The world’s two biggest economies are engaged in another battle, this time over global AI dominance. Between the two, we find one market offering better opportunities. We also look at strong manufacturing recovery in ASEAN, some hints for the upcoming US general election, and Wall Street’s renewed cheer over US-Iran talks.

Timestamp:

(00:00) - Episode rundown

(00:20) - Intro

(00:48) - Quick updates

(01:36)- Optimistic July PMI data for ASEAN

(07:59) - US looks to restrict use of Chinese data centre devices

(15:23) - The recent Michigan Democratic primaries

(22:00) - Wall Street celebrates partial opening of Hormuz strait again

(25:16) - Our global outlook

(28:27) - Lundgreen's Invest - High-Tech Defence Fund secures quadruple exit

(28:57) - Lundgreen's Capital - Next big step: IPO in 2 years

The US Federal Reserve is staying silent on the future path of interest rates under new chairman Kevin Warsh, and we see this raising market jitters. This, coupled with rising fears over inflation and public debt, has sent 30-year Treasury yields surging. This episode also dissects prospects for planned income tax cuts in the Philippines and the sudden resignation of Bank Indonesia’s governor.

Timestamp:

(00:00) - Episode rundown

(00:21) - Intro

(00:48) - Quick updates

(02:19) - Planned tax relief measures for Philippine households

(09:58) - Bank Indonesia's governor steps down

(16:57) - US Fed's communications gaps

(18:58) - Warning signs from 30-year US Treasury yields

(22:57) - Our global outlook

(25:34) - Lundgreen's Invest - High-Tech Defence Fund secures quadruple exit

(26:04) - Lundgreen's Capital - Next big step: IPO in 2 years

Governments in East Asia are counting on public money to lure in private capital, but we think this is unhealthy. This episode, we look at China’s $9-billion intervention in the stock market and Japan’s $2.3-trillion investment roadmap. We also discuss outcomes of the World AI Conference in Shanghai as well as a major IPO in India.

Timestamp:

(00:00) - Episode rundown

(00:23) - Intro

(00:51) - Quick updates

(02:43) - Caution ahead on Japan's new investment blueprint

(10:46) - Shanghai launches World AI Organization

(15:56) - Chinese state funds save stock market

(19:06) - SBI Funds' Indian market debut

(22:07) - Our global outlook

(25:13) - Lundgreen's Invest - High-Tech Defence Fund secures quadruple exit

(25:44) - Lundgreen's Capital - Next big step: IPO in 2 years

Markets are likely to feel more nervous in the coming weeks as US-Iran tensions flare again, this time in the face of depleting global oil reserves. We still expect an end to the conflict soon but jitters will prevail over the next month. We see some hope in US small-cap stocks and upcoming big-ticket IPOs in China like DeepSeek and Shein despite softer GDP growth data.

Timestamp:

(00:00) - Episode rundown

(00:22) - Intro

(00:50) - Quick updates

(02:15) - China GDP growth numbers ease in Q2

(10:26) - Anticipation for big-ticket Chinese IPOs

(19:23) - Upswing of oil prices

(20:51) - US small caps on the rise

(22:44) - Our global outlook

(26:13) - Lundgreen's Invest - High-Tech Defence Fund secures quadruple exit

(26:44) - Lundgreen's Capital - Next big step: IPO in 2 years

Will the British economy see any sizable change under a new prime minister? We think not. This episode also looks at China possibly gatekeeping homegrown AI tools, the S&P index threatening a downgrade for Indonesia stocks, and the IMF’s odd calls for the US Fed.

Timestamp:

(00:00) - Episode rundown

(00:26) - Intro

(00:52) - Quick updates

(01:43) - China gatekeeps its homegrown AI tech

(09:30) - S&P Dow Jones warns downgrade for Indonesian stocks

(13:52) - Andy Burnham as the UK's next PM

(24:23) - IMF cautions of higher inflation and lower growth globally

(29:24) - Our global outlook

(32:45) - Lundgreen's Invest - High-Tech Defence Fund secures quadruple exit

(33:17) - Lundgreen's Capital - Next big step: IPO in 2 years

SpaceX has taken off with its Wall Street debut last June. However, we argue in this episode that its surge is more hype than quality, and this might be the missing ingredient for other stock markets. We also talk about the lows of the Japanese yen and a surprise high from the US dollar.

Timestamp:

(00:00) - Lundgreen's Invest - High-Tech Defence Fund secures quadruple exit

(00:31) - Episode rundown

(00:50) - Intro

(01:18) - Quick updates

(04:11) - Japanese yen at its 40-year low

(11:21) - US dollar reverses 2025 weakness

(13:33) - Philippines and Japan IPO trends

(19:52) - All aboard the SpaceX hype train

(24:53) - Our global outlook

Oil prices are back to pre-conflict levels amid good progress on US-Iran negotiations, yet financial markets and household lifestyles did not get a reset from the high costs the war brought on. We explore what’s next after high fuel prices, a brief sell-off of AI stocks, the latest on MSCI’s ruling on Indonesia, and Japan’s momentum in arms exports in this episode.

Timestamp:

(00:00) - Lundgreen's Invest - High-Tech Defence Fund secures quadruple exit

(00:31) - Episode rundown

(00:51) - Intro

(01:20) - Quick updates

(03:21) - Relaxed defence exports in Japan

(07:08) - Global AI stocks sell-off

(11:46) - MSCI postpones decision on Indonesian stock market

(16:32) - Oil prices back to normal?

(24:53) - Our global outlook

A hawkish US Federal Reserve is out to fight high inflation, which we see fueling greater volatility for the rest of 2026. We also look at disappointing consumption data in China, discuss expectations of faster gold accumulation by central banks, and share our expert outlook on the defence sector.

Timestamp:

(00:00) - Lundgreen's Invest - High-Tech Defence Fund secures quadruple exit

(00:31) - Episode rundown

(00:50) - Intro

(01:19) - Quick updates

(03:58) - Total retail sales in China slide down

(12:06) - Our insights into the defense sector

(18:59) - Central banks taking on more gold

(22:42) - US Fed's way forward

(27:16) - Our global outlook

The European Central Bank raised interest rates today – a move we do not agree with, as this will kill any remaining chance of a growth rebound for the region. This episode, we also look at faster US inflation; how the mega-IPOs of SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI will affect global stocks; and Brazil’s plan to ramp up oil production.

Timestamp:

(00:00) - Episode rundown

(00:21) - Intro

(00:48) - Quick updates

(02:21) - Brazil's prospects to expand oil production

(06:36) - AI companies mount mega IPOs in Wall Street

(15:04) - US inflation picks up

(18:09) - A suggestion for the ECB

(22:15) - Our global outlook

Chinese equities are becoming more attractive among global investors and family offices. At home, however, the state is cracking down on outbound equity investments. This episode, we also raise concern about Japan’s new debt for continued oil price subsidies and the rising popularity of convertible bonds in the US.

Timestamp:

(00:00) - Episode rundown

(00:20) - Intro

(00:48) - Quick updates

(02:18) - New supplementary budget in Japan builds on growing debt

(07:12) - More international investors rebalancing towards China stocks

(12:16) - Chinese government cracks down on US equity investments

(16:40) - Warning signs for US convertible bonds

(22:15) - Our global outlook