Squawk Box Europe Express

U.S. stocks fall just short of a complete recovery following what was the most volatile trading week of the year so far. Asian markets start the news week in the green. Ukrainian president Volodomyr Zelenskyy has for the first confirmed his country’s incursion into Russia’s Kursk region. The advance is the largest into Russia since the start of the war. New polling from the NYT shows Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris pulling ahead of GOP rival Donald Trump in 3 key swing states. Harris, however, says she is not eyeing the polls. As the Paris Olympics draw to a close, French president Emmanuel Macron tells our NBC colleagues politicians would do well to take inspiration from Olympic athletes.

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Better-than-expected jobless data boosts the S&P 500 to its best session in almost 2 years, allaying recent recession fears. However, Asian equities falter late in the session with markets failing to claw back ground lost during Monday’s historic sell-off. July’s consumer prices in China come in hotter than anticipated, helping to push Beijing authorities to prop up spending. And Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has said he should have sway within the Fed if re-elected. He has also agreed to debate Democrat nominee Kamala Harris in September.  

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Siemens net income surges by almost 50 per cent in Q3 and the firm confirms its FY guidance despite some orders slowing. Japan’s Nikkei 225 pares losses as Wall Street ends back in the red. JPMorgan estimates the U.S. economy has a 1 in 3 chance of falling into recession this year but CEO Jamie Dimon tells our colleagues Stateside things remain OK – for now. We hear from Infineon CEO Jochen Hanebeck who tells CNBC that the race for building the next generation of A.I. data centres is now on as the German chip giant opens a new facility in north-west Malaysia. And in media news, Warner Bros. Discovery shares slide in extended trade off the back of a $9bn write-down. Disney feels similar weakness despite the firm’s combined streaming profit coming into the black for the first time.  

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Wall Street is back in the green after a three-day losing streak and the rebound continues across Asia as the BoJ’s deputy governor waters down talk of any further rate hikes in the near future. Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris selects Minnesota governor Tim Walz as her running mate in a bid to secure support in crucial Rust Belt states. In China, exports unexpectedly fell to a three-month low however imports were up, growing at their fastest pace since April. We are live in Copenhagen where Europe’s largest company, Novo Nordisk will report earnings. Analysts predict a further increase in guidance from the Danish pharma giant.  

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Japanese stocks bounce back with the Nikkei on track for its best session since 2008. U.S. futures are also set to gain following a near-wipeout on Wall Street after the Dow fell by 1,000 points. Kamala Harris is officially named the Democrat nominee for president and is due to announce her VP pick. Tim Walz of Minnesota and Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania are the last candidates standing. Google loses a momentous anti-trust case after a U.S. federal judge deems the company to have an illegal online search monopoly.

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Japan’s Nikkei 225 sees further selling, plunging the index into bear market territory while the South Korean KOSPI is on track for its worst session since the Covid pandemic. The Nasdaq suffers its worst 3-week run since September 2022 as non-farm payroll data disappoints. Berkshire Hathaway dumps close to half of its Apple shares to boost its coffers to a record $270bn. In the Middle East, Israel readies itself for possible retaliation from Iran following the suspected assassinations of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran and a senior Hezbollah commander in Beirut.  

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Global stocks stumble: the Nikkei tracks toward its worst day in more than four years, after a rough session on Wall Street sees equities close firmly in the red. Amazon sinks on the back of a first revenue miss in nearly two years - while Apple post a 5% sales boost, even as China revenues dip. Intel shares plunge as the chipmaker reports worse than expected results and weak guidance - and says it will cut 15k jobs as part of a $10 billion cost reduction plan. And the Bank of England cuts rates for the first time since 2020, voting 5-4 in favour, with Governor Andrew Bailey pledging caution ahead.

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The S&P 500 sees its best day since February and the 10-year treasury yield touches its lowest level since March, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell lines up the first rate cut of the cycle. Meta shares climb in extended trade after a beat on the top and bottom lines, while issuing an upbeat outlook. Qualcomm shares dip despite topping forecasts, while Arm plunges as the chip designer warns of weakness in some markets. And, the Bank of England weighs up whether to cut rates for the first time since 2020, with the decision seen on a knife-edge.

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The Bank of Japan hikes rates for only the second time since 2007, and unveils an aggressive plan to cut monthly bond buying in half. Microsoft falls in extended trade as the tech giant posts its first miss on cloud revenue growth since October 2022. HSBC second quarter net profit drops, but it announces a 3 billion dollar buyback. And L’Oréal misses second quarter sales estimates, posting its slowest quarterly growth in more than two years amid soft demand in China.

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Standard Chartered announces its largest ever share buyback as it posts a 5-percent rise in first half pre-tax profit. Asian equities come under pressure, as the Bank of Japan begins its two day meeting with a rate hike on the table, while the Fed kicks off its own meeting later today. Arm shares drop more than 5 percent as HSBC warns of short-term earnings downside on a weaker-than-expected AI outlook. And, Tesla shares drive higher after Morgan Stanley names the EV-maker as its "top pick" in the U.S. auto sector.

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