Squawk Box Europe Express

Chinese equities are down slightly from a one-month high after Caixin PMI data comes in at its lowest level for eight months. The embattled Chinese property developer Country Garden has reportedly tranferred money to creditors for payments on two USD bonds in order to avoid its potential first ever default. Danish pharma giant Novo Nordisk officially replaces LVMH as Europe’s most valuable company. It also announces that its best-selling weight loss drug WeGovy will now be available in the UK. And we are live at the IAA in Munich where Xpeng President Brian Gu tells CNBC the Chinese car maker is planning to expand into the prestigious German autos market.  

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The U.S. sees a surprise jump in unemployment numbers with softer hourly earnings data which prompts expectations that the Federal Reserve will pause its rate hiking cycle this month. NEC director Lael Brainard says the economy remains resilient and stable. Chinese property developer Country Garden has reportedly struck a deal to extend on-shore bond payments, pushing shares to a three-week high. Asian equities, led by the Hang Seng, are higher as a result. We are live at the Ambrosetti Forum on the shores of Lake Como where Italian deputy PM Antonio Tajani has told CNBC his country is considering withdrawing from China’s Belt & Road Initiative. Meanwhile, European Economy Commissioner Paolo Gentiloni claims the EU economy can avoid recession, despite the marked downturn seen in Germany. We are also live at the Munich Auto Show where an increased Chinese presence is drawing attention. However the CEOs of Mercedes and BMW tell CNBC that they remain unfazed by the new competition.

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The Chinese yuan hits a three-week high after Beijing announces it will be cutting its FX reserve ratio in a bid to prop up its currency while the country’s banks move to support the troubled property sector. We are live at the Ambrosetti Forum on the shores of Lake Como where economist Joseph Stiglitz tells CNBC he doubts whether China possesses the correct economic personnel to guide the country out of its current downturn. U.S. monthly inflation moves higher, causing Treasury yields to rise as a result ahead of today’s important non-farm payrolls data. The Nasdaq suffers its worst monthly performance of the year so far as interest rate expectations remain pessimistic.

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UBS reveals its first set of quarterly results following its emergency takeover of rival Credit Suisse, posting a Q2 net profit of $29bn. It also announces it plans to keep the Credit Suisse domestic bank going. A revised Q2 GDP reading in the U.S. comes in softer than expected while private payrolls slow sharply for August as the labour market begins to cool. The S&P 500 is on track for a fourth consecutive day in the green ahead of tomorrow’s key U.S. jobs report. Chinese manufacturing contracts for a fifth month in a row but not by as much as feared amid a downward trend in the property sector. And in tech news, the Biden administration prohibits A.I. chips exports to certain Middle Eastern countries over national security fears of Chinese access to the resources.  

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U.S. equities enjoy their biggest one-day gain in almost 3 months after a fall in labour market data boosts hopes that the Fed may pause its rate hike cycle. U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo has warned that China has become ‘uninvestible’ because of its barriers to business which are reportedly causing U.S. companies to shun the country. In a landmark case, a U.S. federal appeals court overturns the SEC’s decision to block crypto investment firm Grayscale’s Bitcoin ETF. Chevron decides to move staff from its three oil rigs in the Gulf of Mexico as Hurricane Idalia approaches the coast of Florida, potentially strengthening to a Category 4 storm. We hear exclusively from ABB CEO Bjorn Rosengren who says business in China remains soft due to problems in the property and construction sectors.

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U.S. equities begin the week in the green as investors attempt to regain ground ahead of a crucial inflation report later this week. U.S. commerce secretary Gina Raimondo visits China, opening the door for dialogue announcing formal working groups to ease trade tensions. However, she said Washington would not compromise on national security. Grocery inflation slows in the UK, relieving some of the pressure on the BoE to keep hiking rates. And in autos news, China’s largest-selling brand BYD sees H1 profits surge by 200 per cent.

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The Dow’s rally is short-lived with the index now posting its worst day since March. Nvidia’s stellar quarterly numbers have been rapidly overshadowed by concerns over the Fed’s next rate move. In Jackson Hole, policy makers are split over whether interest rate hikes have gone far enough. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker tells CNBC that rates should remain steady. Former U.S. President, Donald Trump, surrenders to authorities in Georgia over racketeering and conspiracy charges in the state, posing for the first ever presidential mugshot before being bailed. In energy news, concerns over waning Chinese demand weigh on oil prices while India’s oil and gas minister Hardeep Singh Puri tells our colleagues in Asia that his country’s supply is well diversified away from reliance on Russia.  

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Nvidia shares soar in extended trade following the chip maker’s bumper Q2 which saw it hike guidance. CEO Jensen Huang tells investors on a conference call that the company is only getting started. U.S. equities were buoyed by the news and Treasury yields eased. Investors now turn to the Jackson Hole central bankers’ symposium for further signs about the Fed’s monetary policy strategy. A private plane allegedly carrying the Wagner Group’s leader Yevgeny Prigozhin crashes in Russia’s Tver region near Moscow, killing ten people. Mercenary chief Prigozhin had led a brief coup attempt against Russian President Vladimir Putin in June. And in the U.S. Republican presidential candidates clash in the first debate ahead of 2024’s election with frontrunner former president Donald Trump deciding to skep the event in Milwaukee.  

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Benchmark U.S. yields are touching 16-year highs ahead of this year’s Jackson Hole symposium. Meanwhile Japan’s 10-year JGB yield is at its highest level since early 2014. In tech news, Nvidia shares pare back slightly from record levels with option traders considering double-digit news should the chipmaker falter with earnings results. U.S. retail giant Macy’s posts a Q2 net loss warning that shoppers will become more discerning and price-driven in H2. In Spain, the King greenlights the conservative opposition to form a new government following last month’s inconclusive election. Chinese President Xi Jinping assures BRICS counterparts over his country’s recent economic effort and pledges to reinforce ties within the bloc.  

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The Nasdaq posts its biggest one-day gain in almost a month despite Treasury yields climbing further. The 10-year yield hits levels not seen since 2007. Chip maker Arm unveils its regulatory filings in preparation for its Wall Street listing next month in what could be the largest tech IPO since Alibaba. The ratings agency S&P has downgraded 5 U.S. banks and lowers its forecast for several more, citing tighter credit conditions. BHP profits plunge while Australia’s largest oil and gas company Woodside delivers record H2 results. CEO Meg O’Neill tells CNBC that talks with trade unions have been constructive. And BRICS nations meet for a two-day summit in Johannesburg with plans to expand the bloc to act as a counterweight to the Western G-7.

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