A new LucidTalk poll, published in the Belfast Telegraph, has shaken up the political landscape in Northern Ireland.
- Sinn Féin continues to lead with 26% of the vote.
- The DUP trail at 17%.
- The big story: the TUV surge to 13%, potentially threatening DUP seats.
- Alliance slips to 12%, with questions over Naomi Long’s leadership.
- The SDLP and UUP both sit at 11%, raising big questions about unionist unity and Mike Nesbitt’s future.
In this deep-dive discussion, we break down:
👉 Why the TUV is gaining ground
👉 Whether the DUP can claw back support before 2027
👉 Naomi Long’s collapse in approval among unionists
👉 The SDLP’s slow recovery under Claire Hanna
👉 Gavin Robinson’s future as a DUP leader
👉 Why some are calling for a DUP–UUP merger
We also look at the lessons from 1998, when fringe unionist parties cut through, and what this poll tells us about the road to the next Assembly elections.
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🚨 What do YOU think of the latest poll?
- Will the TUV hold their surge or fade?
- Can the DUP recover by 2027?
- Is Naomi Long’s time up as Alliance leader?
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