can Cincinnati run it against this front

26:35 85% off the Week 1 betting package

27:38 Matchup 3: Ravens and Colts

33:30 Lamar Jackson and the new Ravens offense

38:04 Sneaky important matchup

38:29 Rich's pick: Steelers 12 personnel

41:09 Warren's pick: Jordan Love vs Brian Flores

43:50 Tell us if you want this every week

New show, every Thursday, all season long.

Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaOe53L5LNY

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2026 NFL win totals, drafted. Three analysts pick 30 of the 32 teams in snake order by who will win the most games this season, with the schedule, roster and coaching reasons behind every pick and the two teams nobody wanted.

Get 25 percent off every package with code TAKE25: https://sharp.football

Ten rounds, thirty picks, two teams left on the board. Every pick comes with a case for the team, a case against it, and the win total number the market put on it. The back half covers the two teams nobody drafted, the picks that could look dumb by December, the Week 1 games where the drafters go head to head, and the strength of schedule tool that will update every week of the season.

What You'll Learn
• Which teams three analysts trust most for wins in 2026, in the order they were taken
• Why the defending Super Bowl champions and the runners-up both lasted past the second round
• The field goal luck and one-score record that explain one team's 2025
• Why a team coming off a Super Bowl loss went in the fourth round
• The late-season schedule that flattered a young quarterback's finish last year
• Which teams sit in a brutal division, and which ones drew the easy runs
• The four Week 1 games where two drafters own opposite sidelines
• The two teams nobody drafted, and why

Chapters
00:00 Welcome, and what a win total draft is
00:46 The Merril Hoge and Skip Bayless clip
03:22 Why the analysis has to be researched
04:32 Meet the drafters, and the two-time champ
06:59 How the draft works
08:30 Round 1
09:39 The code for 25 percent off
17:13 Round 2
21:50 Round 3
25:12 Round 4
31:27 Round 5
39:46 Round 6
41:19 The Splash Sports pick five contest
46:15 Round 7
50:42 Round 8
57:49 Round 9
1:06:35 Round 10
1:10:44 The two teams nobody drafted
1:14:23 Which picks could look dumb
1:15:42 Week 1 head to head games
1:18:08 Which teams were under-drafted, and the projected totals
1:20:33 The strength of schedule tool
1:21:32 Wrap, and the packages

Watch the video version on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjCqN1RcX0w

Splash Sports Pick 5 Contest
Code SHARP, $100 entry, enter by September 13: https://splashsports.com/sharp

Today's Drafters
Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball
Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/LordReebs
Raymond Summerlin, Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/RMSummerlin

More Resources
All packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/
Futures packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/futures-package/
The 2026 Football Preview book: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis
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Website: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com

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Twelve NFL player props and futures for the 2026 season from four Sharp Football analysts, with the schedule, target and blocking-scheme numbers behind them.

Get the full props and futures packages at sharpfootballanalysis.com/props.

Players and teams discussed: Josh Allen, D.J. Moore, Dalton Kincaid, Carnell Tate, Cam Ward, Elic Ayomanor, Rome Odunze, Jonathan Taylor, Jordan Love, Micah Parsons, Josh Jacobs, David Montgomery, Woody Marks, Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, Matthew Golden, Jaylen Waddle, Javonte Williams, Chase Brown, Baker Mayfield and Bucky Irving.

WHAT YOU WILL LEARN

• Why Buffalo's schedule of opposing offenses swings hard in the other direction this season

CHAPTERS

00:00 Welcome, and what the show is

Watch the video version on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qaZ6bZJN4hY

GUESTS

MORE RESOURCES
Season long player props
Futures packages
The 2026 Football Preview book
All packages

YouTube • X • sharpfootballanalysis.com

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Fantasy football draft targets for 2026 - ten players Rich Hribar and JJ Zachariason are drafting this season, with the route rates, target share, red zone usage and ADP behind every pick.

Get the fantasy football bundle for $99 with code BUNDLE, the draft kit plus the full regular season, normally $190: https://sharp.football

Rich Hribar is joined by JJ Zachariason of Late-Round Fantasy Football for the sixth year of their targets and avoids trade off. JJ brings Chase Brown, Malik Willis, Jaylen Waddle, Dalton Kincaid and Stefon Diggs. Rich brings DeVonta Smith, Justin Herbert, Christian Watson, D.J. Moore and Jordan Mason, plus a detour on whether Josh Allen is worth the pick this year.

