Squawk Box Europe Express

Farewell Frankfurt…ECB president Mario Draghi prepares his final press conference before stepping aside for Christine Lagarde amid a backdrop of negative rates and weakening data in the euro zone. We are live in Frankfurt to look at his legacy. In corporate news, Tesla shares soar more than 20 per cent following a surprise Q3 beat but Ford slides and cuts its full-year profit forecast, warning of a slowdown in China. There's a similar story in the German automotive sector, where Daimler cuts the revenue outlook for its trucks division. Nokia lowers both its 2019 and 2020 profit guidance as the Finnish telco warns tough competition is squeezing margins. It also halts its dividend as it ramps up investments in 5G amid battles with rivals.

Meanwhile on Capitol Hill, Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg is grilled by the House Financial Services Committee over his company’s planned entrance into the cryptocurrency market.

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Yes, but…U.K. lawmakers vote to approve Boris Johnson's Brexit deal, but reject a three-day timeframe to pass the bill, leaving it up to EU leaders to grant an extension to next week's October 31st deadline. We are live in Westminster and Brussels as both sides react to the latest stalemate. In China, plans are reportedly afoot to replace embattled Hong Kong CEO Carrie Lam following months of increasingly violent anti-government protests in the city state. ABB kicks off a busy earnings day for European blue-chips. The Swiss industrial group warns of weakening conditions in the U.S. and China, but sees net profit fall less than expected in the third quarter. We are also live in Frankfurt where Mario Draghi is set to oversee his final policy meeting as ECB president.  

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Brexit block… House of Commons Speaker John Bercow denies Prime Minister Boris Johnson a straight yes or no meaningful vote on the Brexit deal he secured last week, saying that debating the motion would be ‘disruptive’. MPs will today debate the Withdrawal Bill being published by the government. In corporate news, Swiss lender UBS beats Q3 expectations on the bottom line but CEO Sergio Ermotti tells this channel that challenges persist for investment banking and wealth management. In the U.S., the S&P 500 falls short of its all-time high by just 1 per cent off the back of trade optimism and earnings. We also hear from Russia’s finance minister, Anton Siluanov, who tells CNBC that his country is not seeking to capitalise from damaged relations between Washington and Beijing. And in M&A news, this channel learns that Softbank is in talks to buy WeWork, valuing the workspace logistics provider at $7.5BN-8BN.

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Brexit Bedlam…sterling dips following U.K. MPs’ Saturday delay to a vote on the deal struck by Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Brussels last week. The EU has received a forced extension request from No.10 but Johnson remains steadfast and is preparing to table another vote to get the divorce agreement through Parliament and ensure the U.K. leaves the bloc by October 31st. Lebanon is paralysed by a fourth day of massive anti-government protests as Prime Minister Saad Hariri rushes to push through a raft of economic reforms in a bid to quell the unrest. We are live in Beirut for the latest. Meanwhile, at the IMF annual meetings in Washington, we hear exclusively from UBS chairman Axel Weber who warns that central banks are increasingly losing their way, with negative rates causing despair among European investors.

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Boris scores a Brexit breakthrough in Brussels. We host a special Brexit Endgame edition of Squawk Box, live from London, Brussels and Belfast. It is now up to Prime Minister Johnson to convince MPs to pass the agreement during an extraordinary parliamentary session scheduled tomorrow in order for EU leaders to officially ratify the deal by October 31st. However, he faces pushback from Northern Ireland where the DUP says it cannot abide by Johnson’s proposals due to serious concerns over customs and tax regulations. Elsewhere, China's third-quarter GDP grows at its slowest pace in almost 30 years, as weak factory production and an ongoing trade war weigh on the world's second-largest economy. And in corporate news, French automaker Renault has slashed its full-year revenue and profit forecasts citing weak sales outside of Europe.

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Down to the wire... The U.K. and EU press on with last-ditch talks to try and secure a Brexit deal to present to leaders in Brussels. However, Northern Ireland’s DUP dashes hopes saying it cannot back the current proposal. We are live in Brussels for the latest on this fast-moving story. In the U.S., retail sales slump for the first time in seven months, increasing economic jitters. But on the trade front, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin says that negotiators are working on the draft of a ‘Phase One’ trade deal with counterparts in Beijing. In corporate news, Netflix surprises to the upside, winning more subscribers than expected, while Facebook tries to convince the market its cryptocurrency Libra will ‘overcome problems’ once regulatory issues are resolved.

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Burning the midnight oil – U.K. and EU negotiators hold talks in London and Brussels late into the night, appearing to edge closer to a last-minute withdrawal deal, but certain sticking points remain unresolved. In Hong Kong, vocal protests in the Legislative Council session itself force the territory’s Chief Executive Carrie Lam to deliver her policy address via video link. In Washington, the IMF warns that the U.S.-China trade war, a ‘synchronised’ global slowdown and ongoing geo-political uncertainty have prompted the fund to cut 2019 growth forecasts to the lowest level since the 2008 financial crisis. And on Wall Street JP Morgan soars after the lender smashes forecasts, but Goldman Sachs doesn’t fare as well, hit by losses from its investments in WeWork and Uber.

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Turkey gets sanctioned. The U.S. imposes immediate penalties on several Turkish ministers and slaps Ankara with a 50 per cent tariff on steel , demanding a halt to its military incursion into Kurdish-held northern Syria. We are live in Istanbul for the latest. U.S. stocks slip and oil prices extend losses as questions arise over the U.S.-China trade deal, despite U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin telling this channel that the first phase of the pact is ‘quite substantial’. China's September producer prices fall at their fastest pace in three years, while pork prices surge nearly 70 per cent pushing food prices higher. And it’s crunchtime for the U.K. and the EU. Brexit negotiators have battened down the hatches and entered so-called ‘tunnel talks’ ahead of a key summit later this week. The EU’s chief representative Michel Barnier says a deal this week remains possible.

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Trade deal light – Asian stocks follow the U.S. into the green after a tentative truce is agreed between Washington and Beijing. President Trump hails the progress but critics suggest concessions have been made to China. Meanwhile, data reveals Chinese imports and exports fell more than expected in September. We are live from Westminster at the start of a crucial week for Brexit, after the UK and EU admit that a lot of work still needs to be done to reach a withdrawal agreement ahead of a key summit in Brussels. The Queen will outline the government’s plan in her speech at the state opening of parliament today. And in Syria, the U.S. pulls out its final troops from the north as a Turkish cross-border incursion rages. Humanitarian concerns over the operation have prompted President Trump to threaten Ankara with ‘powerful’ sanctions.

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Trade deal optimism fuels a rally as high-level talks between the U.S. and China get underway and President Trump hails the progress ahead of a planned meeting with Chinese Vice-Premier Liu He later today. In the U.K., sterling jumps to a two-week high against the dollar after Irish Taoiseach Leo Varadkar said he saw a ‘pathway’ to a Brexit deal following positive talks with Prime Minister Boris Johnson. In corporate news, SAP CEO Bill McDermott announces his plans to step down following a decade at the helm of the German software titan. New co-CEO Jennifer Morgan tells CNBC that the time is right for a change of leadership. And luxury German fashion group Hugo Boss revises its full-year outlook for the second time this year citing weak U.S. sales and the ongoing anti-government protests rocking Hong Kong.   

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