Things polling get right in 2024:

* Trump had a chance to win the popular vote (he did)

* Trump had an advantage in the Sun Belt but the races in the Rust Belt would be closer (true, Trump still won them all)

* Ticket splitting is real and could save Democrats from a Senate demolition (it did)

But beyond that… we have some real questions.

Carl Allen believed Kamala Harris was a favorite to win the electoral college. Together we go through the results and find lessons big and small.

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