What You'll Learn:

• Why a running back with almost nothing changing around him is the most stable early pick on their boards

• The wide receiver whose splits without his old teammate have been absurd every time we get them

• A quarterback going outside the top 20 who only needs his legs to finish as a QB1

• Why one of the league's best arms is being priced like a backup on some platforms

• The receiver who just walked into a fifth-in-pass-attempts offense and a role the last guy could not hold

• The receiver whose two biggest target competitors are both off the roster

• The tight end who led his position in fantasy points per route and still finished TE10

• The one thing veterans who beat their ADP kept having in common, and the counter-case against it

• The veteran whose route share, not his ability, is the only thing holding him back

• How to find a late-round running back who can actually take over a backfield

Chapters:

Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p23yJHEL3AI

Promo code BUNDLE gets the fantasy football bundle for $99 at Sharp Football Analysis.

Today's Guest:

More Resources:

X: https://x.com/SharpFootball

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College football win totals and futures for the 2026 season — six win total bets across the Big 12, the ACC and the SEC, with every number, every price and the schedule spot that decides each one.

Get everything at Sharp Football Analysis and take 20% off sitewide with promo code SHOW20: https://sharp.football

Warren Sharp is joined by Sharp Football college betting analyst Ryan McCrystal for six 2026 futures before Week Zero: Cincinnati under 5.5 wins, Virginia over 7.5, Georgia Tech under 6.5, Cal over 6.5, Ole Miss to miss the College Football Playoff, and the best bet of the show, LSU over 8.5 wins.

What You'll Learn:

• The quarterback change that decides Cincinnati's season, and why it is worth more than a win

• How to read a Virginia schedule that did not get harder, and the NIL money behind the rest of the case

• What happens to a Georgia Tech offense when the coordinator, the starter and the backup all leave in one offseason

• Why Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele raises the floor at Cal, not just the ceiling

• What a first-year head coach and a brutal five-game stretch mean for Ole Miss and the College Football Playoff

• What Lane Kiffin built at LSU in the transfer portal, and how the schedule sets up

• The difference between an 8.5-win total and a 9.5-win total, and why one game is worth so much

Chapters:

Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HMitDmnuLXA

Promo code SHOW20 for 20% off everything at Sharp Football Analysis.

More Resources:

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NFL preseason Week 2 is over and five of the six quarterback situations on this tape look bad — plus beat-reporter intel from the 32BeatWriters network before final roster cuts.

Get everything at Sharp Football Analysis and take 20% off sitewide with promo code SHOW20: https://sharp.football

Warren Sharp walks the quarterback tape from preseason Week 2 — Deshaun Watson named the Browns starter, Cam Ward's rough two weeks in Tennessee, Bryce Young still on a leash, Bo Nix letting it rip in Denver, Fernando Mendoza under pressure in Las Vegas, and Aaron Rodgers giving Mike McCarthy nothing downfield. Then Matt Olson of 32BeatWriters and Raymond Summerlin join for beat-reporter intel before final cuts: the Ashton Jeanty ankle and what it means for Mike Washington, the rookie receivers still going undrafted, 21 new offensive coordinators, what Pete Carmichael changes in Buffalo, and the trade and cut candidates worth tracking.

What You'll Learn:

• Why Cleveland picking Deshaun Watson is not the same thing as Watson winning a quarterback battle

• Where Cam Ward ranks against the only four quarterbacks with real preseason volume

• The three offenses that have changed the most through two preseason games

• What the Ashton Jeanty ankle means for Mike Washington and the Raiders backfield

• Which under-the-radar rookie receivers the beat reporters are actually hearing about

• What Pete Carmichael changes about James Cook and the Buffalo passing game

• The running back injuries and cut candidates that move a depth chart before final cuts

Chapters:

Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fVZ3-Z1w2dA

Promo code SHOW20 for 20% off everything at Sharp Football Analysis.

Today's Guests:

More Resources:

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