The Rules of Investing

Simon Shields: These stocks are turning market headwinds into competitive advantage


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We're all well aware of the headwinds battering markets today - inflation, supply chain pressures, and rate hikes. Yet it's easy, and misguided, to broad brush the market and expect all stocks to respond in the same way. As you'll learn in this edition of The Rules of Investing, what is a headwind for one stock can be relative value for another. 

Today’s guest is Simon Shields. Simon co-founded Monash Investors in 2012 following stints as head of equities at UBS and Colonial First State. 

Monash Investors are a long/short Australian equity manager with an absolute return focus, which it adopts in its two funds – one listed and one unlisted. Today won’t focus on Simon’s investment style – for that, I urge you to listen to the episode published back on Oct 09, 2020. 

Simon discusses:

  • The outlook for oil prices, and what this means for Aussie producers
  • Back to the future for supply chains
  • What earnings downgrades will mean for stock pricing 
  • Timestamps:
    • 1:30 - What gave birth to today's headwinds
  • 3:30 - Oil supply in trouble, and the stocks that will benefit
  • 9:00 - Inventories and cost pressures
  • 17:00 - Cost pressures on consumer discretionary
  • 20:30 - Growth discount rates
  • 24:00 - Companies with moats
  • 26:00 - Time for shorts
  • 30:00 - The problem with benchmarks
  • 37:00 - 3 favourite questions
  • ...more
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